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This work investigates climate--projections over a transitional region between dry and wet climates, the Iberian Peninsula (IP). With this purpose, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, driven CCSM4 and MPI-ESM-LR GCMs…

Monthly streamflow records from a set of gauging stations, selected to form a reference hydrologic network, are analyzed together with precipitation and temperature data to establish whether the streamflows in the Guadalquivir River Basin…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-19 Patricio Yeste , Javier Dorador , Wenceslao Martín-Rosales , Emilio Molero , María Jesús Esteban Parra

High spatial resolution drought projections for the Iberian Peninsula (IP) have been examined in terms of duration, frequency, and severity of drought events. For this end, a set of regional climate simulations was completed using the…

Process-based hydrologic models allow to identify the behavior of a basin providing a mathematical description of the hydrologic processes underlying the runoff mechanisms that govern the streamflow generation. This study focuses on a…

In this diagnostic study we analyze changes of rainfall seasonality and dry spells by the end of the twenty-first century under the most extreme IPCC5 emission scenario (RCP8.5) as projected by twenty-four coupled climate models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Xue Feng , Amilcare Porporato , Shabeh ul Hasson

The present study examined a multi-year reanalysis dataset (ERA5-Land) including numerous drought events across the Iberian Peninsula, with a specific emphasis on the 2005 episode. The mechanisms underlying the transition from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-18 M. Possega , M. García-Valdecasas Ojeda , S. R. Gámiz-Fortis

We use three ensemble members of the EURO-CORDEX project and their data on surface wind speeds, solar irradiation as well as water runoff with a spatial resolution of 12 km and a temporal resolution of 3 hours under representative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-09 Markus Schlott , Alexander Kies , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

We may anticipate that climate change will bring changes to the intensity and variability of near surface winds, either through local effects or by altering the large-scale flow. The impact of climate change on European wind resources has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-19 Richard Davy , Natalia Gnatiuk , Lasse Pettersson , Leonid Bobylev

Understanding regional hydroclimatic variability and its drivers is essential for anticipating the impacts of climate change on water resources and sustainability. Yet, considerable uncertainty remains in the simulation of the coupled land…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-05 J. L. Roque , F. Da Silva Lopes , J. A. Giles , B. D. Gutknecht , B. Schalge , Y. Zhang , M. Ferro , P. Friederichs , K. Goergen , S. Poll , A. Valmassoi

The evaluation of possible climate change consequence on extreme rainfall has significant implications for the design of engineering structure and socioeconomic resources development. While many studies have assessed the impact of climate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-02 Poulomi Ganguli , Paulin Coulibaly

Climate change projections for boreal winter precipitation in Tropical America has beenaddressed by statistical downscaling (SD) using the principal component regression with sea-level pressure (SLP) as the predictor variable. The SD model…

Mountains represent a crucial natural resource for many regions worldwide, particularly in Mediterranean areas such as the Iberian Peninsula, where climate change can have profound consequences. However, due to their coarse resolution,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-02 Diego García-Maroto , Elsa Mohino , Luis Durán , Álvaro González-Cervera , Xabier Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia

We present an intercomparison and verification analysis of 20 GCMs included in the 4th IPCC assessment report regarding their representation of the hydrological cycle on the Danube river basin for 1961-2000 and for the 2161-2200 SRESA1B…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-11 Valerio Lucarini , Robert Danihlik , Ida Kriegerova , Antonio Speranza

Estimating historical evapotranspiration (ET) is essential for understanding the effects of climate change and human activities on the water cycle. This study used historical weather station data to reconstruct ET trends over the past 300…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-25 Haiyang Shi

The balancing provided by hydropower reservoirs is essential in the transition towards a decarbonised European energy system, but the resource might be impacted by future climate change. In this work, we first analyse the hydropower…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-07 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Marta Victoria

This study presents a basin wide assessment about the spatio-temporal variability of streamflows in Ecuador for the period 1979-2015. The influence of the tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) on stremaflow variariability from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-19 Quishpe-Vásquez , C. , Gámiz-Fortis , S. R. , García-Valdecasas-Ojeda , M. , Castro-Díez , Y. , Esteban-Parra , M. J

Different ways to estimate future return levels for extreme rainfall are described and applied to the Iberian Peninsula (IP), based on Extreme Value Theory (EVT). This study is made for an ensemble of high quality rainfall time series…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 F. J. Acero , S. Parey , J. A. García , D. Dacunha-Castelle

In this paper, we propose fitting unobserved component models to represent the dynamic evolution of bivariate systems of centre and log-range temperatures obtained monthly from minimum/maximum temperatures observed at a given location. In…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-21 C. Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero , Esther Ruiz

Northern Chile is one of the most arid regions in the world, with precipitation mainly occurring during austral summer, between December and April 1966-2015. The aim of this study is to classify the main weather regimes derived from sea…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-04 Ó. Meseguer-Ruiz , N. Cortesi , J. A. Guijarro , P. Sarricolea

In this work, an analysis of multifractal parameters of daily precipitation series over the Iberian Peninsula was performed in two 30-year periods to explore whether these properties follow any pattern. Fluctuations of precipitation series…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-20 J. Gomez-Gomez , R. Carmona-Cabezas , E. Sanchez-Lopez , E. Gutierrez de Rave , F. J. Jimenez-Hornero
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