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Although the governing equations of many systems, when derived from first principles, may be viewed as known, it is often too expensive to numerically simulate all the interactions they describe. Therefore researchers often seek simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-03 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

The computation of two Bayesian predictive distributions which are discrete mixtures of incomplete beta functions is considered. The number of iterations can easily become large for these distributions and thus, the accuracy of the result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jacques Poitevineau , Bruno Lecoutre

For ill-posed inverse problems, a regularised solution can be interpreted as a mode of the posterior distribution in a Bayesian framework. This framework enriches the set the solutions, as other posterior estimates can be used as a solution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-22 Natalia Bochkina

This paper studies the problem of distributed classification with a network of heterogeneous agents. The agents seek to jointly identify the underlying target class that best describes a sequence of observations. The problem is first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 James Z. Hare , Cesar A. Uribe , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

We study a class of linear ordinary differential equations (ODE)s with distributional coefficients. These equations are defined using an {\it intrinsic} multiplicative product of Schwartz distributions which is an extension of the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Nuno Costa Dias , Cristina Jorge , Joao Nuno Prata

Inspired by the stochastic particle method, this paper establishes an easily implementable explicit numerical method for McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) with superlinear growth coefficients. The paper establishes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Yuanping Cui , Xiaoyue Li , Yi Liu , Fengyu Wang

We propose a novel, succinct, and effective approach for distribution prediction to quantify uncertainty in machine learning. It incorporates adaptively flexible distribution prediction of $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{X}=x)$ in regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xing Yan , Yonghua Su , Wenxuan Ma

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

We consider singular-degenerate, multivalued stochastic fast diffusion equations with multiplicative Lipschitz continuous noise. In particular, this includes the stochastic sign fast diffusion equation arising from the Bak-Tang-Wiesenfeld…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-08 Benjamin Gess , Michael Röckner

We study full Bayesian procedures for sparse linear regression when errors have a symmetric but otherwise unknown distribution. The unknown error distribution is endowed with a symmetrized Dirichlet process mixture of Gaussians. For the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples can still be low quality. Detecting such samples without human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Metod Jazbec , Eliot Wong-Toi , Guoxuan Xia , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick , Stephan Mandt

We present a method for computing uncertainties in spectral models, i.e. level populations, line emissivities, and emission line ratios, based upon the propagation of uncertainties originating from atomic data. We provide analytic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Manuel A. Bautista , Vanessa Fivet , Pascal Quinet , Jay Dunn , Theodore R. Gull. Timothy R. Kallman , Claudio Mendoza

Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) is of interest to industry and academia as it provides a framework for quantifying and reducing the uncertainty in computational models by incorporating available data. For systems with very high…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Xinlei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Thomas Gomez , Olivier Coutier-Delgosha

Bayesian methods constitute a popular approach for estimating the conditional independence structure in Gaussian graphical models, since they can quantify the uncertainty through the posterior distribution. Inference in this framework is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Marcus Gehrmann , Håkon Tjelmeland

We consider elastic reflection and transmission of electrons by a disordered system characterized by a $2N\!\times\!2N$ scattering matrix $S$. Expressing $S$ in terms of the $N$ radial parameters and of the four $N\!\times\!N$ unitary…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Rodolfo A. Jalabert , Jean-Louis Pichard

A high-order accurate implicit-mesh discontinuous Galerkin framework for wave propagation in single-phase and bi-phase solids is presented. The framework belongs to the embedded-boundary techniques and its novelty regards the spatial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Vincenzo Gulizzi , Robert Saye

We have previously reported a Bayesian algorithm for determining the coordinates of points in three-dimensional space from uncertain constraints. This method is useful in the determination of biological molecular structure. It is limited,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Russ B. Altman , Cheng C. Chen , William B. Poland , Jaswinder Pal Singh

This paper outlines a methodology for Bayesian multimodel uncertainty quantification (UQ) and propagation and presents an investigation into the effect of prior probabilities on the resulting uncertainties. The UQ methodology is adapted…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-04 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

We study mean field stochastic differential equations with a diffusion coefficient that depends on the distribution function of the unknown process in a discontinuous manner, which is a type of distribution dependent regime switching. To…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Jani Nykänen

In this article we study (possibly degenerate) stochastic differential equations (SDE) with irregular (or discontiuous) coefficients, and prove that under certain conditions on the coefficients, there exists a unique almost everywhere…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-18 Xicheng Zhang