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The rise of ChatGPT has brought a notable shift to the AI sector, with its exceptional conversational skills and deep grasp of language. Recognizing its value across different areas, our study investigates ChatGPT's capacity to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Ummara Mumtaz , Summaya Mumtaz

This research investigates the growing trend of retail investors participating in certain stocks by organizing themselves on social media platforms, particularly Reddit. Previous studies have highlighted a notable association between Reddit…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-22 Tim Matthies , Thomas Löhden , Stephan Leible , Jun-Patrick Raabe

The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is widely accepted to hold true under certain assumptions. One of its implications is that the prediction of stock prices at least in the short run cannot outperform the random walk model. Yet, recently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Panagiotis Papaioannnou , Lucia Russo , George Papaioannou , Constantinos Siettos

In this study, we wish to showcase the unique utility of large language models (LLMs) in financial semantic annotation and alpha signal discovery. Leveraging a corpus of company-related tweets, we use an LLM to automatically assign…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Yueyi Wang , Qiyao Wei

Over the past decade humans have experienced exponential growth in the use of online resources, in particular social media and microblogging websites such as Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and also mobile applications such as WhatsApp, Line,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-09-09 Rishabh Soni , K. James Mathai

This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of a novel method called linear law-based feature space transformation (LLT) on the accuracy of intraday price movement prediction of cryptocurrencies. To do this, the 1-minute interval…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

Cryptocurrencies have gained tremendous popularity over the past few years. The purpose of this study is to try to understand the factors that are driving cryptocurrency-related trading activities. Focusing on the well-established…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-04 Natalia Jerdack , Akmaral Dauletbek , Meredith Divine , Michael Hult , Arthur Carvalho

Can unstructured text data from social media help explain the drivers of large asset price fluctuations? This paper investigates how social forces affect asset prices, by using machine learning tools to extract beliefs and positions of…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-09 Valentina Semenova , Julian Winkler

Predicting investors reactions to financial and political news is important for the early detection of stock market jitters. Evidence from several recent studies suggests that online social media could improve prediction of stock market…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-20 Fani Tsapeli , Nikolaos Bezirgiannidis , Peter Tino , Mirco Musolesi

Artificial intelligence (AI)-powered recommender systems play a crucial role in determining the content that users are exposed to on social media platforms. However, the behavioural patterns of these systems are often opaque, complicating…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Giulio Corsi

The digital town hall of Twitter becomes a preferred medium of communication for individuals and organizations across the globe. Some of them reach audiences of millions, while others struggle to get noticed. Given the impact of social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Damian Konrad Kowalczyk , Jan Larsen

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

Social media have substantially altered the way brands and businesses advertise: Online Social Networks provide brands with more versatile and dynamic channels for advertisement than traditional media (e.g., TV and radio). Levels of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-12-24 Shana Dacres , Hamed Haddadi , Matthew Purver

Measuring and forecasting opinion trends from real-time social media is a long-standing goal of big-data analytics. Despite its importance, there has been no conclusive scientific evidence so far that social media activity can capture the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Alexandre Bovet , Flaviano Morone , Hernan A. Makse

What is the role of social interactions in the creation of price bubbles? Answering this question requires obtaining collective behavioural traces generated by the activity of a large number of actors. Digital currencies offer a unique…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-11 David Garcia , Claudio Juan Tessone , Pavlin Mavrodiev , Nicolas Perony

There is a consensus about the good sensing characteristics of Twitter to mine and uncover knowledge in financial markets, being considered a relevant feeder for taking decisions about buying or holding stock shares and even for detecting…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-20 Ana Fernández Vilas , Rebeca Díaz Redondo , Antón Lorenzo García

Financial market like the price of stock, share, gold, oil, mutual funds are affected by the news and posts on social media. In this work deep learning based models are proposed to predict the trend of financial market based on NLP analysis…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Arijit Das , Tanmoy Nandi , Prasanta Saha , Suman Das , Saronyo Mukherjee , Sudip Kumar Naskar , Diganta Saha

The study of the stock market with the attraction of machine learning approaches is a major direction for revealing hidden market regularities. This knowledge contributes to a profound understanding of financial market dynamics and getting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Andrei Zaichenko , Aleksei Kazakov , Elizaveta Kovtun , Semen Budennyy

Recent works have shown that social media platforms are able to influence the trends of stock price movements. However, existing works have majorly focused on the U.S. stock market and lacked attention to certain emerging countries such as…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Jiawei Shi , Di Wang , Binxing Fang
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