English
Related papers

Related papers: Unsafe Probabilities and Risk Contours for Stochas…

200 papers

Estimation of convex functions finds broad applications in engineering and science, while convex shape constraint gives rise to numerous challenges in asymptotic performance analysis. This paper is devoted to minimax optimal estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Teresa M. Lebair , Jinglai Shen , Xiao Wang

We investigate constrained optimal control problems for linear stochastic dynamical systems evolving in discrete time. We consider minimization of an expected value cost over a finite horizon. Hard constraints are introduced first, and then…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-07 Eugenio Cinquemani , Mayank Agarwal , Debasish Chatterjee , John Lygeros

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) in which the transition probabilities and rewards belong to an uncertainty set parametrized by a collection of random variables. The probability distributions for these random parameters are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Matus Telgarsky , Miroslav Dudík , Robert Schapire

When an expert operates a perilous dynamic system, ideal constraint information is tacitly contained in their demonstrated trajectories and controls. The likelihood of these demonstrations can be computed, given the system dynamics and task…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-26 David L. McPherson , Kaylene C. Stocking , S. Shankar Sastry

This work investigates the challenge of ensuring safety guarantees in the presence of uncontrollable agents, whose behaviors are stochastic and depend on both their own and the system's states. We present a neural model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Shuqi Wang , Mingyang Feng , Yu Chen , Yue Gao , Xiang Yin

In this paper, "chance optimization" problems are introduced, where one aims at maximizing the probability of a set defined by polynomial inequalities. These problems are, in general, nonconvex and computationally hard. With the objective…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Ashkan Jasour , Necdet Serhat Aybat , Constantino Lagoa

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn

Achieving safe control under uncertainty is a key problem that needs to be tackled for enabling real-world autonomous robots and cyber-physical systems. This paper introduces Probabilistic Safety Programs (PSP) that embed both the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Ashish Kapoor , Debadeepta Dey , Shital Shah

We consider the safety evaluation of discrete time, stochastic systems over a finite horizon. Therefore, we discuss and link probabilistic invariance with reachability as well as reach-avoid problems. We show how to efficiently compute…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-17 Niklas Schmid , John Lygeros

Large sectors of the recent optimization literature focused in the last decade on the development of optimal stochastic first order schemes for constrained convex models under progressively relaxed assumptions. Stochastic proximal point is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Andrei Patrascu

We develop an algorithm for computing bounded reachability probability for hybrid systems, i.e., the probability that the system reaches an unsafe region within a finite number of discrete transitions. In particular, we focus on hybrid…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Fedor Shmarov , Paolo Zuliani

This paper presents algorithms that upper-bound the peak value of a state function along trajectories of a continuous-time system with rational dynamics. The finite-dimensional but nonconvex peak estimation problem is cast as a convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Jared Miller , Roy S. Smith

A functional risk curve gives the probability of an undesirable event as a function of the value of a critical parameter of a considered physical system. In several applicative situations, this curve is built using phenomenological…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Bertrand Iooss , Loïc Le Gratiet

We consider an unconstrained continuous optimization problem where, in each iteration, gradient estimates may be arbitrarily corrupted with a probability greater than 1/2. Additionally, function value estimates may exhibit heavy-tailed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Katya Scheinberg , Miaolan Xie

We consider the Scenario Convex Program (SCP) for two classes of optimization problems that are not tractable in general: Robust Convex Programs (RCPs) and Chance-Constrained Programs (CCPs). We establish a probabilistic bridge from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tobias Sutter , John Lygeros

The region of attraction characterizes well-behaved and safe operation of a nonlinear system and is hence sought after for verification. In this paper, a framework for probabilistic region of attraction estimation is developed that combines…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Torbjørn Cunis

This paper presents an algorithm to solve non-convex optimal control problems, where non-convexity can arise from nonlinear dynamics, and non-convex state and control constraints. This paper assumes that the state and control constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Yuanqi Mao , Michael Szmuk , Behcet Acikmese

This paper presents an algorithm to apply nonlinear control design approaches in the case of stochastic systems with partial state observation. Deterministic nonlinear control approaches are formulated under the assumption of full state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Mohammad Alsuwaidan , Ahmed Atallah , Sylvia Herbert

We propose a novel distribution-free scheme to solve optimization problems where the goal is to minimize the expected value of a cost function subject to probabilistic constraints. Unlike standard sampling-based methods, our idea consists…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Francesco Cordiano , Matin Jafarian , Bart De Schutter