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We investigate the link between regularised self-transport problems and maximum likelihood estimation in Gaussian mixture models (GMM). This link suggests that self-transport followed by a clustering technique leads to principled estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Gilles Mordant

The increasing penetration of renewable energy resources in power systems, represented as random processes, converts the traditional deterministic economic dispatch problem into a stochastic one. To solve this stochastic economic dispatch,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-23 Zhixiong Hu , Yijun Xu , Mert Korkali , Xiao Chen , Lamine Mili , Charles H. Tong

Low-thrust orbital transfers are difficult to optimize by indirect methods. The main issues come from the costate guess and from the numerical propagation accuracy required by the shooting method. In the case of a coplanar minimum-time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Max Cerf

We investigate Monte Carlo based algorithms for solving stochastic control problems with probabilistic constraints. Our motivation comes from microgrid management, where the controller tries to optimally dispatch a diesel generator while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Alessandro Balata , Michael Ludkovski , Aditya Maheshwari , Jan Palczewski

Distributionally robust control is a well-studied framework for optimal decision making under uncertainty, with the objective of minimizing an expected cost function over control actions, assuming the most adverse probability distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Lukas Fiechtner , Arec Jamgochian , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

This paper addresses the problem of steering a discrete-time linear dynamical system from an initial Gaussian distribution to a final distribution in a game-theoretic setting. One of the two players strives to minimize a quadratic payoff,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Venkata Ramana Makkapati , Tanmay Rajpurohit , Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

This paper presents a strictly convex chance-constrained stochastic control framework that accounts for uncertainty in control specifications such as reference trajectories and operational constraints. By jointly optimizing control inputs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Teruki Kato , Ryotaro Shima , Kenji Kashima

We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising for random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses a Markov chain Monte Carlo or a Laplace approximation approach to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-03 Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu

We study an optimal control problem under uncertainty, where the target function is the solution of an elliptic partial differential equation with random coefficients, steered by a control function. The robust formulation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Philipp A. Guth , Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Claudia Schillings , Ian H. Sloan

This paper considers a security constrained dispatch problem involving generation and line contingencies in the presence of the renewable generation. The uncertainty due to renewables is modeled using joint chance-constraint and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Amin Maghami , Evrim Ursavas , Ashish Cherukuri

Adapting large-scale foundation models to new domains with limited supervision remains a fundamental challenge due to latent distribution mismatch, unstable optimization dynamics, and miscalibrated uncertainty propagation. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Aueaphum Aueawatthanaphisut , Kuepon Auewattanapisut

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

While many techniques have been developed for chance constrained stochastic optimal control with Gaussian disturbance processes, far less is known about computationally efficient methods to handle non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-23 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

We describe a general strategy for sampling configurations from a given distribution, NOT based on the standard Metropolis (Markov chain) strategy. It uses the fact that nontrivial problems in statistical physics are high dimensional and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 P. Grassberger

Model Predictive Control (MPC) of an unknown system that is modelled by Gaussian Process (GP) techniques is studied in this paper. Using GP, the variances computed during the modelling and inference processes allow us to take model…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Gang Cao , Edmund M-K Lai , Fakhrul Alam

Optimal control is often used in robotics for planning a trajectory to achieve some desired behavior, as expressed by the cost function. Most works in optimal control focus on finding a single optimal trajectory, which is then typically…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Teguh Santoso Lembono , Sylvain Calinon

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This paper studies optimal control problems of unknown linear systems subject to stochastic disturbances of uncertain distribution. Uncertainty about the stochastic disturbances is usually described via ambiguity sets of probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-30 Guanru Pan , Timm Faulwasser

We study linear chance-constrained problems where the coefficients follow a Gaussian mixture distribution. We provide mixed-binary quadratic programs that give inner and outer approximations of the chance constraint based on piecewise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Shibshankar Dey , Sanjay Mehrotra , Anirudh Subramanyam

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov
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