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Segmented regression is a standard statistical procedure used to estimate the effect of a policy intervention on time series outcomes. This statistical method assumes the normality of the outcome variable, a large sample size, no…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-18 Mohammad M. Islam , Ph. D. , Erik L. Heiny , Ph. D

Social scientists have criticised computer models of pedestrian streams for their treatment of psychological crowds as mere aggregations of individuals. Indeed most models for evacuation dynamics use analogies from physics where pedestrians…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-13 I. von Sivers , A. Templeton , F. Künzner , G. Köster , J. Drury , A. Philippides , T. Neckel , H. -J. Bungartz

Several statistical and machine learning methods are proposed to estimate the type and intensity of physical load and accumulated fatigue . They are based on the statistical analysis of accumulated and moving window data subsets with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Sergii Stirenko , Gang Peng , Wei Zeng , Yuri Gordienko , Oleg Alienin , Oleksandr Rokovyi , Nikita Gordienko

The increasing number of mass events involving large crowds calls for a better understanding of the dynamics of dense crowds. Inquiring into the possibility of a mechanical description of these dynamics, we experimentally study the crossing…

In crowd behavior understanding, a model of crowd behavior need to be trained using the information extracted from video sequences. Since there is no ground-truth available in crowd datasets except the crowd behavior labels, most of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-07-27 Hamidreza Rabiee , Javad Haddadnia , Hossein Mousavi , Moin Nabi , Vittorio Murino , Nicu Sebe

This paper is concerned with a family of Reaction-Diffusion systems that we introduced in [15], and that generalizes the SIR type models from epidemiology. Such systems are now also used to describe collective behaviors.In this paper, we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Henri Berestycki , Samuel Nordmann , Luca Rossi

In recent years, anomaly events detection in crowd scenes attracts many researchers' attention, because of its importance to public safety. Existing methods usually exploit visual information to analyze whether any abnormal events have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Junyu Gao , Maoguo Gong , Xuelong Li

The modelling of human crowd behaviors offers many challenging questions to science in general. Specifically, the social human behavior consists of many physiological and psychological processes which are still largely unknown. To model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-17 Thi Kim Thoa Thieu , Roderick Melnik

Understanding pedestrian dynamics and the interaction of pedestrians with their environment is crucial to the safe and comfortable design of pedestrian facilities. Experiments offer the opportunity to explore the influence of individual…

Nowadays, social media is the main tool in our new lives. The outbreak news and all related obtained from social media, and mob events affect the of spread these news fast. Recently, epidemiological models to study disease spread and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Jumana H. S. Alkhalissi , Ahmed Al-Taweel

During intergroup confrontations, agitating stimuli such as opponents' threats and provocations can trigger collective violence, even without the usual mechanisms of ingroup cooperation, such as norms with sanctions. We examine video…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-31 Jeroen Bruggeman , Don Weenink , Bram Mak

In reinforcement learning with sparse rewards, demonstrations can accelerate learning, but determining when to imitate them remains challenging. We propose Smooth Policy Regularisation from Demonstrations (SPReD), a framework that addresses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Yujie Zhu , Charles A. Hepburn , Matthew Thorpe , Giovanni Montana

We develop a mathematical model to describe the persistence of rule-breaking behaviors in societies, such as traffic violations, disregard for legal restrictions and other forms of noncompliance. Using a replicator-type dynamics with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-27 Nuno Crokidakis

This study presents a spatiotemporal dual Bayesian model that examines both the occurrence and number of conflict fatalities using event-level data from Ethiopia (1997-2024), sourced from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED)…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-04 Yassin Tesfaw Abebe , Abdu Mohammed Seid , Lassi Roininen , Mohammed Seid Ali

The analysis of adverse events (AEs) is a key component in the assessment of a drug's safety profile. Inappropriate analysis methods may result in misleading conclusions about a therapy's safety and consequently its benefit-risk ratio. The…

This article introduces a modeling framework to characterize evacuee response to environmental stimuli during emergency egress. The model is developed in consistency with stress theory, which explains how an organism reacts to environmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-23 Peng N. Wang , Xiaoda Wang , Peter B. Luh , Christian Wilkie , Timo Korhonen , Neal Olderman

Individualized treatment decisions can improve health outcomes, but using data to make these decisions in a reliable, precise, and generalizable way is challenging with a single dataset. Leveraging multiple randomized controlled trials…

A predictive model of terrorist activity is developed by examining the daily number of terrorist attacks in Indonesia from 1994 through 2007. The dynamic model employs a shot noise process to explain the self-exciting nature of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-19 Michael D. Porter , Gentry White

The antagonistic behavior in the crowd usually exacerbates the seriousness of the situation in sudden riots, where the antagonistic emotional contagion and behavioral decision making play very important roles. However, the complex mechanism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Pei Lv , Qingqing Yu , Boya Xu , Chaochao Li , Bing Zhou , Mingliang Xu

Social media has dramatically influenced how individuals and groups express their demands, concerns and aspirations during social demonstrations. The study of X or Twitter hashtags during those events has revealed the presence of some…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-11 Daniel Rico , Yérali Gandica