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We study the error in approximating the minimum of a Brownian motion on the unit interval based on finitely many point evaluations. We construct an algorithm that adaptively chooses the points at which to evaluate the Brownian path. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 James M. Calvin , Mario Hefter , André Herzwurm

This work investigates the sequential hypothesis testing problem with online sensor selection and sensor usage constraints. That is, in a sensor network, the fusion center sequentially acquires samples by selecting one "most informative"…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-26 Shang Li , Xiaoou Li , Xiaodong Wang , Jingchen Liu

We consider Bayesian optimization of the output of a network of functions, where each function takes as input the output of its parent nodes, and where the network takes significant time to evaluate. Such problems arise, for example, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

The authors give an approximation method for Bayesian inference in arena model, which is focused on paired comparisons with eliminations and bifurcations. The approximation method simplifies the inference by reducing parameters and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-20 Yutong Nie , Chenhe Zhang

The Poisson compound decision problem is a long-standing problem in statistics, where empirical Bayes methodologies are commonly used to estimate Poisson's means in static or batch domains. In this paper, we study the Poisson compound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

Minimal thinness is a notion that describes the smallness of a set at a boundary point. In this paper, we provide tests for minimal thinness for a large class of subordinate killed Brownian motions in bounded C1,1 domains, C1,1 domains with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-23 Panki Kim , Renming Song , Zoran Vondracek

We show how to find a minimum weight loop cutset in a Bayesian network with high probability. Finding such a loop cutset is the first step in the method of conditioning for inference. Our randomized algorithm for finding a loop cutset…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-02 R. Bar-Yehuda , A. Becker , D. Geiger

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is unavailable but simulating from the model is possible. However, many ABC algorithms require a large number of simulations, which can be costly.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-15 Marko Järvenpää , Michael U. Gutmann , Arijus Pleska , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

The use of mobile robotics in radioactive source seeking has become an important part of modern radiation-safety practices, supporting timely mitigation of contamination risks and helping protect public health. However, measuring radiation…

Applied Physics · Physics 2026-05-15 Lysander Miller , Joshua Keene , Jeremy M. C. Brown , Airlie Chapman

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that guarantees a required level of power. Sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Shirin Golchi , Luke Hagar

Transport phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and known to be important for various scientific domains. Examples can be found in physics, electrochemistry, heterogeneous catalysis, physiology, etc. To obtain new information about diffusive…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Denis S. Grebenkov

In small area estimation, it is sometimes necessary to use model-based methods to produce estimates in areas with little or no data. In official statistics, we often require that some aggregate of small area estimates agree with a national…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Taylor Okonek , Jon Wakefield

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Bayesian optimization offers a flexible framework to optimize an objective function that is expensive to be evaluated. A Bayesian optimizer iteratively queries the function values on its carefully selected points. Subsequently, it makes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Yang Li , Yaqiang Yao

In this work we introduce correlated random walks on $\Z$. When picking suitably at random the coefficient of correlation, and taking the average over a large number of walks, we obtain a discrete Gaussian process, whose scaling limit is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Enriquez Nathanael

This paper is concerned with Bayesian inferential methods for data from controlled branching processes that account for model robustness through the use of disparities. Under regularity conditions, we establish that estimators built on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 M. González , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto , A. N. Vidyashankar

This paper develops a general theory for first-order descent methods whose search directions are restricted to a prescribed dictionary in a reflexive Banach space. Instead of assuming that the linear span of the dictionary is dense, as in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Miguel Berasategui , Pablo M. Berná , Antonio Falcó

We prove and apply an optimal low-rank approximation of the Cauchy kernel over separated real domains. A skeleton decomposition is the minimum over real-valued functions of the maximum relative pointwise error. We present an algorithm to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Jonathan E. Moussa

Recent work on Bayesian optimization has shown its effectiveness in global optimization of difficult black-box objective functions. Many real-world optimization problems of interest also have constraints which are unknown a priori. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-25 Michael A. Gelbart , Jasper Snoek , Ryan P. Adams

The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-13 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper
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