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This paper examines a model involving two dynamic Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs that evolve in parallel, with edges in each graph alternating between being present and absent according to specified on- and off-time distributions. A key…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Michel Mandjes , Jiesen Wang

Motivated by the increasing abundance of data describing real-world networks that exhibit dynamical features, we propose an extension of the Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) that accommodates the time variation of its parameters.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Domenico Di Gangi , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

We investigate the computational complexity of the exponential random graph model (ERGM) commonly used in social network analysis. This model represents a probability distribution on graphs by setting the log-likelihood of generating a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-12-05 Michael J. Bannister , William E. Devanny , David Eppstein

Across the sciences, the statistical analysis of networks is central to the production of knowledge on relational phenomena. Because of their ability to model the structural generation of networks, exponential random graph models are a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Bruce A. Desmarais , Skyler J. Cranmer

We consider the two-star model, a family of exponential random graphs indexed by two real parameters, $h$ and $\alpha$, that rule respectively the total number of edges and the mutual dependence between them. Borrowing tools from…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini

The growing availability of network data and of scientific interest in distributed systems has led to the rapid development of statistical models of network structure. Typically, however, these are models for the entire network, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Alessandro Rinaldo

We demonstrate how to generalize two of the most well-known random graph models, the classic random graph, and random graphs with a given degree distribution, by the introduction of hidden variables in the form of extra degrees of freedom,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Bo Soderberg

Exponential family Random Graph Models (ERGMs) can be viewed as expressing a probability distribution on graphs arising from the action of competing social forces that make ties more or less likely, depending on the state of the rest of the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Yue Yu , Gianmarc Grazioli , Nolan E. Phillips , Carter T. Butts

We propose and analyse a novel nonparametric goodness of fit testing procedure for exchangeable exponential random graph models (ERGMs) when a single network realisation is observed. The test determines how likely it is that the observation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Wenkai Xu , Gesine Reinert

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini

The Exponential-family Random Graph Model (ERGM) is a powerful model to fit networks with complex structures. However, for dynamic valued networks whose observations are matrices of counts that evolve over time, the development of the ERGM…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Yik Lun Kei , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Bayesian inference for exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) is a doubly-intractable problem because of the intractability of both the likelihood and posterior normalizing factor. Auxiliary variable based Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-15 Fan Yin , Carter T. Butts

Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) are an inferential model for analysing statistical networks. Recent development in ERGMs uses hierarchical Bayesian setup to jointly model a group of networks, which is called a multiple-network…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 Yefeng Fan , Simon Richard White

We introduce a method for the theoretical analysis of exponential random graph models. The method is based on a large-deviations approximation to the normalizing constant shown to be consistent using theory developed by Chatterjee and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis

We consider three classes of random graphs: edge random graphs, vertex random graphs, and vertex-edge random graphs. Edge random graphs are Erdos-Renyi random graphs, vertex random graphs are generalizations of geometric random graphs, and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-10-14 Elizabeth Beer , James Allen Fill , Svante Janson , Edward R. Scheinerman

In this paper we consider the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph in the sparse regime in the limit as the number of vertices $n$ tends to infinity. We are interested in what this graph looks like when it contains many triangles, in two…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Suman Chakraborty , Remco van der Hofstad , Frank den Hollander

What does an Erdos-Renyi graph look like when a rare event happens? This paper answers this question when p is fixed and n tends to infinity by establishing a large deviation principle under an appropriate topology. The formulation and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-05 Sourav Chatterjee , S. R. S. Varadhan

Designing reliable networks consists in finding topological structures, which are able to successfully carry out desired processes and operations. When this set of activities performed within a network are unknown and the only available…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Stefano Nasini

We investigate the evidence/flexibility (i.e., "Occam") paradigm and demonstrate the theoretical and empirical consistency of Bayesian evidence for the task of determining an appropriate generative model for network data. This model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Tianyu Wang , Zachary M. Pisano , Carey E. Priebe

We extend the well-known and widely used Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) by including nodal random effects to compensate for heterogeneity in the nodes of a network. The Bayesian framework for ERGMs proposed by Caimo and Friel (2011)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-13 Stephanie Thiemichen , Nial Friel , Alberto Caimo , Göran Kauermann