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Our goal is to quantify whether, and if so how, spatio-temporal patterns in tropical cyclone (TC) satellite imagery signal an upcoming rapid intensity change event. To address this question, we propose a new nonparametric test of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-29 Trey McNeely , Galen Vincent , Kimberly M. Wood , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

This work introduces two Monte Carlo (MC)-based sampling methods, known as line sampling and subset simulation, to improve the performance of standard MC analyses in the context of asteroid impact risk assessment. Both techniques sample the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-28 Matteo Romano , Matteo Losacco , Camilla Colombo , Pierluigi Di Lizia

In many complex systems studied in statistical physics, inter-arrival times between events such as solar flares, trades and neuron voltages follow a heavy-tailed distribution. The set of event times is fractal-like, being dense in some time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Katharina Hees , Smarak Nayak , Peter Straka

A class of spectral subgrid models based on a self-similar and reversible closure is studied with the aim to minimize the impact of subgrid scales on the inertial range of fully developed turbulence. In this manner, we improve the scale…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-07-19 Luca Biferale , Fabio Bonaccorso , Michele Buzzicotti , Kartik P. Iyer

We study the spatial distribution of clusters associated to the aftershocks of the megathrust Maule earthquake MW 8.8 of 27 February 2010. We used a recent clustering method which hinges on a nonparametric estimation of the underlying…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Adelchi Azzalini

A wide range of atmospheric monitoring instruments is employed at the Pierre Auger Observatory: two laser facilities, elastic lidar stations, aerosol phase function monitors, a horizontal attenuation monitor, star monitors, weather…

Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-13 Michael Prouza

Field level statistics, such as the minimum spanning tree (MST), have been shown to be a promising tool for parameter inference in cosmology. However, applications to real galaxy surveys are challenging, due to the presence of small scale…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-13 Krishna Naidoo , Ofer Lahav

This paper deals with a time-split explicit/implicit approach for solving a two-dimensional hydrodynamic flow model with appropriate initial and boundary conditions. The time-split technique is employed to upwind the convection term and to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Eric Ngondiep

Recent work in the field of cryo-seismology demonstrates that high frequency (>1 Hz) waves provide key constraints on a wide range of glacier processes such as basal friction, surface crevassing or subglacial water flow. Establishing…

The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is crucial in flood protection. This article reviews recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-17 A. C. Davison , S. A. Padoan , M. Ribatet

We construct a N-dimensional Gaussian landscape with multiscale, translation invariant, logarithmic correlations and investigate the statistical mechanics of a single particle in this environment. In the limit of high dimension N>>1 the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Yan V Fyodorov , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

A method for selecting events with densely populated narrow regions or spikes in a given data sample is discussed. Applying this method to 200 A GeV/c 32S-AgBr and 32S-Gold collision data, a few events having "hot regions" are chosen for…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2015-10-13 Shakeel Ahmad , M. M. Khan , Shaista Khan , A. Khatun , M. Irfan

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

We investigate the changing nature of the frequency, magnitude and spatial extent of extreme temperatures in Ireland from 1931 to 2022. We develop an extreme value model that captures spatial and temporal non-stationarity in extreme daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Dáire Healy , Jonathan Tawn , Peter Thorne , Andrew Parnell

Extreme value analysis is an essential methodology in the study of rare and extreme events, which hold significant interest in various fields, particularly in the context of environmental sciences. Models that employ the exceedances of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan

Max-stable processes are increasingly widely used for modelling complex extreme events, but existing fitting methods are computationally demanding, limiting applications to a few dozen variables. $r$-Pareto processes are mathematically…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 Raphaël de Fondeville , Anthony C. Davison

We analyze the French housing market prices in the period 1970-2022, with high-resolution data from 2018 to 2022. The spatial correlation of the observed price field exhibits logarithmic decay characteristic of the two-dimensional random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-28 Antoine-Cyrus Becharat , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

One of the key tasks of any particle collider is measurement. In practice, this is often done by fitting data to a simulation, which depends on many parameters. Sometimes, when the effects of varying different parameters are highly…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-10-12 Forrest Flesher , Katherine Fraser , Charles Hutchison , Bryan Ostdiek , Matthew D. Schwartz

We study the first hitting time statistics between a one-dimensional run-and-tumble particle and a target site that switches intermittently between visible and invisible phases. The two-state dynamics of the target is independent of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-05 Gabriel Mercado-Vásquez , Denis Boyer

We study the subsampling of the avalanches in the fiber bundle model of fracture. In cases where only a part of the system is observed for the micro-failure events, the recorded avalanche statistics gets distorted compared to the actual…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-18 Narendra Kumar Bodaballa , Soumyajyoti Biswas
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