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Data assimilation (DA) aims to estimate the full state of a dynamical system by combining partial and noisy observations with a prior model forecast, commonly referred to as the background. In atmospheric applications, this problem is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-29 Jing-An Sun , Hang Fan , Junchao Gong , Ben Fei , Kun Chen , Fenghua Ling , Wenlong Zhang , Wanghan Xu , Li Yan , Pierre Gentine , Lei Bai

Data-driven prediction and physics-agnostic machine-learning methods have attracted increased interest in recent years achieving forecast horizons going well beyond those to be expected for chaotic dynamical systems. In a separate strand of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-19 Georg A. Gottwald , Sebastian Reich

This work presents a fast, uncertainty-aware sequential data assimilation framework for estimating key aerodynamic states (e.g., instantaneous vorticity fields and aerodynamic loads) during severe gust encounters, where vortex-gust…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-20 Hanieh Mousavi , Anya Jones , Jeff Eldredge

Data assimilation has been applied to coastal hydrodynamic models to better estimate system states or parameters by incorporating observed data into the model. Kalman Filter (KF) is one of the most studied data assimilation methods whose…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-07-05 Milad Hooshyar , Stephen C. Medeiros , Dingbao Wang , Scott C. Hagen

Data assimilation is a method that combines observations (that is, real world data) of a state of a system with model output for that system in order to improve the estimate of the state of the system and thereby the model output. The model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Melina A. Freitag

Data assimilation algorithms are used to estimate the states of a dynamical system using partial and noisy observations. The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation scheme due to its simplicity and robustness for a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Gottfried Hastermann , Maria Reinhardt , Rupert Klein , Sebastian Reich

The use of model order reduction techniques in combination with ensemble-based methods for estimating the state of systems described by nonlinear partial differential equations has been of great interest in recent years in the data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Karen Veroy

Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatio-temporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-16 Andrew Cleary , Qi Wang , Tamer A. Zaki

Marine biogeochemistry models are critical for forecasting, as well as estimating ecosystem responses to climate change and human activities. Data assimilation (DA) improves these models by aligning them with real-world observations, but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-08 Ieuan Higgs , Ross Bannister , Jozef Skákala , Alberto Carrassi , Stefano Ciavatta

A data-driven investigation of the flow around a high-rise building is performed combining heterogeneous experimental samples and RANS CFD. The coupling is performed using techniques based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), including…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-27 Lucas Villanueva , Miguel Martinez Valero , Anina Sarkic Glumac , Marcello Meldi

Accurate knowledge of time-variation in meridional flow-speed and profile is crucial for estimating a solar cycle's features, which are ultimately responsible for causing space climate variations. However, no consensus has been reached yet…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-08-22 Mausumi Dikpati , Jeffrey L. Anderson , Dhrubaditya Mitra

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a data assimilation technique that uses an ensemble of models, updated with data, to track the time evolution of a usually non-linear system. It does so by using an empirical approximation to the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-12 Elizabeth Hou , Earl Lawrence , Alfred O. Hero

Complex systems are often described with competing models. Such divergence of interpretation on the system may stem from model fidelity, mathematical simplicity, and more generally, our limited knowledge of the underlying processes.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Lun Yang , Akil Narayan , Peng Wang

The Kalman filter is a fundamental tool for state estimation in dynamical systems. While originally developed for linear Gaussian settings, it has been extended to nonlinear problems through approaches such as the extended and unscented…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Yuan Wu , Sicheng He

Earth system modeling presents a fundamental challenge in scientific computing: capturing complex, multiscale nonlinear dynamics in computationally efficient models while minimizing forecast errors caused by necessary simplifications. Even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Yongquan Qu , Matthieu Blanke , Sara Shamekh , Pierre Gentine

Estimating background-error covariances remains a core challenge in variational data assimilation (DA). Operational systems typically approximate these covariances by transformations that separate geostrophically balanced components from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Boštjan Melinc , Uroš Perkan , Žiga Zaplotnik

Accurate modeling and prediction of complex physical systems often rely on data assimilation techniques to correct errors inherent in model simulations. Traditional methods like the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and its variants as well as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Phillip Si , Peng Chen

Data assimilation (DA) addresses the problem of sequentially estimating the state of a dynamical system from noisy and incomplete observations. In this work, we employ a diffusion model as a world model to simulate and predict the system's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lifu Wei , Yinuo Ren , Naichen Shi , Yiping Lu

We present a new type of the EnKF for data assimilation in spatial models that uses diagonal approximation of the state covariance in the wavelet space to achieve adaptive localization. The efficiency of the new method is demonstrated on an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Jonathan D. Beezley , Jan Mandel , Loren Cobb

Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch
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