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We study Markov interval maps with random holes. The holes are not necessarily elements of the Markov partition. Under a suitable, and physically relevant, assumption on the noise, we show that the transfer operator associated with the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Wael Bahsoun , Joerg Schmeling , Sandro Vaienti

In this paper, the large deviations on trajectory level for ergodic Markov processes are studied. These processes take values in the non-negative quadrant of the two dimension lattice and are concentrated on step-wise functions. The rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 A. Mogulskii , E. Pechersky , A. Yambartsev

This paper presents estimates for the distribution of the exit time from balls and short time asymptotics for measure metric Dirichlet spaces. The estimates cover the classical Gaussian case, the sub-diffusive case which can be observed on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andras Telcs

We determine the rate of escape from a potential well, and the diffusion coefficient in a periodic potential, of a random walker that moves under the influence of the potential in between successive collisions with the heat bath. In the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-05 Massimo Pica Ciamarra , Antonio Piscitelli

Generating synthetic financial time series that preserve the statistical properties of real market data is essential for stress testing, risk model validation, and scenario design. Existing approaches struggle to simultaneously reproduce…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Abdulrahman Alswaidan , Jeffrey D. Varner

We propose a "decomposition method" to prove non-asymptotic bound for the convergence of empirical measures in various dual norms. The main point is to show that if one measures convergence in duality with sufficiently regular observables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Benoît Kloeckner

Hidden Markov Processes (HMP) is one of the basic tools of the modern probabilistic modeling. The characterization of their entropy remains however an open problem. Here the entropy of HMP is calculated via the cycle expansion of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-13 Armen E. Allahverdyan

Characterizing the sleep-wake cycle in adolescents is an important prerequisite to better understand the association of abnormal sleep patterns with subsequent clinical and behavioral outcomes. The aim of this research was to develop hidden…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-22 Semhar B. Ogbagaber , Yifan Cui , Kaigang Li , Ronald J. Iannotti , Paul S. Albert

The excursion set model provides a convenient theoretical framework to derive dark matter halo abundances. This paper generalizes the model by introducing a more realistic merging and collapse process. A new parameter regulates the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Grigori Amosov , Peter Schuecker

This paper is a continuation of the study on the stability speed for Markov processes. It extends the previous study of the ergodic convergence speed to the non-ergodic one, in which the processes are even allowed to be explosive or having…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-01 Mu-Fa Chen

We observe the continuous-time Markov Branching Process without high-order moments and allowing Immigration. Limit properties of transition functions and their convergence to invariant measures are investigated. Main mathematical tool is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Azam A. Imomov , Abror Kh. Meyliev

A nonnegative coarse Ricci curvature for a Markov chain and the existence of an attractive point implies the concentration of the invariant probability measure around this point. The mass outside balls centered at the attractive point, as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Laurent Veysseire

Inference in hidden Markov model has been challenging in terms of scalability due to dependencies in the observation data. In this paper, we utilize the inherent memory decay in hidden Markov models, such that the forward and backward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-14 Felix X. -F. Ye , Yi-an Ma , Hong Qian

The current paper presents a novel machinery for studying non-asymptotic minimax estimation of high-dimensional matrices, which yields tight minimax rates for a large collection of loss functions in a variety of problems. Based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Zongming Ma , Yihong Wu

The out-of-equilibrium character of active particles, responsible for accumulation at boundaries in confining domains, determines not-trivial effects when considering escape processes. Non-monotonous behavior of exit times with respect to…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-05-29 Luca Angelani

We consider probability measures on $A^N$, the set of sequences of symbols on a finite alphabet $A$ of length $N$, that give a weight to each sequence in terms of a collection of matrices with non-negative entries and having rows and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Davide Gabrielli , Federica Iacovissi

Let $f$ be a transcendental entire function. By a result of Rippon and Stallard, there exist points whose orbit escapes arbitrarily slowly. By using a range of techniques to prove new covering results, we extend their theorem to prove the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-05 James Waterman

We consider time-inhomogeneous ODEs whose parameters are governed by an underlying ergodic Markov process. When this underlying process is accelerated by a factor $\varepsilon^{-1}$, an averaging phenomenon occurs and the solution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Pierre Monmarché , Edouard Strickler

The stochastic growth-fragmentation model describes the temporal evolution of a structured cell population through a discrete-time and continuous-state Markov chain. The simulations of this stochastic process and its invariant measure are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Dawei Wu , Zhennan Zhou

Adsorption to a surface, reversible-binding, and trapping are all prevalent scenarios where particles exhibit "stickiness". Escape and first-passage times are known to be drastically affected, but detailed understanding of this phenomenon…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-06 Yuval Scher , Shlomi Reuveni , Denis S. Grebenkov
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