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Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNN) have emerged as the dominant model for spatio-temporal graph (STG) forecasting. Despite their success, they fail to model intrinsic uncertainties within STG data, which cripples their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Haomin Wen , Youfang Lin , Yutong Xia , Huaiyu Wan , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann , Yuxuan Liang

The objective of traffic prediction is to accurately forecast and analyze the dynamics of transportation patterns, considering both space and time. However, the presence of distribution shift poses a significant challenge in this field, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Zhonghang Li , Lianghao Xia , Yong Xu , Chao Huang

Accurate traffic flow prediction heavily relies on the spatio-temporal correlation of traffic flow data. Most current studies separately capture correlations in spatial and temporal dimensions, making it difficult to capture complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Ben-Ao Dai , Nengchao Lyu , Yongchao Miao

High-quality spatiotemporal traffic data is crucial for intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and their data-driven applications. Inevitably, the issue of missing data caused by various disturbances threatens the reliability of data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Shaokang Cheng , Nada Osman , Shiru Qu , Lamberto Ballan

Diffusion models have been used for probabilistic time series forecasting and show strong potential. However, fixed noise schedules often produce intermediate states that are hard to invert and a terminal state that deviates from the near…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Jintao Zhang , Zirui Liu , Mingyue Cheng , Xianquan Wang , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNN) have become the most popular solution to traffic forecasting. While successful, they rely on the message passing scheme of GNNs to establish spatial dependencies between nodes, and thus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Xu Liu , Yuxuan Liang , Chao Huang , Hengchang Hu , Yushi Cao , Bryan Hooi , Roger Zimmermann

Accurate traffic prediction is essential for optimizing transportation systems, enhancing resource allocation, and improving overall urban administration. Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (GNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Qianru Zhang , Xinyi Gao , Alexander Zhou , Reynold Cheng , Siu-Ming Yiu , Hongzhi Yin

Road traffic forecasting is crucial in real-world intelligent transportation scenarios like traffic dispatching and path planning in city management and personal traveling. Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) stand out as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Yuchen Fang , Yuxuan Liang , Bo Hui , Zezhi Shao , Liwei Deng , Xu Liu , Xinke Jiang , Kai Zheng

Accurate forecasting of citywide traffic flow has been playing critical role in a variety of spatial-temporal mining applications, such as intelligent traffic control and public risk assessment. While previous work has made significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Xiyue Zhang , Chao Huang , Yong Xu , Lianghao Xia , Peng Dai , Liefeng Bo , Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng

Accurate forecasting of spatiotemporal data remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. The inherent uncertainty and variability in such data often render deterministic models insufficient, prompting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Mingze Gong , Lei Chen , Jia Li

Notably, current intelligent transportation systems rely heavily on accurate traffic forecasting and swift inference provision to make timely decisions. While Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have shown benefits in modeling complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhaoyan Wang , Xiangchi Song , In-Young Ko

Spatio-temporal traffic forecasting is a core component of intelligent transportation systems, supporting various downstream tasks such as signal control and network-level traffic management. In real-world deployments, forecasting models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yue Wang , Areg Karapetyan , Djellel Difallah , Samer Madanat

Accurate traffic forecasting is a fundamental problem in intelligent transportation systems and learning long-range traffic representations with key information through spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) is a basic assumption of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Qinyao Luo , Silu He , Xing Han , Yuhan Wang , Haifeng Li

Vessel trajectory prediction is a critical component for ensuring maritime traffic safety and avoiding collisions. Due to the inherent uncertainty in vessel behavior, trajectory prediction systems must adopt a multimodal approach to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Jin Wenzhe , Tang Haina , Zhang Xudong

Accurate and timely traffic flow forecasting is crucial for intelligent transportation systems. This paper presents a novel deep learning model, the Spatial-Temporal Unified Graph Attention Network (STGAtt). By leveraging a unified graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Zhuding Liang , Jianxun Cui , Qingshuang Zeng , Feng Liu , Nenad Filipovic , Tijana Geroski

Traffic speed prediction is significant for intelligent navigation and congestion alleviation. However, making accurate predictions is challenging due to three factors: 1) traffic diffusion, i.e., the spatial and temporal causality existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Yi Rong , Yingchi Mao , Yinqiu Liu , Ling Chen , Xiaoming He , Dusit Niyato

Robust prediction of citywide traffic flows at different time periods plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems. While previous work has made great efforts to model spatio-temporal correlations, existing methods still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Jiahao Ji , Jingyuan Wang , Chao Huang , Junjie Wu , Boren Xu , Zhenhe Wu , Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng

Although spatio-temporal graph neural networks have achieved great empirical success in handling multiple correlated time series, they may be impractical in some real-world scenarios due to a lack of sufficient high-quality training data.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-10 Chao Pan , Siheng Chen , Antonio Ortega

Accurate traffic flow prediction is essential for applications like transport logistics but remains challenging due to complex spatio-temporal correlations and non-linear traffic patterns. Existing methods often model spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Jing Chen , Haocheng Ye , Zhian Ying , Yuntao Sun , Wenqiang Xu
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