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This study introduces the Misclassification Likelihood Matrix (MLM) as a novel tool for quantifying the reliability of neural network predictions under distribution shifts. The MLM is obtained by leveraging softmax outputs and clustering…

The study of network formation is pervasive in economics, sociology, and many other fields. In this paper, we model network formation as a `choice' that is made by nodes in a network to connect to other nodes. We study these `choices' using…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Harsh Gupta , Mason A. Porter

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), which estimate the full posterior distribution over model parameters, are well-known for their role in uncertainty quantification and its promising application in out-of-distribution detection (OoD). Amongst…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Kevin Raina

Multi-modal learning focuses on training models by equally combining multiple input data modalities during the prediction process. However, this equal combination can be detrimental to the prediction accuracy because different modalities…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Hu Wang , Jianpeng Zhang , Yuanhong Chen , Congbo Ma , Jodie Avery , Louise Hull , Gustavo Carneiro

Deep neural networks (DNNs) frequently present behaviorally irregular patterns, significantly limiting their practical potentials and theoretical validity in travel behavior modeling. This study proposes strong and weak behavioral…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Siqi Feng , Rui Yao , Stephane Hess , Ricardo A. Daziano , Timothy Brathwaite , Joan Walker , Shenhao Wang

We study the fundamental problem of offline assortment optimization under the Multinomial Logit (MNL) model, where sellers must determine the optimal subset of the products to offer based solely on historical customer choice data. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuxuan Han , Han Zhong , Miao Lu , Jose Blanchet , Zhengyuan Zhou

Optimizing the assortment of products to display to customers is a key to increasing revenue for both offline and online retailers. To trade-off between exploring customers' preference and exploiting customers' choices learned from data, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Hongbin Zhang , Yu Yang , Feng Wu , Qixin Zhang

In supervised machine learning, models are typically trained using data with hard labels, i.e., definite assignments of class membership. This traditional approach, however, does not take the inherent uncertainty in these labels into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Sjoerd de Vries , Dirk Thierens

We introduce a new method for building classification models when we have prior knowledge of how the classes can be arranged in a hierarchy, based on how easily they can be distinguished. The new method uses a Bayesian form of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Babak Shahbaba , Radford M. Neal

Label-noise learning (LNL) aims to increase the model's generalization given training data with noisy labels. To facilitate practical LNL algorithms, researchers have proposed different label noise types, ranging from class-conditional to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Jingfeng Zhang , Bo Song , Haohan Wang , Bo Han , Tongliang Liu , Lei Liu , Masashi Sugiyama

Multi-label classification is a type of supervised learning where an instance may belong to multiple labels simultaneously. Predicting each label independently has been criticized for not exploiting any correlation between labels. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Hyukjun Gweon , Matthias Schonlau , Stefan Steiner

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainties by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-17 Sujay Thakur , Cooper Lorsung , Yaniv Yacoby , Finale Doshi-Velez , Weiwei Pan

A robust estimation framework for binary regression models is studied, aiming to extend traditional approaches like logistic regression models. While previous studies largely focused on logistic models, we explore a broader class of models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Kenichi Hayashi , Shinto Eguchi

Discrete choice models (DCMs) require a priori knowledge of the utility functions, especially how tastes vary across individuals. Utility misspecification may lead to biased estimates, inaccurate interpretations and limited predictability.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-04 Yafei Han , Francisco Camara Pereira , Moshe Ben-Akiva , Christopher Zegras

In the drug discovery process, where experiments can be costly and time-consuming, computational models that predict drug-target interactions are valuable tools to accelerate the development of new therapeutic agents. Estimating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Ola Engkvist , Lewis Mervin , Yves Moreau , Adam Arany

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Data driven classification that relies on neural networks is based on optimization criteria that involve some form of distance between the output of the network and the desired label. Using the same mathematical analysis, for a multitude of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Kalliopi Basioti , George V. Moustakides

In quantitative genetics, statistical modeling techniques are used to facilitate advances in the understanding of which genes underlie agronomically important traits and have enabled the use of genome-wide markers to accelerate genetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Suyoung Park , Alexander E. Lipka , Daniel J. Eck

Navigation in natural outdoor environments requires a robust and reliable traversability classification method to handle the plethora of situations a robot can encounter. Binary classification algorithms perform well in their native domain…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-23 Lorenz Wellhausen , René Ranftl , Marco Hutter

Travel behavior prediction is a core problem in transportation demand management and is traditionally addressed using numerical models calibrated on observed data. With recent advances in large language models (LLMs), new opportunities have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Baichuan Mo , Hanyong Xu , Ruoyun Ma , Jung-Hoon Cho , Dingyi Zhuang , Xiaotong Guo , Jinhua Zhao