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This paper studies continuous-time stochastic control problems whose controlled states are fully non-Markovian and depend on unknown model parameters. Such problems arise naturally in path-dependent stochastic differential equations,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Simone Scotti , Adolfo M. D da Silva

In this paper, we applied a deep neural network to study the issue of knowledge transferability between statistical mechanics models. The following computer experiment was conducted. A convolutional neural network was trained to solve the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-11-21 Diana Sukhoverkhova , Lev Shchur

It is highly desirable to know how uncertain a model's predictions are, especially for models that are complex and hard to understand as in deep learning. Although there has been a growing interest in using deep learning methods in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Davood Karimi , Simon K. Warfield , Ali Gholipour

Background and objective: Uncertainty quantification is a pivotal field that contributes to realizing reliable and robust systems. It becomes instrumental in fortifying safe decisions by providing complementary information, particularly…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Jamil Fayyad , Shadi Alijani , Homayoun Najjaran

This article addresses the challenge of adapting data-based models over time. We propose a novel two-fold modelling architecture designed to correct plant-model mismatch caused by two types of uncertainty. Out-of-domain uncertainty arises…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-17 Laura Boca de Giuli , Alessio La Bella , Riccardo Scattolini

We consider the problem of estimating how well a model class is capable of fitting a distribution of labeled data. We show that it is often possible to accurately estimate this "learnability" even when given an amount of data that is too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant

Although uncertainty quantification has been making its way into nuclear theory, these methods have yet to be explored in the context of reaction theory. For example, it is well known that different parameterizations of the optical…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-03-01 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes , J. Sarich , S. M. Wild

Elastic scattering of a twisted (Bessel) electron beam by CO$_2$ molecules is studied theoretically at high energies. The molecule's structure is optimized using coupled cluster theory and density functional theory with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-20 Raul Sheldon Pinto , Rakesh Choubisa

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

We present a hybrid approach combining isogeometric analysis with deep operator networks to solve electromagnetic scattering problems. The neural network takes a computer-aided design representation as input and predicts the electromagnetic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Merle Backmeyer , Stefan Kurz , Matthias Möller , Sebastian Schöps

Accurate methane sorption prediction across heterogeneous coal ranks requires models that combine thermodynamic consistency, efficient knowledge transfer across data-scarce geological systems, and calibrated uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Mohammad Nooraiepour , Zezhang Song , Wei Li , Sarah Perez

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

The increasing interest in spatially correlated functional data has led to the development of appropriate geostatistical techniques that allow to predict a curve at an unmonitored location using a functional kriging with external drift…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-23 Maria Franco-Villoria , Rosaria Ignaccolo

We consider the problem of detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) samples in deep reinforcement learning. In a value based reinforcement learning setting, we propose to use uncertainty estimation techniques directly on the agent's value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-09 Andreas Sedlmeier , Thomas Gabor , Thomy Phan , Lenz Belzner , Claudia Linnhoff-Popien

Linear mixed effects are considered excellent predictors of cluster-level parameters in various domains. However, previous work has shown that their performance can be seriously affected by departures from modelling assumptions. Since the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 Katarzyna Reluga , Stefan Sperlich

Recently, a Monte Carlo method has been presented which allows for the form-free retrieval of size distributions from isotropic scattering patterns, complete with uncertainty estimates linked to the data quality. Here, we present an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-03-13 Brian R. Pauw , Masato Ohnuma , Kenji Sakurai , Enno A. Klop

In Hezaveh et al. 2017 we showed that deep learning can be used for model parameter estimation and trained convolutional neural networks to determine the parameters of strong gravitational lensing systems. Here we demonstrate a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Laurence Perreault Levasseur , Yashar D. Hezaveh , Risa H. Wechsler

The real-space multiple-scattering (RSMS) approach is applied to model non-resonant inelastic scattering from deep core electron levels over a broad energy spectrum. This approach is applicable to aperiodic or periodic systems alike and…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 J. A. Soininen , A. L. Ankudinov , J. J. Rehr

An empirical fit to electron-nucleus scattering for $A>2$ is made based on world data. It is valid for $0<W<3.2$ GeV and $0.2<Q^2<5$ GeV$^2$, and can be used with caution at lower $Q^2$. The fit is based on previous empirical fits to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2012-03-20 P. E. Bosted , V. Mamyan

We use a recent scaling analysis of the quasielastic electron scattering data from $^{12}$C to predict the quasielastic charge-changing neutrino scattering cross sections within an uncertainty band. We use a scaling function extracted from…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-06-13 I. Ruiz Simo , V. L. Martinez-Consentino , J. E. Amaro , E. Ruiz Arriola