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Conventional hurricane track generation methods typically depend on biased outputs from Global Climate Models (GCMs), which undermines their accuracy in the context of climate change. We present a novel dynamic bias correction framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 Reda Snaiki , Teng Wu

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

Accurate prediction of atmospheric optical turbulence in localized environments is essential for estimating the performance of free-space optical systems. Macro-meteorological models developed to predict turbulent effects in one environment…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-30 Christopher Jellen , Charles Nelson , John Burkhardt , Cody Brownell

Accurate wind speed prediction is crucial for designing and selecting sites for offshore wind farms. This paper investigates the effectiveness of various machine learning models in predicting offshore wind power for a site near the Gulf of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-19 Linhan Fang , Fan Jiang , Ann Mary Toms , Xingpeng Li

Accurately predicting sea-surface temperature weeks to months into the future is an important step toward long term weather forecasting. Standard atmosphere-ocean coupled numerical models provide accurate sea-surface forecasts on the scale…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-18 Julian Rice , Wenwei Xu , Andrew August

Forecasting compound floods presents a significant challenge due to the intricate interplay of meteorological, hydrological, and oceanographic factors. Analyzing compound floods has become more critical as the global climate increases flood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Xu Zheng , Chaohao Lin , Sipeng Chen , Zhuomin Chen , Jimeng Shi , Wei Cheng , Jayantha Obeysekera , Jason Liu , Dongsheng Luo

Physics-based models of dynamical systems are often used to study engineering and environmental systems. Despite their extensive use, these models have several well-known limitations due to simplified representations of the physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Xiaowei Jia , Jared Willard , Anuj Karpatne , Jordan S Read , Jacob A Zwart , Michael Steinbach , Vipin Kumar

We introduce a novel deep learning approach that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence to enhance the accuracy of contextual forecasting in sewerage systems. By developing a diffusion-based model that processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Davide Russo , Francesca Zanello

Floods can be very destructive causing heavy damage to life, property, and livelihoods. Global climate change and the consequent sea-level rise have increased the occurrence of extreme weather events, resulting in elevated and frequent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Jimeng Shi , Vitalii Stebliankin , Zhaonan Wang , Shaowen Wang , Giri Narasimhan

A stochastic Machine-Learning approach is developed for data-driven Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) predictions of turbulent flows, with quantified model uncertainty. This is done by combining a Bayesian symbolic identification…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-05 Soufiane Cherroud , Xavier Merle , Paola Cinnella , Xavier Gloerfelt

This work presents a data-driven solution to accurately predict parameterized nonlinear fluid dynamical systems using a dynamics-generator conditional GAN (Dyn-cGAN) as a surrogate model. The Dyn-cGAN includes a dynamics block within a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Abdolvahhab Rostamijavanani , Shanwu Li , Yongchao Yang

The runup of initial Gaussian narrow-banded and wide-banded wave fields and its statistical characteristics are investigated using direct numerical simulations, based on the nonlinear shallow water equations. The bathymetry consists of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-26 Ahmed Abdalazeez , Ira Didenkulova , Denys Dutykh , Céline Labart

Accurate ocean forecasting systems are essential for understanding marine dynamics, which play a crucial role in sectors such as shipping, aquaculture, environmental monitoring, and coastal risk management. Traditional numerical solvers,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Daniel Holmberg , Emanuela Clementi , Italo Epicoco , Teemu Roos

Reliable river flow forecasting is an essential component of flood risk management and early warning systems. It enables improved emergency response coordination and is critical for protecting infrastructure, communities, and ecosystems…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-15 Gabriele Bertoli , Kai Schroeter , Rossella Arcucci , Enrica Caporali

Long-term time-series forecasting is critical for environmental monitoring, yet water quality prediction remains challenging due to complex periodicity, nonstationarity, and abrupt fluctuations induced by ecological factors. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Ziqi Wang , Hailiang Zhao , Cheng Bao , Wenzhuo Qian , Yuhao Yang , Xueqiang Sun , Shuiguang Deng

In this paper, we present a novel approach for the prediction of rogue waves in oceans using statistical machine learning methods. Since the ocean is composed of many wave systems, the change from a bimodal or multimodal directional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-17 Pujan Pokhrel , Elias Ioup , Md Tamjidul Hoque , Julian Simeonov , Mahdi Abdelguerfi

We propose an unsupervised anomaly detection approach based on a physics-informed diffusion model for multivariate time series data. Over the past years, diffusion model has demonstrated its effectiveness in forecasting, imputation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Juhi Soni , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Stefan Windmann

The present study explores the capabilities of advanced machine learning algorithms in predicting the sea-surface $p$CO$_2$ in the open oceans of the Bay of Bengal (BoB). We collect the available observations (outside EEZ) from the cruise…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-25 A. P Joshi , V. Kumar , H. V Warrior

Ocean current, fluid mechanics, and many other spatio-temporal physical dynamical systems are essential components of the universe. One key characteristic of such systems is that certain physics laws -- represented as ordinary/partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Yu Huang , James Li , Min Shi , Hanqi Zhuang , Xingquan Zhu , Laurent Chérubin , James VanZwieten , Yufei Tang

Predictions of the wave-induced response of floating structures that are moored in a harbour or coastal waters require an accurate description of the (nonlinear) evolution of waves over variable bottom topography, the interactions of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-19 Dirk Pieter Rijnsdorp , Hugh Wolgamot , Marcel Zijlema