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The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

We present a methodology for using unlabeled data to design semi-supervised learning (SSL) methods that improve the predictive performance of supervised learning for regression tasks. The main idea is to design different mechanisms for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

Symbolic regression is a technique that can automatically derive analytic models from data. Traditionally, symbolic regression has been implemented primarily through genetic programming that evolves populations of candidate solutions…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Jiří Kubalík , Robert Babuška

We propose a nonparametric quantile regression method using deep neural networks with a rectified linear unit penalty function to avoid quantile crossing. This penalty function is computationally feasible for enforcing non-crossing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-20 Wenlu Tang , Guohao Shen , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

In this review, we provide practical guidance on some of the main machine learning tools used in portfolio weight formation. This is not an exhaustive list, but a fraction of the ones used and have some statistical analysis behind it. All…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-01 Mehmet Caner Qingliang Fan

Deep neural networks (DNN) have achieved remarkable success in various fields, including computer vision and natural language processing. However, training an effective DNN model still poses challenges. This paper aims to propose a method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Hejie Ying , Mengmeng Song , Yaohong Tang , Shungen Xiao , Zimin Xiao

This paper investigates the enhancement of financial time series forecasting with the use of neural networks through supervised autoencoders, aiming to improve investment strategy performance. It specifically examines the impact of noise…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-19 Bartosz Bieganowski , Robert Slepaczuk

We analyze a fixed-point algorithm for reinforcement learning (RL) of optimal portfolio mean-variance preferences in the setting of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional-heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) with a small penalty on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-17 Andrew Papanicolaou , Hao Fu , Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Farshad Khorrami

Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) is widely used to specify high-level objectives for system policies, and it is highly desirable for autonomous systems to learn the optimal policy with respect to such specifications. However, learning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Daqian Shao , Marta Kwiatkowska

I consider unsupervised extensions of the fast stepwise linear regression algorithm \cite{efroymson1960multiple}. These extensions allow one to efficiently identify highly-representative feature variable subsets within a given set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-13 Jonathan Landy

Kernel density estimation is a key component of a wide variety of algorithms in machine learning, Bayesian inference, stochastic dynamics and signal processing. However, the unsupervised density estimation technique requires tuning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Sunia Tanweer , Firas A. Khasawneh

Technical indicators use graphic representations of data sets by applying various mathematical formulas to financial time series of prices. These formulas comprise a set of rules and parameters whose values are not necessarily known and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Francisco J. Soltero , Pablo Fernández-Blanco , J. Ignacio Hidalgo

We propose an active-learning method for nonlinear minimax regression. Given a nonlinear function that can be arbitrarily evaluated over a compact set, we fit a surrogate model, such as a feedforward neural network, by minimizing the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-24 Alberto Bemporad

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

Deep hedging represents a cutting-edge approach to risk management for financial derivatives by leveraging the power of deep learning. However, existing methods often face challenges related to computational inefficiency, sensitivity to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Lei Zhao , Lin Cai

This paper introduces a consistent estimator and rate of convergence for the precision matrix of asset returns in large portfolios using a non-linear factor model within the deep learning framework. Our estimator remains valid even in low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-30 Mehmet Caner , Maurizio Daniele

This paper proposes a method for machine learning from unlabeled data in the form of a time-series. The mapping that is learned is shown to extract slowly evolving information that would be useful for control applications, while efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-09 Per Rutquist

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar