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Hydrodynamic models with rain-on-the-grid capabilities are usually computationally expensive. This makes the use of automatic calibration algorithms hard to apply due to the large number of model runs. However, with the recent advances in…

Data-driven flood forecasting methods are useful, especially for the rivers that lack hydrological information to build physical models. Although these former methods can forecast river stages using only past water levels and rainfall data,…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-07 Shunya Okuno , Koji Ikeuchi , Kazuyuki Aihara

Rainfall is an important component of the climate system and its statistical properties are vital for prediction purposes. In this study, we have developed a statistical method for constructing the distribution of annual precipitation. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-24 Yosef Ashkenazy , Naftali R. Smith

The use of the annual maximum series for flood frequency analyses limits the considered information to one event per year and one sample that is assumed to be homogeneous. However, flood may have different generating processes, such as…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-29 Svenja Fischer

Upscaling the effect of heterogeneities in porous media is crucial for macroscopic flow predictions, with widespread applications in energy and environmental settings. In this study, we derive expressions for the upscaled flow properties of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-07-06 GP Benham , MJ Bickle , JA Neufeld

Predicting the spatiotemporal variation in streamflow along with uncertainty quantification enables decision-making for sustainable management of scarce water resources. Process-based hydrological models (aka physics-based models) are based…

To track rapid changes within our water sector, Global Water Models (GWMs) need to realistically represent hydrologic systems' response patterns - such as baseflow fraction - but are hindered by their limited ability to learn from data.…

Effective riverine flood forecasting at scale is hindered by a multitude of factors, most notably the need to rely on human calibration in current methodology, the limited amount of data for a specific location, and the computational…

Modeling flow in geosystems with natural fault is a challenging problem due to low permeability of fault compared to its surrounding porous media. One way to predict the behavior of the flow while taking the effects of fault into account is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Youguang Chen , George Biros

We consider random labelings of finite graphs conditioned on a small fixed number of peaks. We introduce a continuum framework where a combinatorial graph is associated with a metric graph and edges are identified with intervals. Next we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Krzysztof Burdzy , Soumik Pal

Accurate and scalable hydrologic models are essential building blocks of several important applications, from water resource management to timely flood warnings. However, as the climate changes, precipitation and rainfall-runoff pattern…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Zach Moshe , Asher Metzger , Gal Elidan , Frederik Kratzert , Sella Nevo , Ran El-Yaniv

Streamflow, as a natural phenomenon, is continuous in time and so are the meteorological variables which influence its variability. In practice, it can be of interest to forecast the whole flow curve instead of points (daily or hourly). To…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-20 Pierre Masselot , Sophie Dabo-Niang , Fateh Chebana , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda

We present the method for computation of fluid flows that are characterized by the large degree of expansion/contraction and in which the fluid velocity is dominated by the bulk component associated with the expansion/contraction and/or…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 A. Y. Poludnenko , A. M. Khokhlov

We propose a macroscopic traffic network flow model suitable for analysis as a dynamical system, and we qualitatively analyze equilibrium flows as well as convergence. Flows at a junction are determined by downstream supply of capacity as…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-25 Samuel Coogan , Murat Arcak

In this research, a functional time series model was introduced to predict future realizations of river flow time series. The proposed model was constructed based on a functional time series's correlated lags and the essential exogenous…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-27 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang , Zaher Mundher Yaseen

New Zealand legislation requires that Regional Councils set limits for water resource usage to manage the effects of abstractions in over-allocated catchments. We propose a simple stacked ensemble machine learning model to predict the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-12-05 Michael J. Friedel , Dave Stewart , Xiao Feng Lu , Pete Stevenson , Helen Manly , Tom Dyer

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing

Understanding how rivers adjust to the sediment load they carry is critical to predicting the evolution of landscapes. Presently, however, no physically based model reliably captures the dependence of basic river properties, such as its…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-09 Predrag Popović , Olivier Devauchelle , Anaïs Abramian , Eric Lajeunesse

The prediction of statistical properties of turbulent flow in large-scale rivers is important for river flow analysis. Large-eddy simulations (LESs) provide a powerful tool for such predictions, however, they require a very long sampling…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-22 Zexia Zhang , Kevin Flora1 , Seokkoo Kang , Ajay B. Limaye , Ali Khosronejad

Predictions of hydrological models should be probabilistic in nature. Our aim is to introduce a method that estimates directly the uncertainty of hydrological simulations using expectiles, thus complementing previous quantile-based direct…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-23 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous , Sina Khatami