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This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

We obtain quenched hitting distributions to be compound Poissonian for a certain class of random dynamical systems. The theory is general and designed to accommodate non-uniformly expanding behavior and targets that do not overlap much with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Lucas Amorim , Nicolai Haydn , Sandro Vaienti

We consider a point process $i+\xi_i$, where $i\in \bZ$ and the $\xi_{i}$'s are i.i.d. random variables with variance $\sigma^{2}$. This process, with a suitable rescaling of the distribution of $\xi_i$'s, converges to the Poisson process…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-11 G. Guadagni , S. Ndreca , B. Scoppola

In this article, we discuss a bivariate distribution whose conditionals are univariate binomial distributions and the marginals are not binomial that exhibits negative correlation. Some useful structural properties of this distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-10 Indranil Ghosh , Filipe Marques , Subrata Chakraborty

We describe an approach that allows us to deduce the limiting return times distribution for arbitrary sets to be compound Poisson distributed. We establish a relation between the limiting return times distribution and the probability of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-08-26 N. Haydn , S. Vaienti

Motivated by the fundamental problem of measuring species diversity, this paper introduces the concept of a cluster structure to define an exchangeable cluster probability function that governs the joint distribution of a random count and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-14 Mingyuan Zhou , Stephen G Walker

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We establish a complete picture of condensation in the inclusion process in the thermodynamic limit with vanishing diffusion, covering all scaling regimes of the diffusion parameter and including large deviation results for the maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Watthanan Jatuviriyapornchai , Paul Chleboun , Stefan Grosskinsky

A model for the phenomenological description of tick-by-tick share prices in a stock exchange is introduced. It is based on mixtures of compound Poisson processes. Preliminary results based on Monte Carlo simulation show that this model can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Enrico Scalas

Multivariate extreme value distributions are a common choice for modelling multivariate extremes. In high dimensions, however, the construction of flexible and parsimonious models is challenging. We propose to combine bivariate max-stable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Shuang Hu , Zuoxiang Peng , Johan Segers

We suggest a new hardcore Poisson-type distribution for Young diagrams with the row lengths from some finite list. A discrete variant of the time-ordered Mat\'{e}rn II process in 1D is employed. This approach is related to that based on the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ivan Cherednik

We study the obtainment of closed-form formulas for the distribution of the jumps of a doubly-stochastic Poisson process. The problem is approached in two ways. On the one hand, we translate the problem to the computation of multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Arturo Valdivia

U-statistics of spatial point processes given by a density with respect to a Poisson process are investigated. In the first half of the paper general relations are derived for the moments of the functionals using kernels from the Wiener-Ito…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Viktor Benes , Marketa Zikmundova

We establish a general inequality on the Poisson space, yielding an upper bound for the distance in total variation between the law of a regular random variable with values in the integers and a Poisson distribution. Several applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-18 Giovanni Peccati

Measures of uncertainty and divergence are introduced for interval-valued probability distributions and are shown to have desirable mathematical properties. A maximum uncertainty inference procedure for marginal interval distributions is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Michael Pittarelli

Given a set of independent Poisson random variables with common mean, we study the distribution of their maximum and obtain an accurate asymptotic formula to locate the most probable value of the maximum. We verify our analytic results with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-26 K. M. Briggs , L. Song , T. Prellberg

Multiplicity distribution in small bins is studied within the Ginzburg-Landau description for first-order quark-hadron phase transition. Direct comparison of the distribution with a Poisson one (with the same average) is made. Dynamical…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 C. B. Yang , X. Cai

The Poisson process is one of the simplest stochastic processes defined in continuous time, having interesting mathematical properties, leading, in many situations, to applications mathematically treatable. One of the limitations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Thomas Freud , Pablo M. Rodriguez

We report a new mechanism through which extreme events with a dragon king-like distribution emerge in a network of unidirectional ring of Hindmarsh-Rose bursting neurons interacting through chemical synapses. We establish and substantiate…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-31 Ardhanareeswaran R Sree , Sudharsan S , Senthilvelan M , Dibakar Ghosh

The main aim of this article is to characterize and investigate the three parameter exponentiated exponential Poisson probability distribution ${\rm EEP}(\alpha, \beta, \lambda)$ by giving explicit closed form expressions for its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Tibor K Pogány