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Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

In cluster analysis interest lies in probabilistically capturing partitions of individuals, items or observations into groups, such that those belonging to the same group share similar attributes or relational profiles. Bayesian posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-23 Riccardo Rastelli , Nial Friel

In this paper, we combine the operator splitting methodology for abstract evolution equations with that of stochastic methods for large-scale optimization problems. The combination results in a randomized splitting scheme, which in a given…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Monika Eisenmann , Tony Stillfjord

A new class of probabilistic models for cascading failure propagation in interconnected systems is proposed. The models take into account important characteristics of real systems that are not considered in existing generic approaches.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-03-31 Jörg Lehmann , Jakob Bernasconi

In the framework of model-based clustering, a model, called multi-partitions clustering, allowing several latent class variables has been proposed. This model assumes that the distribution of the observed data can be factorized into several…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-09 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray , Vincent Vandewalle

In many application areas, data are collected on a categorical response and high-dimensional categorical predictors, with the goals being to build a parsimonious model for classification while doing inferences on the important predictors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-22 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

We investigate the shrinkage induced breakup of thin layers of heterogeneous materials attached to a substrate, a ubiquitous natural phenomenon with a wide range of potential applications. Focusing on the evolution of the fragment ensemble,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-12-03 Roland Szatmári , Akio Nakahara , So Kitsunezaki , Ferenc Kun

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

We introduce the notion of a restricted exchangeable partition of $\mathbb{N}$. We obtain integral representations, consider associated fragmentations, embeddings into continuum random trees and convergence to such limit trees. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-12 Bo Chen , Matthias Winkel

A simple model accounting for the ejection of heavy particles from the vortical structures of a turbulent flow is introduced. This model involves a space and time discretization of the dynamics and depends on only two parameters: the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jeremie Bec , Raphael Chetrite

Bayesian nonparametric regression with dependent wavelets has dual shrinkage properties: there is shrinkage through a dependent prior put on functional differences, and shrinkage through the setting of most of the wavelet coefficients to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-22 James Berger , William H. Jefferys , Peter Müller

A major impediment towards the industrial adoption of decentralized distributed systems comes from the difficulty to theoretically prove that these systems exhibit the required behavior. In this paper, we use probability theory to analyze a…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2012-02-15 Bogdan Alexandru Caprarescu , Eva Kaslik , Dana Petcu

The impact of an extreme climate event depends strongly on its geographical scale. Max-stable processes can be used for the statistical investigation of climate extremes and their spatial dependencies on a continuous area. Most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Justus Contzen , Thorsten Dickhaus , Gerrit Lohmann

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

The ubiquity of integrating detectors in imaging and other applications implies that a variety of real-world data are well modeled as Poisson random variables whose means are in turn proportional to an underlying vector-valued signal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-15 Keigo Hirakawa , Patrick J. Wolfe

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn

Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) models provide elegant methods for discovering underlying latent features within a data set, but inference in such models can be slow. We exploit the fact that completely random measures, which commonly used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-17 Avinava Dubey , Michael Minyi Zhang , Eric P. Xing , Sinead A. Williamson

Large-scale kernel approximation is an important problem in machine learning research. Approaches using random Fourier features have become increasingly popular [Rahimi and Recht, 2007], where kernel approximation is treated as empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Wei-Cheng Chang , Chun-Liang Li , Yiming Yang , Barnabas Poczos

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

This paper studies chance-constrained stochastic optimization problems with finite support. It presents an iterative method that solves reduced-size chance-constrained models obtained by partitioning the scenario set. Each reduced problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Marius Roland , Alexandre Forel , Thibaut Vidal