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We build and study an individual based model of the telomere length's evolution in a population across multiple generations. This model is a continuous time typed branching process, where the type of an individual includes its gamete mean…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-17 Athanasios Benetos , Olivier Coudray , Anne Gégout-Petit , Lionel Lenôtre , Simon Toupance , Denis Villemonais

We construct a modified continuous-state branching process whose Malthusian parameter is replaced by another when passing below a certain level. The construction is obtained via a Lamperti-like transform applied to a refracted L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Antonio Murillo-Salas , José Luis Pérez , Arno Siri-Jégousse

Many biological processes, from cell division to viral lysis, are triggered when an internal stochastic variable reaches a threshold. Here we introduce Branching under First-Passage Resetting, a general framework in which replication events…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-19 Aanjaneya Kumar , James Holehouse

The reduced Markov branching process is a stochastic model for the genealogy of an unstructured biological population. Its limit behavior in the critical case is well studied for the Zolotarev-Slack regularity parameter $\alpha\in(0,1]$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-16 Andreas N. Lagerås , Serik Sagitov

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments which arise naturally as spatial embeddings of ancestral lineages in spatial locally regulated population models. In particular, as the main result, we prove the quenched central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Matthias Birkner , Andrej Depperschmidt , Timo Schlüter

A simplified model for the growth of a population is studied in which random effects arise because reproducing individuals have a certain probability of surviving until the next breeding season and hence contributing to the next generation.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-05 Henry C. Tuckwell

We consider general discrete-time multitype branching processes on a countable set $X$. According to these processes, a particle of type $x\in X$ generates a random number of children and chooses their type in $X$, not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

We consider two versions of stochastic population models with mutation and selection. The first approach relies on a multitype branching process; here, individuals reproduce and change type (i.e., mutate) independently of each other,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-19 E. Baake , R. Bialowons

The dynamics of a population exhibiting exponential growth can be modelled as a birth-death process, which naturally captures the stochastic variation in population size over time. In this article, we consider a supercritical birth-death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-07 Anastasia Ignatieva , Jotun Hein , Paul A. Jenkins

A curious connection exists between the theory of optimal stopping for independent random variables, and branching processes. In particular, for the branching process $Z_n$ with offspring distribution $Y$, there exists a random variable $X$…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Assaf , Larry Goldstein , Ester Samuel-Cahn

We propose a new deterministic growth model which captures certain features of both the Gompertz and Korf laws. We investigate its main properties, with special attention to the correction factor, the relative growth rate, the inflection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-31 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Serena Spina

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

We aim to understand the evolution of the genetic composition of cancer cell populations. To achieve this, we consider an individual-based model representing a cell population where cells divide, die and mutate along the edges of a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Vianney Brouard

We consider an approximating sequence of interacting population models with branching, mutation and competition. Each individual is characterized by its trait and the traits of its ancestors. Birth- and death-events happen at exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-08 Sandra Kliem

We study the long time behavior of an asymmetric size-structured measure-valued growth-fragmentation branching process that models the dynamics of a population of cells taking into account physiological and morphological asymmetry at…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Bertrand Cloez , Benoîte de Saporta , Tristan Roget

In order to model random density-dependence in population dynamics, we construct the random analogue of the well-known logistic process in the branching process' framework. This density-dependence corresponds to intraspecific competition…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amaury Lambert

Gompertz's law tells us that for humans above the age of 35 the death rate increases exponentially with a doubling time of about 10 years. Here, we show that the same law continues to hold even for ages over 100. Beyond 106 there is so far…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-17 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

We study the nonparametric estimation of the branching rate $B(x)$ of a supercritical Bellman-Harris population: a particle with age $x$ has a random lifetime governed by $B(x)$; at its death time, it gives rise to $k \geq 2$ children with…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-10-14 Marc Hoffmann , Adélaïde Olivier