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This work in progress paper introduces robustness verification for autoencoder-based regression neural network (NN) models, following state-of-the-art approaches for robustness verification of image classification NNs. Despite the ongoing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Neelanjana Pal , Taylor T Johnson

This paper studies some temporal dependence properties and addresses the issue of parametric estimation for a class of state-dependent autoregressive models for nonlinear time series in which we assume a stochastic autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in practical studies, e.g., forecasting, modelling policy transmission mechanism, and measuring connection of economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper introduces a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-02 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Unlike traditional model-based reinforcement learning approaches that estimate system parameters from data, non-model-based data-driven control learns the optimal policy directly from input-state data without any intermediate model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Leilei Cui , Zhong-Ping Jiang , Petter N. Kolm , Grégoire G. Macqueron

We propose an econometric environment for structural break detection in nonstationary quantile predictive regressions. We establish the limit distributions for a class of Wald and fluctuation type statistics based on both the ordinary least…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-13 Christis Katsouris

In this article, we study the statistical and asymptotic properties of break-point estimators in nonstationary autoregressive and predictive regression models for testing the presence of a single structural break at an unknown location in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-29 Christis Katsouris

In this paper, we propose a new test for the detection of a change in a non-linear (auto-)regressive time series as well as a corresponding estimator for the unknown time point of the change. To this end, we consider an at-most-one-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Claudia Kirch , Stefanie Schwaar

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

In this article we consider the nonparametric robust estimation problem for regression models in continuous time with semi-Markov noises observed in discrete time moments. An adaptive model selection procedure is proposed. A sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Vlad Stefan Barbu , Slim Beltaief , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

To have a superior generalization, a deep learning neural network often involves a large size of training sample. With increase of hidden layers in order to increase learning ability, neural network has potential degradation in accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Lianfa Li , Ying Fang , Jun Wu , Jinfeng Wang

In this paper we propose a new parameter estimator that ensures global exponential convergence of linear regression models requiring only the necessary assumption of identifiability of the regression equation,which we show is equivalent to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-20 Lei Wang , Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Jose Guadalupe Romero , Bowen Yi

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

We propose Significance-Offset Convolutional Neural Network, a deep convolutional network architecture for regression of multivariate asynchronous time series. The model is inspired by standard autoregressive (AR) models and gating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Mikołaj Bińkowski , Gautier Marti , Philippe Donnat

In this paper we propose a solution to the problem of parameter estimation of nonlinearly parameterized regressions--continuous or discrete time--and apply it for system identification and adaptive control. We restrict our attention to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Romeo Ortega , Vladislav Gromov , Emmanuel Nuño , Anton Pyrkin , Jose Guadalupe Romero

The standard linear and logistic regression models assume that the response variables are independent, but share the same linear relationship to their corresponding vectors of covariates. The assumption that the response variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Ioannis Panageas

Many modern time series arise on networks, where each component is attached to a node and interactions follow observed edges. Classical time-varying parameter VARs (TVP-VARs) treat all series symmetrically and ignore this structure, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Marios Papamichalis , Regina Ruane , Theofanis Papamichalis

This paper studies the estimation of network weights for a class of systems with binary-valued observations. In these systems only quantized observations are available for the network estimation. Furthermore, system states are coupled with…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

Fully robust versions of the elastic net estimator are introduced for linear and logistic regression. The algorithms to compute the estimators are based on the idea of repeatedly applying the non-robust classical estimators to data subsets…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Fatma Sevinc Kurnaz , Irene Hoffmann , Peter Filzmoser