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A key building block in the design of ultra-reliable communication systems is a wireless channel model that captures the statistics of rare events occurring due to significant fading. In this paper, we propose a novel methodology based on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

Diversity schemes play a vital role in improving the performance of ultra-reliable communication systems by transmitting over two or more communication channels to combat fading and co-channel interference. Determining an appropriate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

A proper channel modeling methodology that characterizes the statistics of extreme events is key in the design of a system at an ultra-reliable regime of operation. The strict constraint of ultra-reliability corresponds to the packet error…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

Ultra-reliable and low-latency communication (URLLC) will play a key role in fifth-generation (5G) and beyond networks, enabling mission-critical applications. Meeting the stringent URLLC requirements, characterized by extremely low packet…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Parmida Valiahdi , Niloofar Mehrnia , Walid Saad , Sinem Coleri

Proper determination of the transmission rate in ultra-reliable low latency communication (URLLC) needs to incorporate a confidence interval (CI) for the estimated parameters due to the large amount of data required for their accurate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

Economically responsible mitigation of multivariate extreme risks-such as extreme rainfall over large areas, large simultaneous variations in many stock prices, or widespread breakdowns in transportation systems-requires assessing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Stéphane Lhaut , Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers

Ultra-reliable low latency communication (URLLC) requires the packet error rate to be on the order of $10^{-9}$-$10^{-5}$. Determining the appropriate transmission rate to satisfy this ultra-reliability constraint requires deriving the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

Conventional methods for extreme event estimation rely on well-chosen parametric models asymptotically justified from extreme value theory (EVT). These methods, while powerful and theoretically grounded, could however encounter a difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-05 Yuanlu Bai , Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang

Impact assessment of natural hazards requires the consideration of both extreme and non-extreme events. Extensive research has been conducted on the joint modeling of bulk and tail in univariate settings; however, the corresponding body of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Chenglei Hu , Ben Swallow , Daniela Castro-Camilo

Generating accurate extremes from an observational data set is crucial when seeking to estimate risks associated with the occurrence of future extremes which could be larger than those already observed. Applications range from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Lafon , Philippe Naveau , Ronan Fablet

In extreme values theory, for a sufficiently large block size, the maxima distribution is approximated by the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The GEV distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions, which has…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Cira E. G. Otiniano , Bianca Sousa , Roberto Vila , Marcelo Bourguignon

Inference over tails is usually performed by fitting an appropriate limiting distribution over observations that exceed a fixed threshold. However, the choice of such threshold is critical and can affect the inferential results. Extreme…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-26 Chiara Lattanzi , Manuele Leonelli

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

The EVA 2023 data competition consisted of four challenges, ranging from interval estimation for very high quantiles of univariate extremes conditional on covariates, point estimation of unconditional return levels under a custom loss…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 Léo R. Belzile , Arnab Hazra , Rishikesh Yadav

Ultra-reliable low-latency communications (URLLC) require innovative approaches to modeling channel and interference dynamics, extending beyond traditional average estimates to encompass entire statistical distributions, including rare and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Fateme Salehi , Aamir Mahmood , Sinem Coleri , Mikael Gidlund

Ecess-over-Threshold method is a crucial technique in extreme value analysis, which approximately models larger observations over a threshold using a Generalized Pareto Distribution. This paper presents a comprehensive framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yifan Hu , Yanxi Hou

This paper introduces a sophisticated and adaptable framework combining extreme value theory with radio maps to spatially model extreme channel conditions accurately. Utilising existing signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) measurements and…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Dian Echevarría Pérez , Onel L. Alcaraz López , Hirley Alves

Promising technologies such as massive multiple-input and multiple-output, reconfigurable intelligent reflecting surfaces, non-terrestrial networks, millimetre wave communication, ultra-reliable lowlatency communication are envisioned as…

We propose a novel neural network architecture that enables non-parametric calibration and generation of multivariate extreme value distributions (MEVs). MEVs arise from Extreme Value Theory (EVT) as the necessary class of models when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-03 Ali Hasan , Khalil Elkhalil , Yuting Ng , Joao M. Pereira , Sina Farsiu , Jose H. Blanchet , Vahid Tarokh

Interference prediction that accounts for extreme and rare events remains a key challenge for ultra-densely deployed sub-networks (SNs) requiring hyper-reliable low-latency communication (HRLLC), particularly under dynamic mobility, rapidly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-22 Pramesh Gautam , Sushmita Sapkota , Carsten Bockelmann , Shashi Raj Pandey , Armin Dekorsy
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