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Climate change is likely to pose enormous challenges for agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and livelihood of millions of people living in South Asia. Here, we develop daily bias-corrected data of precipitation, maximum and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Vimal Mishra , Udit Bhatia , Amar Deep Tiwari

We review the skill of thirty coupled climate models participating in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 in terms of reproducing properties of the seasonal cycle of precipitation over the major river basins of South and Southeast Asia…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-06-22 Shabeh ul Hasson , Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Jürgen Böhner

Deep Learning (DL) has shown promise for downscaling global climate change projections under different approaches, including Perfect Prognosis (PP) and Regional Climate Model (RCM) emulation. Unlike emulators, PP downscaling models are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-23 Jose González-Abad , José Manuel Gutiérrez

Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time series of changes in physical climate parameters. Here, we develop two such methods, Surrogate/Model Mixed Ensemble (SMME) and Monte Carlo…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-10-06 D. J. Rasmussen , Malte Meinshausen , Robert E. Kopp

Global Climate Models (GCMs) are numerical models that simulate complex physical processes within the Earth's climate system and are essential for understanding and predicting climate change. However, GCMs suffer from systemic biases due to…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-23 Reetam Majumder , Shiqi Fang , A. Sankarasubramanian , Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

Climate models robustly imply that some significant change in precipitation patterns will occur. Models consistently project that the intensity of individual precipitation events increases by approximately 6-7%/K, following the increase in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-21 Won Chang , Michael L. Stein , Jiali Wang , V. Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

This work investigates climate--projections over a transitional region between dry and wet climates, the Iberian Peninsula (IP). With this purpose, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, driven CCSM4 and MPI-ESM-LR GCMs…

In this study, the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) is employed for downscaling the precipitation (PREC), maximum temperature (T max ) and minimum temperature (T min ) over Krishna River Basin (KRB). The Canadian Earth System Model,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Nandikanti Siva Sai Syam , Akshay Sunil , Subbarao Pichuka , Anirban Mandal

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

In this diagnostic study we analyze changes of rainfall seasonality and dry spells by the end of the twenty-first century under the most extreme IPCC5 emission scenario (RCP8.5) as projected by twenty-four coupled climate models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Xue Feng , Amilcare Porporato , Shabeh ul Hasson

Traditional approaches for comparing global climate models and observational data products typically fail to account for the geographic location of the underlying weather station data. For modern high-resolution models, this is an oversight…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-03 Mark D. Risser , Michael F. Wehner

Effective water resource management depends on accurate projections of flows in water channels. For projected climate data, use of different General Circulation Models (GCM) simulates contrasting results. This study shows selection of GCM…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-16 Saad Ahmed Jamal , Ammara Nusrat , Muhammad Azmat , Muhammad Osama Nusrat

Climate change alters ocean conditions, notably temperature and sea level. In the Bay of Bengal, these changes influence monsoon precipitation and marine productivity, critical to the Indian economy. In Phase 6 of the Coupled Model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 Abhishek Pasula , Deepak N. Subramani

Systematic biases in General Circulation Model (GCM) outputs limit their direct applicability in regional planning, making bias correction a technically demanding but necessary step for both short-term and long-term impact assessment.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Kamlesh Sawadekar , Seth McGinnis , Peijun Li , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

Forecasting meteorological variables is challenging due to the complexity of their processes, requiring advanced models for accuracy. Accurate precipitation forecasts are vital for society. Reliable predictions help communities mitigate…

Northern Chile is one of the most arid regions in the world, with precipitation mainly occurring during austral summer, between December and April 1966-2015. The aim of this study is to classify the main weather regimes derived from sea…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-04 Ó. Meseguer-Ruiz , N. Cortesi , J. A. Guijarro , P. Sarricolea

Power spectra of global surface temperature (GST) records reveal major periodicities at about 9.1, 10-11, 19-22 and 59-62 years. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs), to be used in the IPCC…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-29 Nicola Scafetta

Statistical downscaling of global climate models (GCMs) allows researchers to study local climate change effects decades into the future. A wide range of statistical models have been applied to downscaling GCMs but recent advances in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-15 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Auroop R Ganguly

Extreme precipitation events with large spatial extents may have more severe impacts than localized events as they can lead to widespread flooding. It is debated how climate change may affect the spatial extent of precipitation extremes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-07 Peng Zhong , Manuela Brunner , Thomas Opitz , Raphaël Huser

The CMIP global climate models (GCMs) assess that nearly 100% of global surface warming observed between 1850-1900 and 2011-2020 is attributable to anthropogenic drivers like greenhouse gas emissions. These models also generate future…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-18 Nicola Scafetta
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