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This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

This is the second part of a two-part paper on data-based distributionally robust stochastic optimal power flow (OPF). The general problem formulation and methodology have been presented in Part I [1]. Here, we present extensive numerical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Yi Guo , Kyri Baker , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Zechun Hu , Tyler H. Summers

We model thermostatic devices using a stochastic hybrid description, and introduce an external actuation mechanism that creates random switch events in the discrete dynamics. We then conjecture the form of the Fokker-Planck equation and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-01-27 Luminita Cristiana Totu , Rafael Wisniewski , John Leth

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

We use machine learning tools to model the line interaction of failure cascading in power grid networks. We first collect data sets of simulated trajectories of possible consecutive line failure following an initial random failure and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Abdorasoul Ghasemi , Holger Kantz

Stochastic dynamical systems provide essential mathematical frameworks for modeling complex real-world phenomena. The Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov (FPK) equation governs the evolution of probability density functions associated with stochastic…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-13 Yi Zhang , Yiting Duan , Xiangjun Wang , Zhikun Zhang

For large-scale power networks, the failure of particular transmission lines can offload power to other lines and cause self-protection trips to activate, instigating a cascade of line failures. In extreme cases, this can bring down the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-08 Charles Matthews , Bradly Stadie , Jonathan Weare , Mihai Anitescu , Christopher Demarco

Computing the invariant probability measure of a randomly perturbed dynamical system usually means solving the stationary Fokker-Planck equation. This paper studies several key properties of a novel data-driven solver for low-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Matthew Dobson , Yao Li , Jiayu Zhai

We present a stochastic constrained output-feedback data-driven predictive control scheme for linear time-invariant systems subject to bounded additive disturbances. The approach uses data-driven predictors based on an extension of Willems'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Johannes Teutsch , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

The Fokker-Planck (FP) equation governing the evolution of the probability density function (PDF) is applicable to many disciplines but it requires specification of the coefficients for each case, which can be functions of space-time and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Xiaoli Chen , Liu Yang , Jinqiao Duan , George Em Karniadakis

This research focuses on the evolving dynamics of the power grid, where traditional synchronous generators are being replaced by non-synchronous power electronic converter (PEC)-interfaced renewable energy sources. The non-linear dynamics…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-01 Sunil Subedi , Bidur Poudel , Pooja Aslami , Robert Fourney , Hossein Moradi Rekabdarkolaee , Reinaldo Tonkoski , Timothy M. Hansen

This paper investigates an issue of distributed fusion estimation under network-induced complexity and stochastic parameter uncertainties. First, a novel signal selection method based on event-trigger is developed to handle network-induced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-25 Li Liu , Wenju Zhou , Minrui Fei , Zhile Yang , Hongyong Yang , Huiyu Zhou

There is an emerging need for efficient solutions to stochastic AC Optimal Power Flow ({AC-}OPF) to ensure optimal and reliable grid operations in the presence of increasing demand and generation uncertainty. This paper presents a highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-11 Ilyes Mezghani , Sidhant Misra , Deepjyoti Deka

We consider a stochastic logistic growth model involving both birth and death rates in the drift and diffusion coefficients for which extinction eventually occurs almost surely. The associated complete Fokker-Planck equation describing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Fabien Campillo , Marc Joannides , Irène Larramendy-Valverde

We introduce a novel approach based on stochastic optimization to find the optimal sampling distribution for the data-driven stability analysis of switched linear systems. Our goal is to address limitations of existing approaches, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Alexis Vuille , Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

Transition phenomena between metastable states play an important role in complex systems due to noisy fluctuations. In this paper, the physics informed neural networks (PINNs) are presented to compute the most probable transition pathway.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Jianyu Hu , Dongfang Li , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaoli Chen

In this paper, we propose and assess several stochastic parametrizations for data-driven modelling of the two-dimensional Euler equations using coarse-grid SPDEs. The framework of Stochastic Advection by Lie Transport (SALT) [Cotter et al.,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-23 Sagy Ephrati , Paolo Cifani , Erwin Luesink , Bernard Geurts

In this paper, we propose a robust data-driven process model whose hyperparameters are robustly estimated using the Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator. The proposed model is trained on recorded time-series data of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Pooja Algikar , Yijun Xu , Somayeh Yarahmadi , Lamine Mili

Chance-constrained optimization has emerged as a promising framework for managing uncertainties in power systems. This work advances its application to the DC Optimal Power Flow (DC-OPF) model, developing a novel approach to uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Tianyang Yi , D. Adrian Maldonado , Anirudh Subramanyam

Learning the underlying potential energy of stochastic gradient systems from partial and noisy observations is a fundamental problem arising in physics, chemistry, and data-driven modeling. Classical approaches often rely on direct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Yubin Lu , Xiaofan Li , Chun Liu , Qi Tang , Yiwei Wang