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Modern variable selection procedures make use of penalization methods to execute simultaneous model selection and estimation. A popular method is the LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator), the use of which requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Meadhbh O'Neill , Kevin Burke

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

The paper considers a linear regression model with multiple change-points occurring at unknown times. The LASSO technique is very interesting since it allows the parametric estimation, including the change-points, and automatic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Gabriela Ciuperca

We develop a novel continuous-time asymptotic framework for inference on whether the predictive ability of a given forecast model remains stable over time. We formally define forecast instability from the economic forecaster's perspective…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Alessandro Casini

Decision trees and their ensembles are endowed with a rich set of diagnostic tools for ranking and screening variables in a predictive model. Despite the widespread use of tree based variable importance measures, pinning down their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-14 Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

A significant hurdle for analyzing large sample data is the lack of effective statistical computing and inference methods. An emerging powerful approach for analyzing large sample data is subsampling, by which one takes a random subsample…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-24 Rong Zhu , Ping Ma , Michael W. Mahoney , Bin Yu

Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) have recently gained a lot of attention in machine learning. However, the theoretical aspects, e.g., identifiability and asymptotic properties of statistical estimation are still obscure. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yuanyuan Wang , Wei Huang , Mingming Gong , Xi Geng , Tongliang Liu , Kun Zhang , Dacheng Tao

We provide non-asymptotic excess risk guarantees for statistical learning in a setting where the population risk with respect to which we evaluate the target parameter depends on an unknown nuisance parameter that must be estimated from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-07 Dylan J. Foster , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Linear regression is a fundamental and popular statistical method. There are various kinds of linear regression, such as mean regression and quantile regression. In this paper, we propose a new one called distribution regression, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Xin Chen , Xuejun Ma , Wang Zhou

Many spatial processes exhibit nonstationary features. We estimate a variance function from a single process observation where the errors are nonstationary and correlated. We propose a difference-based approach for a one-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-24 Eunice J. Kim , Zhengyuan Zhu

Variable selection comprises an important step in many modern statistical inference procedures. In the regression setting, when estimators cannot shrink irrelevant signals to zero, covariates without relationships to the response often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Ka Long Keith Ho , Hien Duy Nguyen

We study the high-dimensional linear model with noise distribution known up to a scale parameter. With an $\ell_1$-penalty on the regression coefficients, we show that a transformation of the log-likelihood allows for a choice of the tuning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Sara van de Geer , Sylvain Sardy , Maximę van Cutsem

Stability Selection was recently introduced by Meinshausen and Buhlmann (2010) as a very general technique designed to improve the performance of a variable selection algorithm. It is based on aggregating the results of applying a selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Rajen D. Shah , Richard J. Samworth

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

Despite its prevalence in statistical datasets, heteroscedasticity (non-constant sample variances) has been largely ignored in the high-dimensional statistics literature. Recently, studies have shown that the Lasso can accommodate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-31 James Sharpnack , Mladen Kolar

Traditionally, the sensitivity analysis of a Bayesian network studies the impact of individually modifying the entries of its conditional probability tables in a one-at-a-time (OAT) fashion. However, this approach fails to give a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

We propose a method for variable selection and basis learning for high-dimensional classification with ordinal responses. The proposed method extends sparse multiclass linear discriminant analysis, with the aim of identifying not only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Minwoo Kim , Sangil Han , Jeongyoun Ahn , Sungkyu Jung

The asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimate is proved to decrease when the maximization is restricted to a subspace that contains the true parameter value. Maximum likelihood estimation allows a systematic fitting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Marie Turčičová , Jan Mandel , Kryštof Eben

This paper introduces and analyzes a framework that accommodates general heterogeneity in regression modeling. It demonstrates that regression models with fixed or time-varying parameters can be estimated using the OLS and time-varying OLS…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Liudas Giraitis , George Kapetanios , Yufei Li , Alexia Ventouri

In this paper, we focus on the variable selection techniques for a class of semiparametric spatial regression models which allow one to study the effects of explanatory variables in the presence of the spatial information. The spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-03 Guannan Wang , Jue Wang