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The generalized linear model is widely used in all areas of applied statistics and while correct asymptotic inference can be achieved under misspecification of the distributional assumptions, a correctly specified mean structure is crucial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-07 Klaus K. Holst

We introduce a sufficient graphical model by applying the recently developed nonlinear sufficient dimension reduction techniques to the evaluation of conditional independence. The graphical model is nonparametric in nature, as it does not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-11 Bing Li , Kyongwon Kim

Since the pioneering work of Gerhard Gruss dating back to 1935, Gruss's inequality and, more generally, Gruss-type bounds for covariances have fascinated researchers and found numerous applications in areas such as economics, insurance,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-28 Martin Egozcue , Luis Fuentes Garcia , Wing-Keung Wong , Ricardas Zitikis

Nonlinear causal discovery from observational data imposes strict identifiability assumptions on the formulation of structural equations utilized in the data generating process. The evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann

Consider the case that we observe $n$ independent and identically distributed copies of a random variable with a probability distribution known to be an element of a specified statistical model. We are interested in estimating an infinite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Mark J. van der Laan , Aurélien F. Bibaut

In this paper, we study the issue of estimating a structured signal $x_0 \in \mathbb{R}^n$ from non-linear and noisy Gaussian observations. Supposing that $x_0$ is contained in a certain convex subset $K \subset \mathbb{R}^n$, we prove that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Martin Genzel

Structural independence is the (conditional) independence that arises from the structure rather than the precise numerical values of a distribution. We develop this concept and relate it to $d$-separation and structural causal models.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Matthias Georg Mayer

We study the coverage properties of full conformal regression in the proportional asymptotic regime where the ratio of the dimension and the sample size converges to a constant. In this setting, existing theory tells us only that full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel J. Candès

We characterize the squared prediction risk of ensemble estimators obtained through subagging (subsample bootstrap aggregating) regularized M-estimators and construct a consistent estimator for the risk. Specifically, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Kai Tan , Pierre C. Bellec

Most modern learning problems are over-parameterized, where the number of learnable parameters is much greater than the number of training data points. In this over-parameterized regime, the training loss typically has infinitely many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Kanumuri Nithin Varma , Babak Hassibi

We derive a scale-free bound on the density of the maximum of a centered Gaussian vector. The basic bound is non-uniform, depends logarithmically on the dimension, and allows any covariance matrix. When the largest marginal variance is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Suhas Vijaykumar

We consider a finite impulse response system with centered independent sub-Gaussian design covariates and noise components that are not necessarily identically distributed. We derive non-asymptotic near-optimal estimation and prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas

We describe a design-based framework for drawing causal inference in general randomized experiments. Causal effects are defined as linear functionals evaluated at unit-level potential outcome functions. Assumptions about the potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Christopher Harshaw , Fredrik Sävje , Yitan Wang

In this paper, we consider the nonparametric regression problem with multivariate predictors. We provide a characterization of the degrees of freedom and divergence for estimators of the unknown regression function, which are obtained as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Xi Chen , Qihang Lin , Bodhisattva Sen

Recently, Hammond and Sheffield introduced a model of correlated random walks that scale to fractional Brownian motions with long-range dependence. In this paper, we consider a natural generalization of this model to dimension $d\geq 2$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Hermine Biermé , Olivier Durieu , Yizao Wang

We develop a design-based framework for causal inference that accommodates random potential outcomes without introducing outcome models, thereby extending the classical Neyman--Rubin paradigm in which outcomes are treated as fixed. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Yukai Yang

We present a method for drawing isolines indicating regions of equal joint exceedance probability for bivariate data. The method relies on bivariate regular variation, a dependence framework widely used for extremes. This framework enables…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-17 Daniel Cooley , Emeric Thibaud , Federico Castillo , Michael F. Wehner

The paper considers so-called adaptive estimations of regression, distribution density and spectral density of a Gaussian stationary sequence, asymptotically optimal in order at a growing number of observation on any regular subspace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

A block covariance structure is widely observed across large-scale and high-dimensional datasets in diverse fields such as biology, medicine, engineering, economics, and finance. This pattern entails partitioning a covariance matrix into…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Yifan Yang , Shuo Chen , Ming Wang

Genetic prediction of complex traits and diseases has attracted enormous attention in precision medicine, mainly because it has the potential to translate discoveries from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) into medical advances. As the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-24 Bingxin Zhao , Shurong Zheng , Hongtu Zhu