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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are well suited to modelling noisy and irregularly sampled time series found in finance, physics, and machine learning. Traditional approaches require costly numerical solvers to sample between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Naoki Kiyohara , Edward Johns , Yingzhen Li

Backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) appear in numeruous applications. Classical approximation methods suffer from the curse of dimensionality and deep learning-based approximation methods are not known to converge to the BSDE…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Martin Hutzenthaler , Tuan Anh Nguyen

We address the problem of approximating the moments of the solution, $\boldsymbol{X}(t)$, of an It\^o stochastic differential equation (SDE) with drift and a diffusion terms over a time-grid $t_0, t_1, \ldots, t_n$. In particular, we assume…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Albert López-Yela , Joaquin Miguez

A popular approach for modeling and inference in spatial statistics is to represent Gaussian random fields as solutions to stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) of the form $L^{\beta}u = \mathcal{W}$, where $\mathcal{W}$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 David Bolin , Kristin Kirchner

This work is concerned with the quantification of the epistemic uncertainties induced the discretization of partial differential equations. Following the paradigm of probabilistic numerics, we quantify this uncertainty probabilistically.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Ilias Bilionis

Dynamical systems are essential to model various phenomena in physics, finance, economics, and are also of current interest in machine learning. A central modeling task is investigating parameter sensitivity, whether tuning atmospheric…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Rishi Leburu , Levon Nurbekyan , Lars Ruthotto

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

Most ordinary differential equation (ODE) models used to describe biological or physical systems must be solved approximately using numerical methods. Perniciously, even those solvers which seem sufficiently accurate for the forward…

Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Lingkai Kong , Jimeng Sun , Chao Zhang

We present a comprehensive discretization scheme for linear and nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by either Brownian motions or $\alpha$-stable processes. Our approach utilizes compound Poisson particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-14 Xicheng Zhang

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

Given a stochastic differential equation (SDE) in $\mathbb{R}^n$ whose solution is constrained to lie in some manifold $M \subset \mathbb{R}^n$, we propose a class of numerical schemes for the SDE whose iterates remain close to $M$ to high…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-24 John Armstrong , Tim King

Ordinary differential equations (ODE) have been widely used for modeling dynamical complex systems. For high-dimensional ODE models where the number of differential equations is large, it remains challenging to estimate the ODE parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Muye Nanshan , Nan Zhang , Xiaolei Xun , Jiguo Cao

In this paper, we will present a strong (or pathwise) approximation of standard Brownian motion by a class of orthogonal polynomials. The coefficients that are obtained from the expansion of Brownian motion in this polynomial basis are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-21 James Foster , Terry Lyons , Harald Oberhauser

In many fields of application, dynamic processes that evolve through time are well described by systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The analytical solution of the ODEs is often not available and different methods have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-19 Saverio Ranciati , Cinzia Viroli , Ernst Wit

We study fully nonlinear second-order (forward) stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). They can also be viewed as forward path-dependent PDEs (PPDEs) and will be treated as rough PDEs (RPDEs) under a unified framework. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Rainer Buckdahn , Christian Keller , Jin Ma , Jianfeng Zhang

We present a novel solution method for It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs). We subdivide the time interval into sub-intervals, then we use the quadratic polynomials for the approximation between two successive intervals. The main…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Faezeh Nassajian Mojarrad

We consider anticipative Stratonovich stochastic differential equations driven by some stochastic process lifted to a rough path. Neither adaptedness of initial point and vector fields nor commuting conditions between vector field is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Laure Coutin , Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

Mathematical modeling with Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) has proven to be extremely successful in a variety of fields, including biology. However, these models are completely deterministic given a certain set of initial conditions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Hamda Ajmal , Michael Madden , Catherine Enright