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A new method is proposed for the correction of confidence intervals when the original interval does not have the correct nominal coverage probabilities in the frequentist sense. The proposed method is general and does not require any…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-30 P. Menendez , Y. Fan , P. H. Garthwaite , S. A. Sisson

This work proposes ensemble Kalman randomized maximum likelihood estimation, a new derivative-free method for performing randomized maximum likelihood estimation, which is a method that can be used to generate approximate samples from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Pavlos Stavrinides , Elizabeth Qian

Statistical models with constrained probability distributions are abundant in machine learning. Some examples include regression models with norm constraints (e.g., Lasso), probit, many copula models, and latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA).…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

Bayesian analysis is increasingly popular for use in social science and other application areas where the data are observations from an informative sample. An informative sampling design leads to inclusion probabilities that are correlated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Terrance D. Savitsky , Daniell Toth

Current methods for regularization in machine learning require quite specific model assumptions (e.g. a kernel shape) that are not derived from prior knowledge about the application, but must be imposed merely to make the method work. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-01 Matthias Wieler

In contingency table analysis, sparse data is frequently encountered for even modest numbers of variables, resulting in non-existence of maximum likelihood estimates. A common solution is to obtain regularized estimates of the parameters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-04 James E. Johndrow , Anirban Bhattacharya

Simulation from the truncated multivariate normal distribution in high dimensions is a recurrent problem in statistical computing, and is typically only feasible using approximate MCMC sampling. In this article we propose a minimax tilting…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-15 Z. I. Botev

The likelihood function is central to both frequentist and Bayesian formulations of parametric statistical inference, and large-sample approximations to the sampling distributions of estimators and test statistics, and to posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Anthony C. Davison , Nancy Reid

This paper formulates a penalized empirical likelihood (PEL) method for inference on the population mean when the dimension of the observations may grow faster than the sample size. Asymptotic distributions of the PEL ratio statistic is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Subhodeep Mukhopadhyay

In real-world Bayesian inference applications, prior assumptions regarding the parameters of interest may be unrepresentative of their actual values for a given dataset. In particular, if the likelihood is concentrated far out in the wings…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-01 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson , Saptarshi Das , Paul Gelderblom

In this paper we formulate in general terms an approach to prove strong consistency of the Empirical Risk Minimisation inductive principle applied to the prototype or distance based clustering. This approach was motivated by the Divisive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-04-20 Vladimir Nikulin , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

We develop scalable methods for producing conformal Bayesian predictive intervals with finite sample calibration guarantees. Bayesian posterior predictive distributions, $p(y \mid x)$, characterize subjective beliefs on outcomes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes

We extend the empirical likelihood of Owen [Ann. Statist. 18 (1990) 90-120] by partitioning its domain into the collection of its contours and mapping the contours through a continuous sequence of similarity transformations onto the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-11 Min Tsao , Fan Wu

The elicitation of power priors, based on the availability of historical data, is realized by raising the likelihood function of the historical data to a fractional power {\delta}, which quantifies the degree of discounting of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Keying Ye , Zifei Han , Yuyan Duan , Tianyu Bai

The $\lambda$-exponential family generalizes the standard exponential family via a generalized convex duality motivated by optimal transport. It is the constant-curvature analogue of the exponential family from the information-geometric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xiwei Tian , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong , Jiaowen Yang , Jun Zhang

Propensity score methods are widely used for estimating treatment effects from observational studies. A popular approach is to estimate propensity scores by maximum likelihood based on logistic regression, and then apply inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-24 Zhiqiang Tan

Empirical likelihood is an attractive inferential framework that respects natural parameter boundaries, but existing approaches typically require smoothness of the functional and miscalibrate substantially when these assumptions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Hongseok Namkoong

From the statistical learning perspective, complexity control via explicit regularization is a necessity for improving the generalization of over-parameterized models. However, the impressive generalization performance of neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Taejong Joo , Uijung Chung

Computation of the marginal likelihood from a simulated posterior distribution is central to Bayesian model selection but is computationally difficult. I argue that the marginal likelihood can be reliably computed from a posterior sample by…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-06-24 Martin D. Weinberg

The Bayesian lasso is well-known as a Bayesian alternative for Lasso. Although the advantage of the Bayesian lasso is capable of full probabilistic uncertain quantification for parameters, the corresponding posterior distribution can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-06 Jun Kawakami , Shintaro Hashimoto