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Signatures, one of the key concepts of rough path theory, have recently gained prominence as a means to find appropriate feature sets in machine learning systems. In this paper, in order to compute signatures directly from discrete data…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Takanori Adachi , Yusuke Naritomi

Rough path theory is focused on capturing and making precise the interactions between highly oscillatory and non-linear systems. It draws on the analysis of LC Young and the geometric algebra of KT Chen. The concepts and the uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Terry Lyons

We bring the theory of rough paths to the study of non-parametric statistics on streamed data. We discuss the problem of regression where the input variable is a stream of information, and the dependent response is also (potentially) a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-23 Daniel Levin , Terry Lyons , Hao Ni

This paper establishes a comprehensive concentration theory for truncated signatures of Gaussian rough paths. The signature of a path, defined as the collection of all iterated integrals, provides a complete description of its geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Atef Lechiheb

We explore the connections between the theories of stochastic analysis and discrete quantum mechanical systems. Naturally these connections include the Feynman-Kac formula, and the Cameron-Martin-Girsanov theorem. More precisely, the notion…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-06-11 Anastasia Doikou , Simon J. A. Malham , Anke Wiese

The signature of a parametric curve is a sequence of tensors whose entries are iterated integrals. This construction is central to the theory of rough paths in stochastic analysis. It is here examined through the lens of algebraic geometry.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-04 Carlos Améndola , Peter Friz , Bernd Sturmfels

Suppose that $\gamma$ and $\sigma$ are two continuous bounded variation paths which take values in a finite-dimensional inner product space $V$. Recent papers have introduced the truncated and the untruncated signature kernel of $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Thomas Cass , Terry Lyons , Xingcheng Xu

Path signatures have been proposed as a powerful representation of paths that efficiently captures the path's analytic and geometric characteristics, having useful algebraic properties including fast concatenation of paths through tensor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-21 Motoya Ohnishi , Iretiayo Akinola , Jie Xu , Ajay Mandlekar , Fabio Ramos

We provide an introduction to the signature method, focusing on its theoretical properties and machine learning applications. Our presentation is divided into two parts. In the first part, we present the definition and fundamental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-29 Ilya Chevyrev , Andrey Kormilitzin

Many finance, physics, and engineering phenomena are modeled by continuous-time dynamical systems driven by highly irregular (stochastic) inputs. A powerful tool to perform time series analysis in this context is rooted in rough path theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Enea Monzio Compagnoni , Anna Scampicchio , Luca Biggio , Antonio Orvieto , Thomas Hofmann , Josef Teichmann

The 'signature method' refers to a collection of feature extraction techniques for multivariate time series, derived from the theory of controlled differential equations. There is a great deal of flexibility as to how this method can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 James Morrill , Adeline Fermanian , Patrick Kidger , Terry Lyons

The signature of a path is a sequence of tensors whose entries are iterated integrals, playing a key role in stochastic analysis and applications. The set of all signature tensors at a particular level gives rise to the universal signature…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Carlos Améndola , Francesco Galuppi , Ángel David Ríos Ortiz , Pierpaola Santarsiero , Tim Seynnaeve

The expected signature uniquely determines the law of a random rough path under a moment-growth condition, yet finite-sample bounds for estimating it from a single long dependent trajectory have been lacking. We study a stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Bryson Schenck

The theory of large random matrices has proved an invaluable tool for the study of systems with disordered interactions in many quite disparate research areas. Widely applicable results, such as the celebrated elliptic law for dense random…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-03-27 Joseph W. Baron

Sequential and temporal data arise in many fields of research, such as quantitative finance, medicine, or computer vision. A novel approach for sequential learning, called the signature method and rooted in rough path theory, is considered.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Adeline Fermanian

In this paper we introduce a general stochastic representation for an important class of processes with resetting. It allows to describe any stochastic process intermittently terminated and restarted from a predefined random or non-random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-11 Marcin Magdziarz , Kacper Taźbierski

Stochastic quantization in physics has been considered to provide a path integral representation of a probability distribution for Ito processes. It has been indicated that the stochastic quantization can involve a potential term, if the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Masakazu Sano

The signature of a path can be described as its full non-commutative exponential. Following T. Lyons we regard its expectation, the expected signature, as path space analogue of the classical moment generating function. The logarithm…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Peter K. Friz , Paul Hager , Nikolas Tapia

Diffusion with stochastic transport is investigated here when the random driving process is a very general Gaussian process, including Fractional Brownian motion. The purpose is the comparison with a deterministic PDE, which in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Franco Flandoli , Francesco Russo

In the context of stochastic portfolio theory we introduce a novel class of portfolios which we call linear path-functional portfolios. These are portfolios which are determined by certain transformations of linear functions of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Christa Cuchiero , Janka Möller