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Sea Level Rise (SLR) is one of the most pressing challenges of climate change and has drawn noticeable research interest over the past few decades. Factors induced by global climate change such as temperature increase, have resulted in both…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-21 Leena Elneel , M. Sami Zitouni , Husamuldin Mukhtar , Paolo Galli , Hussain Al-Ahmad

Sea-level rise (SLR) is magnifying the frequency and severity of coastal flooding. The rate and amount of global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise is a function of the trajectory of global mean surface temperature (GMST). Therefore, temperature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-04-04 D. J. Rasmussen , Klaus Bittermann , Maya K. Buchanan , Scott Kulp , Benjamin H. Strauss , Robert E. Kopp , Michael Oppenheimer

The modern era of scientific global-mean sea-level rise (SLR) projections began in the early 1980s. In subsequent decades, understanding of driving processes has improved, and new methodologies have been developed. Nonetheless, despite more…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-12 Andra J. Garner , Jeremy L. Weiss , Adam Parris , Robert E. Kopp , Radley M. Horton , Jonathan T. Overpeck , Benjamin P. Horton

Sea-level rise (SLR) causes estimates of flood risk made under the assumption of stationary mean sea level to be biased low. However, adjustments to flood return levels made assuming fixed increases of sea level are also inaccurate when…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-06-09 Maya K. Buchanan , Robert E. Kopp , Michael Oppenheimer , Claudia Tebaldi

Mechanisms such as ice-shelf hydrofracturing and ice-cliff collapse may rapidly increase discharge from marine-based ice sheets. Here, we link a probabilistic framework for sea-level projections to a small ensemble of Antarctic ice-sheet…

We report the first ex post study of the economic impact of sea level rise. We apply two econometric approaches to estimate the past effects of sea level rise on the economy of the USA, viz. Barro type growth regressions adjusted for…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-16 Monika Novackova , Richard S. J. Tol

Contemporary sea level rise (SLR) research seldom considers enabling effective geovisualisation for the communities. This lack of knowledge transfer impedes raising awareness on climate change and its impacts. The goal of this study is to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Forrest DiPaola , Anshuman Bhardwaj , Lydia Sam

Sea-level rise and associated flood hazards pose severe risks to the millions of people globally living in coastal zones. Models representing coastal adaptation and impacts are important tools to inform the design of strategies to manage…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 Tony E. Wong , Catherine Ledna , Lisa Rennels , Hannah Sheets , Frank C. Errickson , Delavane Diaz , David Anthoff

Strategies to manage the risks posed by future sea-level rise hinge on a sound characterization of the inherent uncertainties. One of the major uncertainties is the possible rapid disintegration of large fractions of the Antarctic ice sheet…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-07-24 Tony E. Wong , Alexander M. R. Bakker , Klaus Keller

When assessing the hazard brought by storm surges on the coast, a frequency analysis is often conducted. An issue of particular concern is the sea level rise (SLR), thought to have an impact on maximum water levels. In this study, three…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-10 Dominik Paprotny

Damage cost curves -- relating the typical damage of a natural hazard to its physical magnitude -- represent an indispensable ingredient necessary for climate change impact assessments. Combining such curves with the occurrence probability…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-16 Diego Rybski , Boris F. Prahl , Markus Boettle , Jürgen P. Kropp

The Last Interglacial (LIG) stage, with polar temperatures likely 3-5 C warmer than today, serves as a partial analogue for low-end future warming scenarios. Based upon a small set of local sea level indicators, the Intergovernmental Panel…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-13 Robert E. Kopp , Frederik J. Simons , Adam C. Maloof , Michael Oppenheimer

Sea surface height observations provided by satellite altimetry since 1993 show a rising rate (3.4 mm/year) for global mean sea level. While on average, sea level has risen 10 cm over the last 30 years, there is considerable regional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Saumya Sinha , John Fasullo , R. Steven Nerem , Claire Monteleoni

Projecting sea-level change in various climate-change scenarios typically involves running forward simulations of the Earth's gravitational, rotational and deformational (GRD) response to ice mass change, which requires high computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-18 Myungsoo Yoo , Giri Gopalan , Matthew J. Hoffman , Sophie Coulson , Holly Kyeore Han , Christopher K. Wikle , Trevor Hillebrand

Understanding the response of estuaries to sea-level rise is crucial in developing a suitable mitigation and climate change adaptation strategy. This study investigates the impacts of rising sea levels on salinity intrusion in salt-wedge…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-15 Nino Krvavica , Igor Ružić

We propose a Bayesian, noisy-input, spatial-temporal generalised additive model to examine regional relative sea-level (RSL) changes over time. The model provides probabilistic estimates of component drivers of regional RSL change via the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-26 Maeve Upton , Andrew Parnell , Andrew Kemp , Erica Ashe , Gerard McCarthy , Niamh Cahill

Given multi-model ensemble climate projections, the goal is to accurately and reliably predict future sea-level rise while lowering the uncertainty. This problem is important because sea-level rise affects millions of people in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Subhankar Ghosh , Shuai An , Arun Sharma , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar , Aneesh Subramanian

Recent U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) analyses have argued that greenhouse gas emissions from U.S. on-road vehicles contribute negligibly to global mean sea-level rise (GMSLR). Here, I replicate and extend the EPA's modeling…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-16 Tony Wong

Sea-level rise poses considerable risks to coastal communities, ecosystems, and infrastructure. Decision makers are faced with uncertain sea-level projections when designing a strategy for coastal adaptation. The traditional methods are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-06-05 Gregory G. Garner , Klaus Keller

In the expanding Earth framework it is possible to find additional phenomena that could contribute in a proper way to the water balance and general tectonic eustatism involved in the sea lever rising. Recent compilations seems to leave…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-11 Giancarlo Scalera
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