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Nonlinear dynamical systems exposed to changing forcing can exhibit catastrophic transitions between alternative and often markedly different states. The phenomenon of critical slowing down (CSD) can be used to anticipate such transitions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Yu Huang , Sebastian Bathiany , Peter Ashwin , Niklas Boers

A wide variety of physical systems ranging from the firing of neurons to eutrophication of lakes to the presence of Arctic summer sea ice exhibit a phenomenon known as tipping. In mathematical models, tipping can be caused by bifurcations,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel , Alice Nadeau , Andrew Roberts , Andrew Steyer

Recent years have witnessed the rise of misinformation campaigns that spread specific narratives on social media to manipulate public opinions on different areas, such as politics and healthcare. Consequently, an effective and efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Yizhou Zhang , Defu Cao , Yan Liu

In recent years, malicious information had an explosive growth in social media, with serious social and political backlashes. Recent important studies, featuring large-scale analyses, have produced deeper knowledge about this phenomenon,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Francesco Pierri , Carlo Piccardi , Stefano Ceri

We examine how misinformation spreads in social networks composed of individuals with long-term offline relationships. Especially, we focus on why misinformation persists and diffuses despite being recognized by most as false. In our…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-13 Shuige Liu

Influence overlap is a universal phenomenon in influence spreading for social networks. In this paper, we argue that the redundant influence generated by influence overlap cause negative effect for maximizing spreading influence. Firstly,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Ning Wang , Zi-Yi Wang , Jian-Guo Liu , Jing-Ti Han

We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

The understanding and prediction of information diffusion processes on networks is a major challenge in network theory with many implications in social sciences. Many theoretical advances occurred due to stochastic spreading models.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-11 Hongrun Wu , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez

The diffusion of ideas is often closely connected to the creation and diffusion of knowledge and to the technological evolution of society. Because of this, knowledge creation, exchange and its subsequent transformation into innovations for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-08-31 Nikolay K. Vitanov , Marcel R. Ausloos

This paper considers online reputation and polling systems where individuals make recommendations based on their private observations and recommendations of friends. Such interaction of individuals and their social influence is modelled as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-01-07 Vikram Krishnamurthy , William Hoiles

In this paper, we consider a random network such that there could be a link between any two nodes in the network with a certain probability (plink). Diffusion is the phenomenon of spreading information throughout the network, starting from…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-11-23 Natarajan Meghanathan

Rate-induced tipping occurs when a ramp parameter changes rapidly enough to cause the system to tip between co-existing, attracting states. We show that the addition of noise to the system can cause it to tip well below the critical rate at…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Katherine Slyman , Christopher K. Jones

Accurate modeling of opinion dynamics has the potential to help us understand polarization and what makes effective political discourse possible or impossible. Here, we use physics-based methods to model the evolution of political opinions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-07 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

Influence diffusion has been central to the study of propagation of information in social networks, where influence is typically modeled as a binary property of entities: influenced or not influenced. We introduce the notion of attitude,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Xiaoyun Fu , Madhavan Rajagopal Padmanabhan , Raj Gaurav Kumar , Samik Basu , Shawn Dorius , Pavan Aduri

This paper aims to show how some popular topics on social networks can be used to predict online newspaper views, related to the topics. Newspapers site and many social networks, become a good source of data to analyse and explain complex…

The rise in online misinformation in recent years threatens democracies by distorting authentic public discourse and causing confusion, fear, and even, in extreme cases, violence. There is a need to understand the spread of false content…

We propose an SIS competition model describing the propagation of conflicting rumors, such as fake news and its corrections. This simple model captures the interaction between rumor propagation and opinion dynamics, where rumors drive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-27 Yu Takiguchi , Koji Nemoto

This paper provides a model to investigate information spreading over cyber-social network of agents communicating with each other. The cyber-social network considered here comprises individuals and news agencies. Each individual holds a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-03-20 Yanbing Mao , Sadegh Bolouki , Emrah Akyol

The impact that information diffusion has on epidemic spreading has recently attracted much attention. As a disease begins to spread in the population, information about the disease is transmitted to others, which in turn has an effect on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Chuang Liu , Ge Zhou , Zi-Ke Zhang , Gui-Quan Sun , Jonathan J. H. Zhu

A universal formula is shown to predict the dynamics of public opinion including eventual sudden and unexpected outbreaks of minority opinions within a generic parameter space of five dimensions. The formula is obtained combining and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-04 Serge Galam , Taksu Cheon
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