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Finding the most powerful node in a dynamic random network, the largest set in a partition-valued stochastic process, or the largest family in an evolving population at a given time, can be a very difficult problem. This is particularly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Cécile Mailler , Peter Mörters , Anna Senkevich

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process with immigration in a random environment. The small positive values and some lower deviation inequalities for $Z$ are investigated. Based on these results, the central limit theorem of $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Yinxuan Zhao , Mei Zhang

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

Many population genetic models have been developed for the purpose of inferring population size and growth rates from random samples of genetic data. We examine two popular approaches to this problem, the coalescent and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-29 Erik M. Volz , Simon DW Frost

We consider a spatial branching process with emigration in which children either remain at the same site as their parents or migrate to new locations and then found their own colonies. We are interested in asymptotics of the partition of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Jean Bertoin

Our principal aim is to observe the Markov discrete-time process of population growth with long-living trajectory. First we study asymptotical decay of generating function of Galton-Watson process for all cases as the Basic Lemma.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Azam A. Imomov

We consider the well-posedness of models involving age structure and non-linear diffusion. Such problems arise in the study of population dynamics. It is shown how diffusion and age boundary conditions can be treated that depend…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2008-10-31 Christoph Walker

We study continuous-time birth-death type processes, where individuals have independent and identically distributed lifetimes, according to a random variable Q, with E[Q]=1, and where the birth rate if the population is currently in state…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal

The dynamics of a population exhibiting exponential growth can be modelled as a birth-death process, which naturally captures the stochastic variation in population size over time. In this article, we consider a supercritical birth-death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-07 Anastasia Ignatieva , Jotun Hein , Paul A. Jenkins

Our purpose is to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters of interest for controlled branching processes (CBPs) without prior knowledge of the maximum number of offspring that an individual can give birth to and without…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

A $p$-jump process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process with jumps by a factor of $p$. We prove a limit theorem for such processes on the unit interval. Via duality with respect to probability generating functions, we deduce limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 F. Hermann , P. Pfaffelhuber

The growth of a population divided among spatial sites, with migration between the sites, is sometimes modelled by a product of random matrices, with each diagonal elements representing the growth rate in a given time period, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-04 David Steinsaltz , Shripad Tuljapurkar

Classical arcsine law states that fraction of occupation time on the positive or the negative side in Brownian motion does not converge to a constant but converges in distribution to the arcsine distribution. Here, we consider how a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Takuma Akimoto , Toru Sera , Kosuke Yamato , Kouji Yano

We consider a class of branching processes called Markovian binary trees, in which the individuals lifetime and reproduction epochs are modeled using a transient Markovian arrival process (TMAP). We estimate the parameters of the TMAP based…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Sophie Hautphenne , Melanie Massaro , Katharine Turner

We investigate two stochastic models of a growing population subject to selection and mutation. In our models each individual carries a fitness which determines its mean offspring number. Many of these offspring inherit their parent's…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Su-Chan Park , Joachim Krug , Léo Touzo , Peter Mörters

Following the pivotal work of Sevastyanov, who considered branching processes with homogeneous Poisson immigration, much has been done to understand the behaviour of such processes under different types of branching and immigration…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Martin Minchev , Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova

In the paper the rescaled occupation time fluctuation process of a certain empirical system is investigated. The system consists of particles evolving independently according to \alpha-stable motion in R^d, \alpha<d<2\alpha. The particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Piotr Milos

We are interested in a stochastic model of trait and age-structured population undergoing mutation and selection. We start with a continuous time, discrete individual-centered population process. Taking the large population and rare…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

We study an ecology-inspired model for a population of bounded size, whose dynamics is governed by random birth, death, and immigration events. Stochastic fluctuations in the number of individuals give rise to a succession of alternating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Lucas M. Brugevin , Damián H. Zanette

Lifespan distributions of populations of quite diverse species such as humans and yeast seem to surprisingly well follow the same empirical Gompertz-Makeham law, which basically predicts an exponential increase of mortality rate with age.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-18 André Grüning , Aasis Vinayak PG
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