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Suspended in the atmosphere are millions of tonnes of mineral dust which interacts with weather and climate. Accurate representation of mineral dust in weather models is vital, yet remains challenging. Large scale weather models use high…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-18 Trish E. Nowak , Andy T. Augousti , Benno I. Simmons , Stefan Siegert

This technical report presents a solution for the 2020 Traffic4Cast Challenge. We consider the traffic forecasting problem as a future frame prediction task with relatively weak temporal dependencies (might be due to stochastic urban…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Jingwei Xu , Jianjin Zhang , Zhiyu Yao , Yunbo Wang

Machine learning models play a vital role in the prediction task in several fields of study. In this work, we utilize the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict the occurrence of extreme events in a nonlinear mechanical system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , A. Venkatasen , M. Senthilvelan

Aerial image segmentation is the basis for applications such as automatically creating maps or tracking deforestation. In true orthophotos, which are often used in these applications, many objects and regions can be approximated well by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Daniel Gritzner , Jörn Ostermann

Running high-resolution physical models is computationally expensive and essential for many disciplines. Agriculture, transportation, and energy are sectors that depend on high-resolution weather models, which typically consume many hours…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Eduardo R. Rodrigues , Igor Oliveira , Renato L. F. Cunha , Marco A. S. Netto

Despite the rapid expansion of smart grids and large volumes of data at the individual consumer level, there are still various cases where adequate data collection to train accurate load forecasting models is challenging or even impossible.…

The formation of precipitation in state-of-the-art weather and climate models is an important process. The understanding of its relationship with other variables can lead to endless benefits, particularly for the world's monsoon regions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-25 Manmeet Singh , Bipin Kumar , Suryachandra Rao , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Ravi S Nanjundiah , Dev Niyogi

This work describes a process for efficiently fine-tuning the GraphCast data-driven forecast model to simulate another analysis system, here the Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS) of Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Christopher Subich

Accurate and efficient climate simulations are crucial for understanding Earth's evolving climate. However, current general circulation models (GCMs) face challenges in capturing unresolved physical processes, such as cloud and convection.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-27 Xin Wang , Jianda Chen , Juntao Yang , Jeff Adie , Simon See , Kalli Furtado , Chen Chen , Troy Arcomano , Romit Maulik , Wei Xue , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Weather forecasts are fundamentally uncertain, so predicting the range of probable weather scenarios is crucial for important decisions, from warning the public about hazardous weather, to planning renewable energy use. Here, we introduce…

Weather forecasting is essential for various human activities. Recent data-driven models have outperformed numerical weather prediction by utilizing deep learning in forecasting performance. However, challenges remain in efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

In recent years, there has been significant progress in the development of fully data-driven global numerical weather prediction models. These machine learning weather prediction models have their strength, notably accuracy and low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Alban Farchi , Marcin Chrust , Marc Bocquet , Massimo Bonavita

The availability of reliable, high-resolution climate and weather data is important to inform long-term decisions on climate adaptation and mitigation and to guide rapid responses to extreme events. Forecasting models are limited by…

Precipitation nowcasting aims to forecast short-term radar echo sequences for extreme weather warning, where both prediction fidelity and inference efficiency are critical for real-world deployment. However, diffusion-based models, despite…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yufeng Zhu , Chunlei Shi , Yongchao Feng , Dan Niu

The representation of nonlinear sub-grid processes, especially clouds, has been a major source of uncertainty in climate models for decades. Cloud-resolving models better represent many of these processes and can now be run globally but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-08 Stephan Rasp , Michael S. Pritchard , Pierre Gentine

The fast adaptation capability of deep neural networks in non-stationary environments is critical for online time series forecasting. Successful solutions require handling changes to new and recurring patterns. However, training deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Quang Pham , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Steven C. H. Hoi

Neural network (NN) models are increasingly used in scientific simulations, AI, and other high performance computing (HPC) fields to extract knowledge from datasets. Each dataset requires tailored NN model architecture, but designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Ariel Keller Rorabaugh , Silvina Caíno-Lores , Michael R. Wyatt , Travis Johnston , Michela Taufer

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruiqi Shu , Huanshuo Dong , Fan Xu , Rui Ray Chen , Yibo Yan , Qingsong Wen , Xuming Hu , Kun Wang , Jiahao Wu , Qing Li , Hui Xiong , Xiaomeng Huang

Accurate ocean forecasting systems are essential for understanding marine dynamics, which play a crucial role in sectors such as shipping, aquaculture, environmental monitoring, and coastal risk management. Traditional numerical solvers,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Daniel Holmberg , Emanuela Clementi , Italo Epicoco , Teemu Roos

AI-based climate and weather models have rapidly gained popularity, providing faster forecasts with skill that can match or even surpass that of traditional dynamical models. Despite this success, these models face a key challenge:…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-20 Jacob B. Landsberg , Elizabeth A. Barnes
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