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Related papers: X-Vine Models for Multivariate Extremes

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With the advancements of computer architectures, the use of computational models proliferates to solve complex problems in many scientific applications such as nuclear physics and climate research. However, the potential of such models is…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Vojtech Kejzlar , Tapabrata Maiti

The extreme value theory is very popular in applied sciences including Finance, economics, hydrology and many other disciplines. In univariate extreme value theory, we model the data by a suitable distribution from the general max-domain of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh

A class of multivariate mixed survival models for continuous and discrete time with a complex covariance structure is introduced in a context of quantitative genetic applications. The methods introduced can be used in many applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rafael Pimentel Maia , Per Madsen , Rodrigo Labouriau

Inference in extreme value theory relies on a limited number of extreme observations, making estimation challenging. To address this limitation, we propose a non-parametric simulation scheme, the multivariate extreme events spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Nisrine Madhar , Juliette Legrand , Maud Thomas

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

This paper unifies and extends results on a class of multivariate Extreme Value (EV) models studied by Hougaard, Crowder, and Tawn. In these models both unconditional and conditional distributions are EV, and all lower-dimensional marginals…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-30 Anne-Laure Fougères , John P. Nolan , Holger Rootzén

Generating accurate extremes from an observational data set is crucial when seeking to estimate risks associated with the occurrence of future extremes which could be larger than those already observed. Applications range from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Lafon , Philippe Naveau , Ronan Fablet

We have developed a 3-D Monte Carlo radiative transfer model which computes line and continuum polarization variability for a binary system with an optically thick non-axisymmetric envelope. This allows us to investigate the complex…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Kurosawa , D. J. Hillier

We use the framework of multivariate regular variation to analyse the extremal behaviour of preferential attachment models. To this end, we follow a directed linear preferential attachment model for a random, heavy-tailed number of steps in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Anja Janßen , Max Ziegenbalg

We propose vine copula-based classifiers for probabilistic risk prediction in perioperative settings. We obtain full joint probability models for mixed continuous-ordinal variables by fitting a separate vine copula to each outcome class,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Özge Şahin

This article presents factor copula approaches to model temporal dependency of non-Gaussian (continuous/discrete) longitudinal data. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas which explain the underlying dependence structure of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

We show that all multivariate Extreme Value distributions, which are the possible weak limits of the $K$ largest order statistics of iid sequences, have the same copula, the so called K-extremal copula. This copula is described through…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Glauco Valle , Marco Aurelio Sanfins

Multivariate peaks over thresholds modeling based on generalized Pareto distributions has up to now only been used in few and mostly 2-dimensional situations. This paper contributes theoretical understanding, physically based models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-04 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

Impact assessment of natural hazards requires the consideration of both extreme and non-extreme events. Extensive research has been conducted on the joint modeling of bulk and tail in univariate settings; however, the corresponding body of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Chenglei Hu , Ben Swallow , Daniela Castro-Camilo

Vine copula models have become highly popular practical tools for modeling multivariate dependencies. To maintain tractability, a commonly employed simplifying assumption is that conditional copulas remain unchanged by the conditioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Thomas Nagler

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller

Statistical modeling of multivariate and spatial extreme events has attracted broad attention in various areas of science. Max-stable distributions and processes are the natural class of models for this purpose, and many parametric families…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

Copulas are popular as models for multivariate dependence because they allow the marginal densities and the joint dependence to be modeled separately. However, they usually require that the transformation from uniform marginals to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-14 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Paolo Giordani , Xiuyan Mun , Robert Kohn , Mike Pitt

Extreme value theory for univariate and low-dimensional observations has been explored in considerable detail, but the field is still in an early stage regarding high-dimensional settings. This paper focuses on H\"usler-Reiss models, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Johannes Lederer , Marco Oesting