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We investigate the motivation and means through which individuals expand their skill-set by analyzing a survey of applicants from the Facebook Jobs product. Individuals who report being influenced by their networks or local economy are over…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-21 Eduardo Laguna-Muggenburg , Monica Bhole , Michael Meaney

Unemployment benefits in the US were extended by up to 73 weeks during the Great Recession. Equilibrium labor market theory indicates that extensions of benefit duration impact not only search decisions by job seekers but also job vacancy…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-27 Aiwei Huang

We systematically investigate the effect heterogeneity of job search programmes for unemployed workers. To investigate possibly heterogeneous employment effects, we combine non-experimental causal empirical models with Lasso-type…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-13 Michael Knaus , Michael Lechner , Anthony Strittmatter

This paper shows that group composition shapes the effectiveness of labor market training programs for jobseekers. Using rich administrative data from Germany and a novel measure of employability, I find that participants benefit from…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Ulrike Unterhofer

We use regression discontinuity design and difference-in-differences methods to estimate the impact of a one-time hiring subsidy for low-educated unemployed youths in Belgium during the recovery from the Great Recession. Within a year of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-13 Andrea Albanese , Bart Cockx , Muriel Dejemeppe

This paper studies how labor market conditions around high school graduation affect postsecondary skill investments. Using administrative data on more than six million German graduates from 1995-2018, and exploiting deviations from secular…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-03 Andreas Leibing

Active labor market policies are widely used by the Swiss government, enrolling over half of all unemployed individuals. This paper evaluates the effectiveness of Swiss programs in improving employment and earnings outcomes using causal…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-13 Federica Mascolo , Nora Bearth , Fabian Muny , Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

Based on administrative data of unemployed in Belgium, we estimate the labour market effects of three training programmes at various aggregation levels using Modified Causal Forests, a causal machine learning estimator. While all programmes…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-20 Bart Cockx , Michael Lechner , Joost Bollens

We study the identification and estimation of long-term treatment effects when both experimental and observational data are available. Since the long-term outcome is observed only after a long delay, it is not measured in the experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Guido Imbens , Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Yuhao Wang

Pursuing educational qualifications later in life is an increasingly common phenomenon within OECD countries since technological change and automation continues to drive the evolution of skills needed in many professions. We focus on the…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-24 Finn Lattimore , Daniel M. Steinberg , Anna Zhu

The causal effect of a randomized job training program, the JOBS II study, on trainees' depression is evaluated. Principal stratification is used to deal with noncompliance to the assigned treatment. Due to the latent nature of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-13 Alessandra Mattei , Fan Li , Fabrizia Mealli

Economic models assume that payroll tax burdens fall fully on workers, but where does tax incidence fall when taxes are firm-specific and time-varying? Unemployment insurance in the United States has the key feature of varying both across…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-13 Audrey Guo

Although randomized controlled trials have long been regarded as the ``gold standard'' for evaluating treatment effects, there is no natural prevention from post-treatment events. For example, non-compliance makes the actual treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-25 Qinqing Liu , Xiang Peng , Tao Zhang , Yuhao Deng

Conventional research on educational effects typically either employs a "years of schooling" measure of education, or dichotomizes attainment as a point-in-time treatment. Yet, such a conceptualization of education is misaligned with the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-11 Aleksei Opacic

This paper evaluates whether the U.S. Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) supported American worker resilience to technological automation. Analyzing over 23 million WIOA participation records (2017-2023), we introduce the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-06 Julian Jacobs , Jordan Canedy

Lack of skills is arguably one of the most important determinants of high levels of unemployment and poverty. In response, policymakers often initiate vocational training programs in effort to enhance skill formation among the youth. Using…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-08 S. Chakravarty , M. Lundberg , P. Nikolov , J. Zenker

A common practice in IV studies is to check for instrument strength, i.e. its association to the treatment, with an F-test from regression. If the F-statistic is above some threshold, usually 10, the instrument is deemed to satisfy one of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Nan Bi , Hyunseung Kang , Jonathan Taylor

Postdoctoral training is a career stage often described as a demanding and anxiety-laden time when many promising PhDs see their academic dreams slip away due to circumstances beyond their control. We use a unique data set of academic…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Yueran Duan , Shahan Ali Memon , Bedoor AlShebli , Qing Guan , Petter Holme , Talal Rahwan

Using rich Swedish administrative data, we apply causal machine learning methods to study how earnings losses after job displacement vary with observable characteristics that may be relevant for targeting policy interventions for workers.…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-17 Susan Athey , Lisa K. Simon , Oskar N. Skans , Johan Vikstrom , Yaroslav Yakymovych

In program evaluations, units can often anticipate the implementation of a new policy before it occurs. Such anticipatory behavior can lead to units' outcomes becoming dependent on their future treatment assignments. In this paper, I employ…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-02 Aibo Gong
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