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In this paper, we outline the theory of epidemic percolation networks and their use in the analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models on undirected contact networks. We then show how the same theory can be used to analyze stochastic SIR…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

The science of networks has revolutionised research into the dynamics of interacting elements. It could be argued that epidemiology in particular has embraced the potential of network theory more than any other discipline. Here we review…

The spread of disease on complex networks has attracted widely attention in the physics community. Recent works have demonstrated that heterogeneous degree and weight distributions have a significant influence on the epidemic dynamics. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Hai-Feng Zhang , Hui Gao , Younghae Do , Zong-Hua Liu

Bootstrap percolation is a process that is used to model the spread of an infection on a given graph. In the model considered here each vertex is equipped with an individual threshold. As soon as the number of infected neighbors exceeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou

In this paper we establish a connection between epidemic models on random networks with general infection times considered in Barbour and Reinert 2013 and first passage percolation. Using techniques developed in Bhamidi, van der Hofstad,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-26 Shankar Bhamidi , Remco van der Hofstad , Julia Komjathy

In the last two decades, network science has blossomed and influenced various fields, such as statistical physics, computer science, biology and sociology, from the perspective of the heterogeneous interaction patterns of components…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-20 Ming Li , Run-Ran Liu , Linyuan Lü , Mao-Bin Hu , Shuqi Xu , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We consider the edge-based compartmental models for infectious disease spread introduced in Part I. These models allow us to consider standard SIR diseases spreading in random populations. In this paper we show how to handle deviations of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Erik M. Volz

Percolation on two-dimensional small-world networks has been proposed as a model for the spread of plant diseases. In this paper we give an analytic solution of this model using a combination of generating function methods and high-order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. E. J. Newman , I. Jensen , R. M. Ziff

We study the problem of parameter estimation based on infection data from an epidemic outbreak on a graph. We assume that successive infections occur via contagion; i.e., transmissions can only spread across existing directed edges in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

A problem closely related to epidemiology, where a subgraph of 'infected' links is defined inside a larger network, is investigated. This subgraph is generated from the underlying network by a random variable, which decides whether a link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-07 M Cotacallapa , M O Hase

This article introduces epidemia, an R package for Bayesian, regression-oriented modeling of infectious diseases. The implemented models define a likelihood for all observed data while also explicitly modeling transmission dynamics: an…

The theory of random graphs goes back to the late 1950s when Paul Erd\H{o}s and Alfr\'ed R\'enyi introduced the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph. Since then many models have been developed, and the study of random graph models has become…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Philippe Deprez , Mario V. Wüthrich

Many real-world networks display a community structure. We study two random graph models that create a network with similar community structure as a given network. One model preserves the exact community structure of the original network,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-21 Clara Stegehuis , Remco van der Hofstad , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Understanding spreading dynamics will benefit society as a whole in better preventing and controlling diseases, as well as facilitating the socially responsible information while depressing destructive rumors. In network-based spreading…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-16 Ai-Xiang Cui , Zimo Yang , Tao Zhou

We present a contact-based model to study the spreading of epidemics by means of extending the dynamic message passing approach to temporal networks. The shift in perspective from node- to edge-centric quantities enables accurate modelling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-07 Andreas Koher , Hartmut H. K. Lentz , James P. Gleeson , Philipp Hövel

Weight distribution largely impacts the epidemic spreading taking place on top of networks. This paper studies a susceptible-infected-susceptible model on regular random networks with different kinds of weight distributions. Simulation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-16 Zimo Yang , Tao Zhou

This work is concerned with epidemiological models defined on networks, which highlight the prominent role of the social contact network of a given population in the spread of infectious diseases. In particular, we address the modelling and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Giovanni Naldi , Giuseppe Patane'

Background: Recently developed techniques to study the spread of infectious diseases through networks make assumptions that the initial proportion infected is infinitesimal and the population behavior is static throughout the epidemic. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-17 Joel C. Miller

Analytical description of propagation phenomena on random networks has flourished in recent years, yet more complex systems have mainly been studied through numerical means. In this paper, a mean-field description is used to coherently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-10-08 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Pierre-André Noël , Vincent Marceau , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

Discrete and Continuous Dynamics is the first in a series of articles on Network Models for Epidemiology. This project began in the Fall quarter of 2014 in my continuous modeling course. Since then, it has taken off and turned into a series…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-04 Edward Rusu