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We study the behavior of U.S. markets both before and after U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings, and show that the announcement of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate change causes a financial shock, where the dynamics after the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-05 Alexander M. Petersen , Fengzhong Wang , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

The concept of memory is of central importance for characterizing complex systems and phenomena. Presence of long-term memories indicates how their dynamics can be less sensitive to initial conditions compared to the chaotic cases. On the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Fault ruptures of regular earthquakes typically grow in a self-similar manner, where the radiated energy is proportional to the seismic moment. Their proportionality factor, termed as scaled energy, has been conventionally described as the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-19 Dye SK Sato

The concept of proper time, which is different from universal time, has been introduced into the physics of earthquakes. The global activity of strong earthquakes was chosen as the object of study. We consider the sequence of earthquakes as…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-25 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

We evaluated the efficiency of various models in describing the time decay of aftershock rate of 47 simple sequences occurred in California (37) from 1933 to 2004 and in Italy (10) from 1976 to 2004. We compared the models by the corrected…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Barbara Lolli , Paolo Gasperini

We study the statistical properties of recurrence times in the self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson process, the simplest extension of the Poisson process that takes into account how the past events influence the occurrence of future…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

The Multifractal Stress-Activated (MSA) model is a statistical model of triggered seismicity based on mechanical and thermodynamic principles. It predicts that, above a triggering magnitude cut-off $M_0$, the exponent $p$ of the Omori law…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-06-13 G. Ouillon , E. Ribeiro , D. Sornette

Earthquakes and aftershock sequences follow several empirical scaling laws: One of these laws is Bath's law for the magnitude of the largest aftershock. In this work, Modified Form of Bath's Law and its application to KOERI data have been…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. E. Yalcin , M. L. Kurnaz

Non-inertial afterslip has been inferred to occur following large earthquakes. An explanation for this slow slip phenomenon is that coseismically generated stresses induce sliding on parts of a fault surface with velocity-strengthening…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-04 Brendan J. Meade

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

We study analytically and by numerical simulations the statistics of the aftershocks generated after large avalanches in models of interface depinning that include viscoelastic relaxation effects. We find in all the analyzed cases that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 E. A. Jagla

The interevent time distribution characterizes the temporal occurrence in seismic catalogs. Universal scaling properties of this distribution have been evidenced for entire catalogs and seismic sequences. Recently, these universal features…

By applying natural time analysis to the time series of earthquakes, we find that the order parameter of seismicity exhibits a unique change approximately at the date(s) at which Seismic Electric Signals (SES) activities have been reported…

We study the statistical properties of time distribution of seimicity in California by means of a new method of analysis, the Diffusion Entropy. We find that the distribution of time intervals between a large earthquake (the main shock of a…

A characteristic change of seismicity has been recently uncovered when the precursory Seismic Electric Signals activities initiate before an earthquake occurrence. In particular, the fluctuations of the order parameter of seismicity exhibit…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-27 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Efthimios S. Skordas

It is natural to call the trinity of foreshocks, main shock and aftershocks a classical triad. The magnitude of the main shock is always greater than the maximum magnitudes of foreshocks and aftershocks. In the classical triad, the number…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-13 O. D. Zotov , A. V. Guglielmi

Statistical similarities between earthquakes and other systems that emit cracking noises have been explored in diverse contexts, ranging from materials science to financial and social systems. Such analogies give promise of a unified and…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-06-27 Leandro S. Costa , Ervin K. Lenzi , Renio S. Mendes , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

By analyzing the seismicity in natural time and studying the evolution of the fluctuations of the entropy change of seismicity under time reversal for various scales of different length i (number of events), we can identify the approach of…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-30 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Toshiyasu Nagao

The statistical properties of avalanches in a dissipative particulate system under slow shear are investigated using molecular dynamics simulations. It is found that the magnitude-frequency distribution obeys the Gutenberg-Richter law only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-31 Takahiro Hatano , Clément Narteau , Peter Shebalin

Earthquakes are a complex spatiotemporal phenomenon, the underlying mechanism for which is still not fully understood despite decades of research and analysis. We propose and develop a network approach to earthquake events. In this network,…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Joel N. Tenenbaum , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley
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