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Imputing missing values in multivariate time series remains challenging, especially under diverse missing patterns and heavy missingness. Existing methods suffer from suboptimal performance as corrupted temporal features hinder effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Dongik Park , Hyunwoo Ryu , Suahn Bae , Keondo Park , Hyung-Sin Kim

Deep learning has become a one-size-fits-all solution for technical and business domains thanks to its flexibility and adaptability. It is implemented using opaque models, which unfortunately undermines the outcome trustworthiness. In order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Anh-Duy Pham , Anastassia Kuestenmacher , Paul G. Ploeger

Causal inference in longitudinal biomedical data remains a central challenge, especially in psychiatry, where symptom heterogeneity and latent confounding frequently undermine classical estimators. Most existing methods for treatment effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Eric V. Strobl

Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

Multivariate time series data for real-world applications typically contain a significant amount of missing values. The dominant approach for classification with such missing values is to impute them heuristically with specific values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-15 SeungHyun Kim , Hyunsu Kim , EungGu Yun , Hwangrae Lee , Jaehun Lee , Juho Lee

Reliable inference requires that artificial intelligence (AI) models provide trustworthy uncertainty estimates, not merely accurate predictions. Recent advances in Bayesian learning have made significant progress toward this goal, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jiayi Huang

Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

The imputation of missing values in time series has many applications in healthcare and finance. While autoregressive models are natural candidates for time series imputation, score-based diffusion models have recently outperformed existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Yusuke Tashiro , Jiaming Song , Yang Song , Stefano Ermon

Perceptual estimates exhibit a reversal in bias depending on uncertainty: they shift toward prior expectations under high stimulus noise, but away from them when sensory noise dominates. The normative framework of a Bayesian observer model…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-16 Hyun-Jun Jeon , Hansol Choi , Oh-Sang Kwon

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Consistency-based diagnosis is an established approach to diagnose technical applications, but suffers from significant modeling efforts, especially for dynamic multi-modal time series. Machine learning seems to be an obvious solution,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Lukas Moddemann , Henrik Sebastian Steude , Alexander Diedrich , Oliver Niggemann

Diffusion models (DMs) have shown promise for Time-Series Data Imputation (TSDI); however, their performance remains inconsistent in complex scenarios. We attribute this to two primary obstacles: (1) non-stationary temporal dynamics, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Zhichao Chen , Hao Wang , Fangyikang Wang , Licheng Pan , Zhengnan Li , Yunfei Teng , Haoxuan Li , Zhouchen Lin

Most of current anomaly detection models assume that the normal pattern remains same all the time. However, the normal patterns of Web services change dramatically and frequently. The model trained on old-distribution data is outdated after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Feiyi Chen , Zhen Qin , Yingying Zhang , Shuiguang Deng , Yi Xiao , Guansong Pang , Qingsong Wen

\textbf{Background:} Machine learning models trained on electronic health records (EHRs) often degrade across healthcare systems due to distributional shift. A fundamental but underexplored factor is diagnostic signal decay: variability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Jingya Cheng , Jiazi Tian , Federica Spoto , Alaleh Azhir , Daniel Mork , Hossein Estiri

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

This paper addresses a multi-label predictive fault classification problem for multidimensional time-series data. While fault (event) detection problems have been thoroughly studied in literature, most of the state-of-the-art techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Wenyu Zhang , Devesh K. Jha , Emil Laftchiev , Daniel Nikovski

Motivated by the simultaneous association analysis with the presence of latent confounders, this paper studies the large-scale hypothesis testing problem for the high-dimensional confounded linear models with both non-asymptotic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Yinrui Sun , Li Ma , Yin Xia

Learning a sequence of tasks without access to i.i.d. observations is a widely studied form of continual learning (CL) that remains challenging. In principle, Bayesian learning directly applies to this setting, since recursive and one-off…

Missing time-series data is a prevalent problem in many prescriptive analytics models in operations management, healthcare and finance. Imputation methods for time-series data are usually applied to the full panel data with the purpose of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-13 Jose Blanchet , Fernando Hernandez , Viet Anh Nguyen , Markus Pelger , Xuhui Zhang

We introduce HTAD, a novel model for diagnosis prediction using Electronic Health Records (EHR) represented as Heterogeneous Information Networks. Recent studies on modeling EHR have shown success in automatically learning representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Anahita Hosseini , Tyler Davis , Majid Sarrafzadeh