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In late 2019, COVID-19, a severe respiratory disease, emerged, and since then, the world has been facing a deadly pandemic caused by it. This ongoing pandemic has had a significant effect on different aspects of societies. The uncertainty…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mahdi Rahbar , Samaneh Yazdani

Using the United Nations Comtrade database, we perform the Google matrix analysis of the multiproduct World Trade Network (WTN) for the years 2018-2020 comprising the emergence of the COVID-19 as a global pandemic. The applied algorithms --…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-03 Célestin Coquidé , José Lages , Leonardo Ermann , Dima L. Shepelyansky

Knowledge of the current state of economies, how they respond to COVID-19 mitigations and indicators, and what the future might hold for them is important. We use recently-developed generalised network autoregressive (GNAR) models, using…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Guy P Nason , James L Wei

Time series forecasting has received wide interest from existing research due to its broad applications and inherent challenging. The research challenge lies in identifying effective patterns in historical series and applying them to future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Tianlong Zhao , Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Caiming Zhang

In this paper we study neural networks and their approximating power in panel data models. We provide asymptotic guarantees on deep feed-forward neural network estimation of the conditional mean, building on the work of Farrell et al.…

GDP is a vital measure of a country's economic health, reflecting the total value of goods and services produced. Forecasting GDP growth is essential for economic planning, as it helps governments, businesses, and investors anticipate…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-05 Huaqing Xie , Xingcheng Xu , Fangjia Yan , Xun Qian , Yanqing Yang

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Racine Ly , Fousseini Traore , Khadim Dia

Multi-model projections in climate studies are performed to quantify uncertainty and improve reliability in climate projections. The challenging issue is that there is no unique way to obtain performance metrics, nor is there any consensus…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-13 Ehsan Mosadegh , Iman Babaeian

In the past two decades, machine learning potentials (MLP) have reached a level of maturity that now enables applications to large-scale atomistic simulations of a wide range of systems in chemistry, physics and materials science. Different…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-07-09 Emir Kocer , Tsz Wai Ko , Jörg Behler

Understanding the business cycle is crucial for building economic stability, guiding business planning, and informing investment decisions. The business cycle refers to the recurring pattern of expansion and contraction in economic activity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Elvys Linhares Pontes , Mohamed Benjannet , Raymond Yung

This study investigates the macroeconomic determinants and dynamic behaviour of personal remittances as a share of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Nepal, emphasizing external demand in major destination countries and domestic monetary…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-20 Sahaj Raj Malla

The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Ahad Yaqoob , Syed M. Abdullah

Emerging economies, particularly the MINT countries (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and T\"urkiye), are gaining influence in global stock markets, although they remain susceptible to the economic conditions of developed countries like the G7…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Nurbanu Bursa

The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Rohit Kaushik , Shikhar Jain , Siddhant Jain , Tirtharaj Dash

Trajectory prediction is essential for formulating proactive strategies that anticipate user mobility and support advance preparation. Therefore, how to reduce the forecasting error in user trajectory prediction within an acceptable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Wei Hao , Bin Chong , Ronghua Ji , Chen Hou

Accurate forecasting of infectious disease incidence is critical for public health planning and timely intervention. While most data-driven forecasting approaches rely primarily on historical data from a single country, such data are often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-29 Zacharias Komodromos , Kleanthis Malialis , Artemis Kontou , Panayiotis Kolios

This study employs Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to forecast key performance indicators (KPIs), Occupancy (OCC), Average Daily Rate (ADR), and Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR), across five major cities: Manchester, Amsterdam,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 C. J. Atapattu , Xia Cui , N. R Abeynayake

Global demographic and economic changes have a critical impact on the total energy consumption, which is why demographic and economic parameters have to be taken into account when making predictions about the energy consumption. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Radmila Janković , Alessia Amelio

In this paper, a neural network-based stock price prediction and trading system using technical analysis indicators is presented. The model developed first converts the financial time series data into a series of buy-sell-hold trigger…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-12-29 O. B. Sezer , M. Ozbayoglu , E. Dogdu

The global gold market, by its fundamentals, has long been home to many financial institutions, banks, governments, funds, and micro-investors. Due to the inherent complexity and relationship between important economic and political…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Hesam Taghipour , Alireza Rezaee , Farshid Hajati