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Bayesian inverse problems use observed data to update a prior probability distribution for an unknown state or parameter of a scientific system to a posterior distribution conditioned on the data. In many applications, the unknown parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Josie König , Elizabeth Qian , Melina A. Freitag

Gradient-based dimension reduction decreases the cost of Bayesian inference and probabilistic modeling by identifying maximally informative (and informed) low-dimensional projections of the data and parameters, allowing high-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-02 Ricardo Baptista , Michael Brennan , Youssef Marzouk

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods make use of comparisons between simulated and observed summary statistics to overcome the problem of computationally intractable likelihood functions. As the practical implementation of ABC…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-12 M. G. B. Blum , M. A. Nunes , D. Prangle , S. A. Sisson

At present, high-dimensional global optimization problems with time-series models have received much attention from engineering fields. Since it was proposed, Bayesian optimization has quickly become a popular and promising approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Yuyang Chen , Kaiming Bi , Chih-Hang J. Wu , David Ben-Arieh , Ashesh Sinha

This paper proposes a dynamic process of portfolio risk measurement to address potential information loss. The proposed model takes advantage of financial big data to incorporate out-of-target-portfolio information that may be missed when…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-17 Kwangmin Jung , Donggyu Kim , Seunghyeon Yu

Scaling Bayesian optimization to high dimensions is challenging task as the global optimization of high-dimensional acquisition function can be expensive and often infeasible. Existing methods depend either on limited active variables or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-16 Cheng Li , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Vu Nguyen , Svetha Venkatesh , Alistair Shilton

In inverse problems, the parameters of a model are estimated based on observations of the model response. The Bayesian approach is powerful for solving such problems; one formulates a prior distribution for the parameter state that is…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-08 Max Ehre , Rafael Flock , Martin Fußeder , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Despite the fact that they do not consider the temporal nature of data, classic dimensionality reduction techniques, such as PCA, are widely applied to time series data. In this paper, we introduce a factor decomposition specific for time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-17 Diego Vidaurre , Iead Rezek , Samuel L. Harrison , Stephen S. Smith , Mark Woolrich

Classification models are a key component of structural digital twin technologies used for supporting asset management decision-making. An important consideration when developing classification models is the dimensionality of the input, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Aidan J. Hughes , Keith Worden , Nikolaos Dervilis , Timothy J. Rogers

We introduce a Loss Discounting Framework for model and forecast combination which generalises and combines Bayesian model synthesis and generalized Bayes methodologies. We use a loss function to score the performance of different models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-29 Dawid Bernaciak , Jim E. Griffin

We present a collection of algorithms which utilize dimensional reduction to perform mesh refinement and study possibly singular solutions of time-dependent partial differential equations. The algorithms are inspired by constructions used…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-06-21 Panagiotis Stinis

A priori dimension reduction is a widely adopted technique for reducing the computational complexity of stationary inverse problems. In this setting, the solution of an inverse problem is parameterized by a low-dimensional basis that is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-23 Antti Solonen , Tiangang Cui , Janne Hakkarainen , Youssef Marzouk

In this paper we propose a Bayesian method as a numerical way to correct and stabilise projection-based reduced order models (ROM) in computational fluid dynamics problems. The approach is of hybrid type, and consists of the classical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Giovanni Stabile , Bojana Rosic

One of the major challenges in the Bayesian solution of inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) is the computational cost of repeatedly evaluating numerical PDE models, as required by Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-03 Tiangang Cui , Youssef M. Marzouk , Karen E. Willcox

We present a Bayesian model selection approach to estimate the intrinsic dimensionality of a high-dimensional dataset. To this end, we introduce a novel formulation of the probabilisitic principal component analysis model based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-22 Charles Bouveyron , Pierre Latouche , Pierre-Alexandre Mattei

One of the central issues of several machine learning applications on real data is the choice of the input features. Ideally, the designer should select only the relevant, non-redundant features to preserve the complete information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Paolo Bonetti , Alberto Maria Metelli , Marcello Restelli

Several methods have been proposed in the spatial statistics literature for the analysis of big data sets in continuous domains. However, new methods for analyzing high-dimensional areal data are still scarce. Here, we propose a scalable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 E. Orozco-Acosta , A. Adin , M. D. Ugarte

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois

In this article we propose a general class of risk measures which can be used for data based evaluation of parametric models. The loss function is defined as generalized quadratic distance between the true density and the proposed model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-02 Surajit Ray , Bruce G. Lindsay

Molecular simulations produce very high-dimensional data-sets with millions of data points. As analysis methods are often unable to cope with so many dimensions, it is common to use dimensionality reduction and clustering methods to reach a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-03 Stefan Doerr , Igor Ariz-Extreme , Matthew J. Harvey , Gianni De Fabritiis
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