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In this paper we derive martingale estimating functions for the dimensionality parameter of a Bessel process based on the eigenfunctions of the diffusion operator. Since a Bessel process is non-ergodic and the theory of martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Nicole Hufnagel , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

Statistical inference for stochastic processes has advanced significantly due to applications in diverse fields, but challenges remain in high-dimensional settings where parameters are allowed to grow with the sample size. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Dmytro Marushkevych , Francisco Pina , Mark Podolskij

We deal with the change point problem in ergodic diffusion processes based on high frequency data. Tonaki et al. (2020, 2021) studied the change point problem for the ergodic diffusion process model. However, the change point problem for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-26 Yozo Tonaki , Masayuki Uchida

The maximum likelihood approach is adapted to the problem of estimation of drift and diffusion functions of stochastic processes from measured time series. We reconcile a previously devised iterative procedure [Kleinhans et al., Physics…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich

We consider a Poisson equation in $\mathbb R^d$ for the elliptic operator corresponding to an ergodic diffusion process. Optimal regularity and smoothness with respect to the parameter are obtained under mild conditions on the coefficients.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Michael Röckner , Longjie Xie

Score-based diffusion models, while achieving minimax optimality for sampling, are often hampered by slow sampling speeds due to the high computational burden of score function evaluations. Despite the recent remarkable empirical advances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Gen Li , Changxiao Cai

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

This article concerns the estimation of hitting time statistics for potentially non-stationary processes. The main focus is exceedance times of environmental processes. To this end we consider an empirical estimator based on ergodic theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Åsmund Hausken Sande

In many applications, it is often necessary to sample the mean value of certain quantity with respect to a probability measure {\mu} on the level set of a smooth function $\xi: \mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow \mathbb{R}^k$, $1\le k < d$. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Wei Zhang

In this paper, we explore provable acceleration of diffusion models without any additional retraining. Focusing on the task of approximating a target data distribution in $\mathbb{R}^d$ to within $\varepsilon$ total-variation distance, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Gen Li , Yuchen Zhou , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen

We consider the question of estimating the drift and the invariant density for a large class of scalar ergodic diffusion processes, based on continuous observations, in $\sup$-norm loss. The unknown drift $b$ is supposed to belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch

In this work, we explore a time-fractional diffusion equation of order $\alpha \in (0,1)$ with a stochastic diffusivity parameter. We focus on efficient estimation of the expected values (considered as an infinite dimensional integral on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Josef Dick , Hecong Gao , William McLean , Kassem Mustapha

A number of discrete time, finite population size models in genetics describing the dynamics of allele frequencies are known to converge (subject to suitable scaling) to a diffusion process in the infinite population limit, termed the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spano

This paper proposes a widely applicable method of approximate maximum-likelihood estimation for multivariate diffusion process from discretely sampled data. A closed-form asymptotic expansion for transition density is proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Chenxu Li

A constructive approach to theory of diffusion processes is proposed, which is based on application of both the symmetry analysis and method of modelling functions. An algorithm for construction of the modelling functions is suggested. This…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 A. G. Nikitin , S. V. Spichak , Yu. S. Vedula , A. G. Naumovets

In this paper we examine a control variate estimator for a quantity that can be expressed as the expectation of a functional of a random process, that is itself the solution of a differential equation driven by fast mean-reverting ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-10 Josselin Garnier , Laurent Mertz

We provide a general method to analyze the asymptotic properties of a variety of estimators of continuous time diffusion processes when the data are not only discretely sampled in time but the time separating successive observations may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yacine Ait-Sahalia , Per A. Mykland