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We consider the problem of learning the dynamics of a linear system when one has access to data generated by an auxiliary system that shares similar (but not identical) dynamics, in addition to data from the true system. We use a weighted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Lei Xin , Lintao Ye , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

The successful application of modern machine learning for time series classification is often hampered by limitations in quality and quantity of available training data. To overcome these limitations, available domain expert knowledge in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Janis Norden , Elisa Oostwal , Michael Chappell , Peter Tino , Kerstin Bunte

Decision-making in complex systems often relies on machine learning models, yet highly accurate models such as XGBoost and neural networks can obscure the reasoning behind their predictions. In operations research applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Gaurav Arwade , Sigurdur Olafsson

Given an unknown dynamical system, what is the minimum number of samples needed for effective learning of its governing laws and accurate prediction of its future evolution behavior, and how to select these critical samples? In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Ce Zhang , Kailiang Wu , Zhihai He

This paper addresses problems on the structural design of control systems taking explicitly into consideration the possible application to large-scale systems. We provide an efficient and unified framework to solve the following major…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Sergio Pequito , Soummya Kar , A. Pedro Aguiar

This chapter covers methodological issues related to estimation, testing and computation for models involving structural changes. Our aim is to review developments as they relate to econometric applications based on linear models.…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Recent advances in learning or identification of nonlinear dynamics focus on learning a suitable model within a pre-specified model class. However, a key difficulty that remains is the choice of the model class from which the dynamics will…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-29 Charis Stamouli , Evangelos Chatzipantazis , George J. Pappas

Linear dynamical systems are the foundational statistical model upon which control theory is built. Both the celebrated Kalman filter and the linear quadratic regulator require knowledge of the system dynamics to provide analytic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Ainesh Bakshi , Allen Liu , Ankur Moitra , Morris Yau

Temporally evolving systems are typically modeled by dynamic equations. A key challenge in accurate modeling is understanding the causal relationships between subsystems, as well as identifying the presence and influence of unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 András Telcs , Marcell T. Kurbucz , Antal Jakovác

Semiparametric forecasting and filtering are introduced as a method of addressing model errors arising from unresolved physical phenomena. While traditional parametric models are able to learn high-dimensional systems from small data sets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-17 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

This paper presents a data-integrated framework for learning the dynamics of fractional-order nonlinear systems in both discrete-time and continuous-time settings. The proposed framework consists of two main steps. In the first step,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-19 Bahram Yaghooti , Chengyu Li , Bruno Sinopoli

Data driven models of dynamical systems help planners and controllers to provide more precise and accurate motions. Most model learning algorithms will try to minimize a loss function between the observed data and the model's predictions.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Clark Zhang , Santiago Paternain , Alejandro Ribeiro

Learning kinetic systems from data is one of the core challenges in many fields. Identifying stable models is essential for the generalization capabilities of data-driven inference. We introduce a computationally efficient framework, called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-02 Niklas Pfister , Stefan Bauer , Jonas Peters

Extremal graphical models are sparse statistical models for multivariate extreme events. The underlying graph encodes conditional independencies and enables a visual interpretation of the complex extremal dependence structure. For the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-18 Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

The study of complex systems is limited by the fact that only few variables are accessible for modeling and sampling, which are not necessarily the most relevant ones to explain the systems behavior. In addition, empirical data typically…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-04 Matteo Marsili , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Yasser Roudi

Dynamical systems provide a comprehensive way to study complex and changing behaviors across various sciences. Many modern systems are too complicated to analyze directly or we do not have access to models, driving significant interest in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Matthew J. Colbrook , Igor Mezić , Alexei Stepanenko

Complex systems can be modelled at various levels of detail. Ideally, causal models of the same system should be consistent with one another in the sense that they agree in their predictions of the effects of interventions. We formalise…

Accurate models of mechanical system dynamics are often critical for model-based control and reinforcement learning. Fully data-driven dynamics models promise to ease the process of modeling and analysis, but require considerable amounts of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-19 A. René Geist , Sebastian Trimpe

Projection-based model reduction has become a popular approach to reduce the cost associated with integrating large-scale dynamical systems so they can be used in many-query settings such as optimization and uncertainty quantification. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Han Gao , Jian-Xun Wang , Matthew J. Zahr

Closure problems are omnipresent when simulating multiscale systems, where some quantities and processes cannot be fully prescribed despite their effects on the simulation's accuracy. Recently, scientific machine learning approaches have…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Benjamin Sanderse , Panos Stinis , Romit Maulik , Shady E. Ahmed