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With a view to statistical inference for discretely observed diffusion models, we propose simple methods of simulating diffusion bridges, approximately and exactly. Diffusion bridge simulation plays a fundamental role in likelihood and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

We propose simple methods for multivariate diffusion bridge simulation, which plays a fundamental role in simulation-based likelihood and Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations. By a novel application of classical coupling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-02 Mogens Bladt , Samuel Finch , Michael Sørensen

Simulation of conditioned diffusion processes is an essential tool in inference for stochastic processes, data imputation, generative modelling, and geometric statistics. Whilst simulating diffusion bridge processes is already difficult on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Erlend Grong , Karen Habermann , Stefan Sommer

Recently Whitaker et al. (2017) considered Bayesian estimation of diffusion driven mixed effects models using data-augmentation. The missing data, diffusion bridges connecting discrete time observations, are drawn using a "residual bridge…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-17 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

In this paper we outline methodology to efficiently simulate (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths without discretisation error. We achieve this by considering the simulation of conditioned (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths in light of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-13 Murray Pollock

The diffusion bridge, which is a diffusion process conditioned on hitting a specific state within a finite period, has found broad applications in various scientific and engineering fields. However, simulating diffusion bridges for modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Gefan Yang , Elizabeth Louise Baker , Michael L. Severinsen , Christy Anna Hipsley , Stefan Sommer

Diffusions are a fundamental class of models in many fields, including finance, engineering, and biology. Simulating diffusions is challenging as their sample paths are infinite-dimensional and their transition functions are typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-11 Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , Michael Sørensen

We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

This study addresses the inverse problem of parameter estimation for Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) by minimizing a regularized discrepancy functional via Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). To achieve computational efficiency, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Francisco Delgado-Vences , José Julián Pavón-Español , Arelly Ornelas

Stochastically evolving geometric systems are studied in shape analysis and computational anatomy for modelling random evolutions of human organ shapes. The notion of geodesic paths between shapes is central to shape analysis and has a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Alexis Arnaudon , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Stefan Sommer

Denoising diffusion models have recently emerged as a powerful class of generative models. They provide state-of-the-art results, not only for unconditional simulation, but also when used to solve conditional simulation problems arising in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-28 Yuyang Shi , Valentin De Bortoli , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We propose a novel method for simulating conditioned diffusion processes (diffusion bridges) in Euclidean spaces. By training a neural network to approximate bridge dynamics, our approach eliminates the need for computationally intensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Gefan Yang , Frank van der Meulen , Stefan Sommer

Deep Ensemble (DE) approach is a straightforward technique used to enhance the performance of deep neural networks by training them from different initial points, converging towards various local optima. However, a limitation of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Hyunsu Kim , Jongmin Yoon , Juho Lee

We consider the task of generating discrete-time realisations of a nonlinear multivariate diffusion process satisfying an It\^o stochastic differential equation conditional on an observation taken at a fixed future time-point. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

This article introduces two techniques for computing the distribution of the absorption or first passage time of the drifted Wiener diffusion subject to Poisson resetting times, to an upper hard wall barrier and to a lower absorbing…

We present a method to downscale idealized geophysical fluid simulations using generative models based on diffusion maps. By analyzing the Fourier spectra of images drawn from different data distributions, we show how one can chain together…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Tobias Bischoff , Katherine Deck

We introduce an inferential framework for a wide class of semi-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Recent work has shown that numerical splitting schemes can preserve critical properties of such types of SDEs, give rise to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-22 Shu Huang , Richard G. Everitt , Massimiliano Tamborrino , Adam M. Johansen

In this work, we aimed to replicate and extend the results presented in the DiffFluid paper[1]. The DiffFluid model showed that diffusion models combined with Transformers are capable of predicting fluid dynamics. It uses a denoising…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-14 Yannick Gachnang , Vismay Churiwala

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer
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