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The probability hypothesis density (PHD) filter alleviates the computational expense of the optimal Bayesian multi-target filtering by approximating the intensity function of the random finite set (RFS) of targets in time. However, as a…
We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…
We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…
This short note investigates convergence of adaptive MCMC algorithms, i.e.\ algorithms which modify the Markov chain update probabilities on the fly. We focus on the Containment condition introduced in \cite{roberts2007coupling}. We show…
We propose the clock Monte Carlo technique for sampling each successive chain step in constant time. It is built on a recently proposed factorized transition filter and its core features include its O(1) computational complexity and its…
Federated Bayesian neural networks require fixing a prior on the model parameters together with a likelihood. Eliciting meaningful priors on the weight space of modern overparameterized models is notoriously difficult, and misspecification…
The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…
We study the approach to equilibrium of the event-chain Monte Carlo (ECMC) algorithm for the one-dimensional hard-sphere model. Using the connection to the coupon-collector problem, we prove that a specific version of this local…
Kalman-type filtering techniques including cubature Kalman filter (CKF) does not work well in non-Gaussian environments, especially in the presence of outliers. To solve this problem, Huber's M-estimation based robust CKF (RCKF) is proposed…
We incorporate discrete and continuous time Markov processes as building blocks into probabilistic graphical models with latent and observed variables. We introduce the automatic Backward Filtering Forward Guiding (BFFG) paradigm (Mider et…
Fitting probabilistic models to data is often difficult, due to the general intractability of the partition function. We propose a new parameter fitting method, Minimum Probability Flow (MPF), which is applicable to any parametric model. We…
We show that the gradient norm $\|\nabla f(x)\|$ for $x \sim \exp(-f(x))$, where $f$ is strongly convex and smooth, concentrates tightly around its mean. This removes a barrier in the prior state-of-the-art analysis for the well-studied…
This paper proposes a novel framework for delay-tolerant particle filtering that is computationally efficient and has limited memory requirements. Within this framework the informativeness of a delayed (out-of-sequence) measurement (OOSM)…
Particle filters (also called sequential Monte Carlo methods) are widely used for state and parameter estimation problems in the context of nonlinear evolution equations. The recently proposed ensemble transform particle filter (ETPF)…
Let 0<\alpha<1/2. We show that the mixing time of a continuous-time reversible Markov chain on a finite state space is about as large as the largest expected hitting time of a subset of stationary measure at least \alpha of the state space.…
We propose a robust ensemble filtering scheme based on the $H_{\infty}$ filtering theory. The optimal $H_{\infty}$ filter is derived by minimizing the supremum (or maximum) of a predefined cost function, a criterion different from the…
We address the problem of combining sequence models of symbolic music with user defined constraints. For typical models this is non-trivial as only the conditional distribution of each symbol given the earlier symbols is available, while…
We present the prospects of searches for neutral, long-lived particles which decay to photons using their time of arrival measured with a newly installed timing system on the electromagnetic calorimeter (EMTiming) of the Collider Detector…
This is a second part of the research on AC optimal power flow being used in the lower level of the bilevel strategic bidding or investment models. As an example of a suitable upper-level problem, we observe a strategic bidding of energy…
High mobility environment leads to severe Doppler effects and poses serious challenges to the conventional physical layer based on the widely popular orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM). The recent emergence of orthogonal time…