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Watch time prediction (WTP) has emerged as a pivotal task in short video recommendation systems, designed to quantify user engagement through continuous interaction modeling. Predicting users' watch times on videos often encounters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Hongxu Ma , Kai Tian , Tao Zhang , Xuefeng Zhang , Han Zhou , Chunjie Chen , Han Li , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

In video recommendation, a critical component that determines the system's recommendation accuracy is the watch-time prediction module, since how long a user watches a video directly reflects personalized preferences. One of the key…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Shanshan Wu , Shuchang Liu , Shuai Zhang , Xiaoyu Yang , Xiang Li , Lantao Hu , Han Li

Watch time is widely used as a proxy for user satisfaction in video recommendation platforms. However, raw watch times are influenced by confounding factors such as video duration, popularity, and individual user behaviors, potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Emily Liu , Kuan Han , Minfeng Zhan , Bocheng Zhao , Guanyu Mu , Yang Song

Watch-time prediction remains to be a key factor in reinforcing user engagement via video recommendations. It has become increasingly important given the ever-growing popularity of online videos. However, prediction of watch time not only…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Ruohan Zhan , Changhua Pei , Qiang Su , Jianfeng Wen , Xueliang Wang , Guanyu Mu , Dong Zheng , Peng Jiang

Watch-time prediction is a central regression task in short-video recommender systems, where labels are highly long-tailed and residual errors vary systematically across observed watch-time regions. In practice, a model may appear globally…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yiqing Yang , Xinlong Zhao , Zhao Liu , Xiao Lv , Ruiming Tang , Han Li , Kun Gai

The sequential recommendation (SR) task aims to predict the next item based on users' historical interaction sequences. Typically trained on historical data, SR models often struggle to adapt to real-time preference shifts during inference…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Xing Tang , Jingyang Bin , Ziqiang Cui , Xiaokun Zhang , Fuyuan Lyu , Jingyan Jiang , Dugang Liu , Chen Ma , Xiuqiang He

While time series diffusion models have received considerable focus from many recent works, the performance of existing models remains highly unstable. Factors limiting time series diffusion models include insufficient time series datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Jingwei Liu , Ling Yang , Hongyan Li , Shenda Hong

Temporal prediction is one of the most important technologies for video compression. Various prediction coding modes are designed in traditional video codecs. Traditional video codecs will adaptively to decide the optimal coding mode…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-25 Xihua Sheng , Li Li , Dong Liu , Houqiang Li

Learned time-series models, whether continuous or discrete, are widely used for forecasting the states of dynamical systems but suffer from error accumulation in multi-step forecasts. To address this issue, we propose a Predictor-Corrector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Muhammad Bilal Shahid , Zhanhong Jiang , Prajwal Koirala , Soumik Sarkar , Cody Fleming

We introduce the technique of adaptive discretization to design an efficient model-based episodic reinforcement learning algorithm in large (potentially continuous) state-action spaces. Our algorithm is based on optimistic one-step value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Sean R. Sinclair , Tianyu Wang , Gauri Jain , Siddhartha Banerjee , Christina Lee Yu

Accurately predicting watch time is crucial for optimizing recommendations and user experience in short video platforms. However, existing methods that estimate a single average watch time often fail to capture the inherent uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Chengzhi Lin , Shuchang Liu , Chuyuan Wang , Yongqi Liu

Early Risk Detection (ERD) on the Web aims to identify promptly users facing social and health issues. Users are analyzed post-by-post, and it is necessary to guarantee correct and quick answers, which is particularly challenging in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Horacio Thompson , Esaú Villatoro-Tello , Manuel Montes-y-Gómez , Marcelo Errecalde

A reliable representation of uncertainty is essential for the application of modern machine learning methods in safety-critical settings. In this regard, the use of credal sets (i.e., convex sets of probability distributions) has recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Maximilian Muschalik , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Due to the scarcity and unpredictable nature of defect samples, industrial anomaly detection (IAD) predominantly employs unsupervised learning. However, all unsupervised IAD methods face a common challenge: the inherent bias in normal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Xin Chen , Liujuan Cao , Shengchuan Zhang , Xiewu Zheng , Yan Zhang

With the proliferation of short video applications, the significance of short video recommendations has vastly increased. Unlike other recommendation scenarios, short video recommendation systems heavily rely on feedback from watch time.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Yang Zhang , Yimeng Bai , Jianxin Chang , Xiaoxue Zang , Song Lu , Jing Lu , Fuli Feng , Yanan Niu , Yang Song

Discrete decision tasks in machine learning exhibit a fundamental misalignment between training and inference: models are optimized with continuous-valued outputs but evaluated using discrete predictions. This misalignment arises from the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Hao Shu

We consider the problem of capturing distortions arising from changes in frame rate as part of Video Quality Assessment (VQA). Variable frame rate (VFR) videos have become much more common, and streamed videos commonly range from 30 frames…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-24 Pavan C. Madhusudana , Neil Birkbeck , Yilin Wang , Balu Adsumilli , Alan C. Bovik

In the domain of moment retrieval, accurately identifying temporal segments within videos based on natural language queries remains challenging. Traditional methods often employ pre-trained models that struggle with fine-grained information…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Haojian Huang , Kaijing Ma , Jin Chen , Haodong Chen , Zhou Wu , Xianghao Zang , Han Fang , Chao Ban , Hao Sun , Mulin Chen , Zhongjiang He

An accurate prediction of watch time has been of vital importance to enhance user engagement in video recommender systems. To achieve this, there are four properties that a watch time prediction framework should satisfy: first, despite its…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Xiao Lin , Xiaokai Chen , Linfeng Song , Jingwei Liu , Biao Li , Peng Jiang

Time series data that are not measured at regular intervals are commonly discretized as a preprocessing step. For example, data about customer arrival times might be simplified by summing the number of arrivals within hourly intervals,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-09 Peter Schulam , Suchi Saria
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