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Abrupt transitions are a central concern in climate and ecological research, and may arise when critical thresholds known as tipping points are crossed. However, previous work has shown that finite-time overshoots of tipping points can be…

We study a discrete non-autonomous system whose autonomous counterpart (with the frozen bifurcation parameter) admits a saddle-node bifurcation, and in which the bifurcation parameter slowly changes in time and is characterized by a sweep…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Jay Chu , Jun-Jie Lin , Je-Chiang Tsai

A classical scenario for tipping is that a dynamical system experiences a slow parameter drift across a fold tipping point, caused by a run-away positive feedback loop. We study what happens if one turns around after one has crossed the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Paul Ritchie , Ozkan Karabacak , Jan Sieber

We analyze situations where a saddle-node bifurcation occurs on a fractal basin boundary. Specifically, we are interested in what happens when a system parameter is slowly swept in time through the bifurcation. Such situations are known to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Romulus Breban , Helena E. Nusse , Edward Ott

There is a growing awareness that catastrophic phenomena in biology and medicine can be mathematically represented in terms of saddle-node bifurcations. In particular, the term `tipping', or critical transition has in recent years entered…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-29 Jeremiah Li , Felix X. -F. Ye , Hong Qian , Sui Huang

We discuss tipping phenomena (critical transitions) in nonautonomous systems using an example of a bistable ecosystem model with environmental changes represented by time-varying parameters [Scheffer et al., Ecosystems, 11 (2008), pp.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Paul E. O'Keeffe , Sebastian Wieczorek

Slow parameter drift is common in many systems (e.g., the amount of greenhouse gases in the terrestrial atmosphere is increasing). In such situations, the attractor on which the system trajectory lies can be destroyed, and the trajectory…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-14 Takashi Nishikawa , Edward Ott

A number of biological systems can be modeled by Markov chains. Recently, there has been an increasing concern about when biological systems modeled by Markov chains will perform a dynamic phenomenon called overshoot. In this article, we…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-27 Chen Jia , Minping Qian , Daquan Jiang

Varying one of the governing parameters of a dynamical system may lead to a critical transition, where the new stable state is undesirable. In some cases, there is only a limited range of the bifurcation parameter that corresponds to that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-11-27 Giacomo Bonciolini , Nicolas Noiray

Recently, Wang and Xu [ Appl. Math. Lett. 78 (2018) 105-111] studied thresholds and bi-stability in virus-immune dynamics. In this paper, we show there also exist backward bifurcation and saddle node bifurcation in this model. Our…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-03 Tengfei Wang , Shaoli Wang , Fei Xu

We consider instabilities of a single mode with finite wavenumber in inversion symmetric spatially one dimensional systems, where the character of the bifurcation changes from sub- to supercritical behaviour. Starting from a general…

patt-sol · Physics 2009-10-31 Wolfram Just , Frank Matthäus , Herwig Sauermann

Bifurcations mark qualitative changes of long-term behavior in dynamical systems and can often signal sudden ("hard") transitions or catastrophic events (divergences). Accurately locating them is critical not just for deeper understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yorgos M. Psarellis , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Bifurcations are one of the most remarkable features of dynamical systems. Corral et al. [Sci. Rep. 8(11783), 2018] showed the existence of scaling laws describing the transient (finite-time) dynamics in discrete dynamical systems close to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-31 Alvaro Corral

A generic saddle-node bifurcation is proposed to modelize fast transitions of finite amplitude arising in geophysical (and perhaps other) contexts, when they result from the intrinsic dynamics of the system. The fast transition is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-09-10 Yves Pomeau , Martine Le Berre

We discuss the nonlinear phenomena of irreversible tipping for non-autonomous systems where time-varying inputs correspond to a smooth "parameter shift" from one asymptotic value to another. We express tipping in terms of pullback…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Peter Ashwin , Clare Perryman , Sebastian Wieczorek

We study a two-dimensional low-dissipation dynamical system with a control parameter that is swept linearly in time across a transcritical bifurcation. We investigate the relaxation time of a perturbation applied to a variable of the system…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2020-09-30 M. Marconi , C. Metayer , A. Acquaviva , J. M. Boyer , A. Gomel , T. Quiniou , C. Masoller , M. Giudici , J. R. Tredicce

For a class of uncertain systems, a non-overshooting sliding mode control is presented to make them globally exponentially stable and without overshoot. Even when the unknown stochastic disturbance exists, and the time-variant reference…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-14 Xinhua Wang , Xuerui Mao

Nonlinear and non-stationary processes are prevalent in various natural and physical phenomena, where system dynamics can change qualitatively due to bifurcation phenomena. Traditional machine learning methods have advanced our ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Keita Tokuda , Yuichi Katori

A fundamental challenge in learning an unknown dynamical system is to reduce model uncertainty by making measurements while maintaining safety. We formulate a mathematical definition of what it means to safely learn a dynamical system by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Amir Ali Ahmadi , Abraar Chaudhry , Vikas Sindhwani , Stephen Tu

Strong stability, defined by bounds that decay not only over time but also with the number of impulses, has been established as a requirement to ensure robustness properties for impulsive systems with respect to inputs or disturbances. Most…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-22 Alexis J. Vallarella , José Luis Mancilla-Aguilar , Hernan Haimovich
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