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This paper studies an adaptive approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting (WPF) including offline and online learning procedures. In the offline learning stage, a base forecast model is trained via inner and outer loop updates of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-17 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Hongbin Sun

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

Periodic time series (PTS) forecasting plays a crucial role in a variety of industries to foster critical tasks, such as early warning, pre-planning, resource scheduling, etc. However, the complicated dependencies of the PTS signal on its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Wei Fan , Shun Zheng , Xiaohan Yi , Wei Cao , Yanjie Fu , Jiang Bian , Tie-Yan Liu

Deep learning has gained immense popularity in the Earth sciences as it enables us to formulate purely data-driven models of complex Earth system processes. Deep learning-based weather prediction (DLWP) models have made significant progress…

The integration of wind energy into power grids necessitates accurate ultra-short-term wind power forecasting to ensure grid stability and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces M2WLLM, an innovative model that leverages the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Hang Fana , Mingxuan Lib , Zuhan Zhanga , Long Chengc , Yujian Ye , Dunnan Liua

The rapid expansion of renewable energy, particularly wind and solar power, has made reliable forecasting critical for power system operations. While recent deep learning models have achieved strong average accuracy, the increasing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Zhi Sheng , Yuan Yuan , Guozhen Zhang , Yong Li

The rapid growth of the wind energy sector underscores the urgent need to optimize turbine operations and ensure effective maintenance through early fault detection systems. While traditional empirical and physics-based models offer…

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

The global energy transition depends on large-scale photovoltaic (PV) and wind power deployment. While 2050 targets suggest a transition endpoint, maintaining these systems beyond mid-century requires continuous renewal, marking a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-25 Joseph Le Bihan , Thomas Lapi , José Halloy

The growth of wind generation capacities in the past decades has shown that wind energy can contribute to the energy transition in many parts of the world. Being highly variable and complex to model, the quantification of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Alina Walch , Nahid Mohajeri , Jean-Louis Scartezzini , Mikhail Kanevski

In this paper, we propose a novel scenario forecasts approach which can be applied to a broad range of power system operations (e.g., wind, solar, load) over various forecasts horizons and prediction intervals. This approach is model-free…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-21 Yize Chen , Xiyu Wang , Baosen Zhang

Renewable energy sources, especially wind energy, are to play a larger role in providing electricity to industrial and domestic consumers. This is already the case today for a number of European countries, closely followed by the US and…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Pierre Pinson

Wind power is attracting increasing attention around the world due to its renewable, pollution-free, and other advantages. However, safely and stably integrating the high permeability intermittent power energy into electric power systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Yang Zhang , Lingbo Liu , Xinyu Xiong , Guanbin Li , Guoli Wang , Liang Lin

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in electricity markets. However, it's inherent variability and uncertainty cause operational challenges and costs as more operating reserves are needed to maintain system reliability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Yishen Wang , Zhi Zhou , Cong Liu , Audun Botterud

Wind power is one of the most important renewable energy sources and accurate wind power forecasting is very significant for reliable and economic power system operation and control strategies. This paper proposes a novel framework with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Xingbo Fu , Feng Gao , Jiang Wu , Xinyu Wei , Fangwei Duan

The ever-growing use of wind energy makes necessary the optimization of turbine operations through pitch angle controllers and their maintenance with early fault detection. It is crucial to have accurate and robust models imitating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Alfonso Gijón , Ainhoa Pujana-Goitia , Eugenio Perea , Miguel Molina-Solana , Juan Gómez-Romero

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

The increasing installation rate of wind power poses great challenges to the global power system. In order to ensure the reliable operation of the power system, it is necessary to accurately forecast the wind speed and power of the wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Yang Yang , Jin Lang , Jian Wu , Yanyan Zhang , Xiang Zhao

Wind flow can be highly unpredictable and can suffer substantial fluctuations in speed and direction due to the shape and height of hills, mountains, and valleys, making accurate wind speed (WS) forecasting essential in complex terrain.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Sourav Malakar , Saptarsi Goswami , Amlan Chakrabarti , Bhaswati Ganguli

The share of wind energy in total installed power capacity has grown rapidly in recent years around the world. Producing accurate and reliable forecasts of wind power production, together with a quantification of the uncertainty, is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-26 Amanda Lenzi , Ingelin Steinsland , Pierre Pinson