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Related papers: The Rise of Diffusion Models in Time-Series Foreca…

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Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Inference-time controllable generation is essential for real-world applications of unconditional diffusion models. However, most existing techniques focus on individual samples, struggling in applications that require the sample population…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Hao Luan , See-Kiong Ng , Chun Kai Ling

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative models capable of producing high-quality contents such as images, videos, and audio, demonstrating their potential to revolutionize digital content creation. However, these capabilities…

Diffusion models have shown remarkable performance on many generative tasks. Despite recent success, most diffusion models are restricted in that they only allow linear transformation of the data distribution. In contrast, broader family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Grigory Bartosh , Dmitry Vetrov , Christian A. Naesseth

Identifying model parameters from observed configurations poses a fundamental challenge in data science, especially with limited data. Recently, diffusion models have emerged as a novel paradigm in generative machine learning, capable of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-03-14 Yechan Lim , Sangwon Lee , Junghyo Jo

Process analytics is an umbrella of data-driven techniques which includes making predictions for individual process instances or overall process models. At the instance level, various novel techniques have been recently devised, tackling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Johannes De Smedt , Anton Yeshchenko , Artem Polyvyanyy , Jochen De Weerdt , Jan Mendling

Deep Learning has been successfully applied to many application domains, yet its advantages have been slow to emerge for time series forecasting. For example, in the well-known Makridakis (M) Competitions, hybrids of traditional statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-26 John A. Miller , Mohammed Aldosari , Farah Saeed , Nasid Habib Barna , Subas Rana , I. Budak Arpinar , Ninghao Liu

Predictive maintenance has been used to optimize system repairs in the industrial, medical, and financial domains. This technique relies on the consistent ability to detect and predict anomalies in critical systems. AI models have been…

This paper introduces a novel two-dimensional (2D) time series forecasting model that integrates cohort behavior over time, addressing challenges in small data environments. We demonstrate its efficacy using multiple real-world datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Yonathan Guttel , Orit Moradov , Nachi Lieder , Asnat Greenstein-Messica

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

Geological parameterization entails the representation of a geomodel using a small set of latent variables and a mapping from these variables to grid-block properties such as porosity and permeability. Parameterization is useful for data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Guido Di Federico , Louis J. Durlofsky

The imputation of missing values in time series has many applications in healthcare and finance. While autoregressive models are natural candidates for time series imputation, score-based diffusion models have recently outperformed existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Yusuke Tashiro , Jiaming Song , Yang Song , Stefano Ermon

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models have attracted attention in generative time series forecasting due to their remarkable capacity to generate high-fidelity samples. However, the effective utilization of their strong modeling ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Xinyao Fan , Yueying Wu , Chang Xu , Yuhao Huang , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

Kinematic sensors are often used to analyze movement behaviors in sports and daily activities due to their ease of use and lack of spatial restrictions, unlike video-based motion capturing systems. Still, the generation, and especially the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Heiko Oppel , Michael Munz

The astonishing growth of generative tools in recent years has empowered many exciting applications in text-to-image generation and text-to-video generation. The underlying principle behind these generative tools is the concept of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Stanley H. Chan

Continuous-time long-term event prediction plays an important role in many application scenarios. Most existing works rely on autoregressive frameworks to predict event sequences, which suffer from error accumulation, thus compromising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Ling Tian

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

Despite the excelling performance of machine learning models, understanding their decisions remains a long-standing goal. Although commonly used attribution methods from explainable AI attempt to address this issue, they typically rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff

The predictive advantage of combining several different predictive models is widely accepted. Particularly in time series forecasting problems, this combination is often dynamic to cope with potential non-stationary sources of variation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares , Albert Bifet