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We identify effective stochastic differential equations (SDE) for coarse observables of fine-grained particle- or agent-based simulations; these SDE then provide useful coarse surrogate models of the fine scale dynamics. We approximate the…

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

Parameters of the mathematical model describing many practical dynamical systems are prone to vary due to aging or renewal, wear and tear, as well as changes in environmental or service conditions. These variabilities will adversely affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Hang Geng , Mulugeta A. Haile , Huazhen Fang

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

Well-established methods for the solution of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) typically struggle in problems with high-dimensional inputs/outputs. Such difficulties are only amplified in large-scale applications where even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-10 Constantin Grigo , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Although the governing equations of many systems, when derived from first principles, may be viewed as known, it is often too expensive to numerically simulate all the interactions they describe. Therefore researchers often seek simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-03 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

A potent class of generative models known as Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs) has become prominent. A forward diffusion process adds gradually noise to data, while a model learns to gradually denoise. Sampling from pre-trained DPMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Martin Gonzalez , Nelson Fernandez , Thuy Tran , Elies Gherbi , Hatem Hajri , Nader Masmoudi

Applications in quantitative finance such as optimal trade execution, risk management of options, and optimal asset allocation involve the solution of high dimensional and nonlinear Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). The connection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-28 Batuhan Güler , Alexis Laignelet , Panos Parpas

Simulating the time evolution of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) of large-scale systems is crucial in many scientific and engineering domains such as fluid dynamics, weather forecasting and their inverse optimization problems.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Tailin Wu , Takashi Maruyama , Jure Leskovec

The problem of system identification for the Kalman filter, relying on the expectation-maximization (EM) procedure to learn the underlying parameters of a dynamical system, has largely been studied assuming that observations are sampled at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Peter Halmos , Jonathan Pillow , David A. Knowles

We study a numerical method to compute probability density functions of solutions of stochastic differential equations. The method is sometimes called the numerical path integration method and has been shown to be fast and accurate in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Linghua Chen , Espen Robstad Jakobsen , Arvid Naess

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) driven by random noise play a central role in modeling physical processes with rough spatio-temporal dynamics, such as turbulence flows, superconductors, and quantum dynamics. Although…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Yuantu Zhu , Zheyan Li , Dai Shi , Luke Thompson , Oliver Nash , Jose Miguel Lara Rangel , Siran Li , Bingguang Chen , Rongchan Zhu , Qi Meng , Hao Ni

We present a novel approach for solving steady-state stochastic partial differential equations (PDEs) with high-dimensional random parameter space. The proposed approach combines spatial domain decomposition with basis adaptation for each…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Ramkrishna Tipireddy , Panos Stinis , Alexandre Tartakovsky

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have been widely used to model real world random phenomena. Existing works mainly focus on the case where the time series is modeled by a single SDE, which might be restrictive for modeling time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Zhongchang Sun , Yousef El-Laham , Svitlana Vyetrenko

In engineering, accurately modeling nonlinear dynamic systems from data contaminated by noise is both essential and complex. Established Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, used for the Bayesian identification of these systems, facilitate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-25 Joe D. Longbottom , Max D. Champneys , Timothy J. Rogers

The rates of strong convergence for various approximation schemes are investigated for a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) which involve a random time change given by an inverse subordinator. SDEs to be considered are unique…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Sixian Jin , Kei Kobayashi

We present a novel generative modeling method called diffusion normalizing flow based on stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The algorithm consists of two neural SDEs: a forward SDE that gradually adds noise to the data to transform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Qinsheng Zhang , Yongxin Chen

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

We address parameter estimation in second-order stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are prevalent in physics, biology, and ecology. The second-order SDE is converted to a first-order system by introducing an auxiliary velocity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Predrag Pilipovic , Adeline Samson , Susanne Ditlevsen