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Roll call data are widely used to assess legislators' preferences and ideology, as well as test theories of legislative behavior. In particular, roll call data is often used to determine whether the revealed preferences of legislators are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-29 Chelsea Lofland , Abel Rodriguez , Scott Moser

We develop a model of issue-specific voting behavior. This model can be used to explore lawmakers' personal voting patterns of voting by issue area, providing an exploratory window into how the language of the law is correlated with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-27 Sean M. Gerrish , David M. Blei

This paper applies Bayesian methodologies to characterize the legislative behavior of the Colombian Senate during the period 2010-2014. The analysis is carried out through the plenary roll call votes of this legislative chamber. In…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-22 Carolina Luque , Juan Sosa

This study presents a Bayesian spatial voting analysis of the Colombian Senate during the 2006-2010 legislative period, leveraging a newly constructed roll-call dataset comprising 147 senators and 136 plenary votes. We estimate legislators'…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Juan Sosa , Carolina Luque , Juan Valero

Understanding political phenomena requires measuring the political preferences of society. We introduce a model based on mixtures of spatial voting models that infers the underlying distribution of political preferences of voters with only…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-10-27 Alison Nahm , Alex Pentland , Peter Krafft

In this paper, a Bayesian spatial voting model is applied for the first time to characterize the legislative behavior of the Senate of the Republic of Colombia for the period 2006-2010. The analysis is carried out based on the plenary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-01 Juan Valero , Juan Sosa , Carolina Luque

We consider spatial voting where candidates are located in the Euclidean $d$-dimensional space, and each voter ranks candidates based on their distance from the voter's ideal point. We explore the case where information about the location…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Aviram Imber , Jonas Israel , Markus Brill , Hadas Shachnai , Benny Kimelfeld

Understanding politics is challenging because the politics take the influence from everything. Even we limit ourselves to the political context in the legislative processes; we need a better understanding of latent factors, such as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Kyungwoo Song , Wonsung Lee , Il-Chul Moon

The question of how people vote strategically under uncertainty has attracted much attention in several disciplines. Theoretical decision models have been proposed which vary in their assumptions on the sophistication of the voters and on…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

This manuscript extensively reviews applications, extensions, and models derived from the Bayesian ideal point estimator. We primarily focus our attention on studies conducted in the United States as well as Latin America. First, we provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Carolina Luque , Juan Sosa

Many democratic countries use district-based elections where there is a "seat" for each district in the governing body. In each district, the party whose candidate gets the maximum number of votes wins the corresponding seat. The result of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-23 Adway Mitra

The integrity of elections is central to democratic systems. However, a myriad of malicious actors aspire to influence election outcomes for financial or political benefit. A common means to such ends is by manipulating perceptions of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Junlin Wu , Andrew Estornell , Lecheng Kong , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Defying the median voter theorem, party polarization has spread globally, especially in the United States. As concerns grow over its risks to democracy, political science has probed its causes, revealing two paradoxes: while polarization…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-29 Roberto Venegeroles

We develop a new class of spatial voting models for binary preference data that can accommodate both monotonic and non-monotonic response functions, and are more flexible than alternative "unfolding" models previously introduced in the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-01 Rayleigh Lei , Abel Rodriguez

Several measures of partisan bias are reviewed for single member districts with two dominant parties. These include variants of the simple bias that considers only deviation of seats from 50% at statewide 50% vote. Also included are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-26 John F. Nagle

We use the United States Supreme Court as an illuminative context in which to discuss three different spatial voting preference models: an instance of the widely used single-peaked preferences, and two models that are more novel in which…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Noah Giansiracusa , Cameron Ricciardi

Modeling the ideological perspectives of political actors is an essential task in computational political science with applications in many downstream tasks. Existing approaches are generally limited to textual data and voting records,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Shangbin Feng , Zhaoxuan Tan , Zilong Chen , Peisheng Yu , Qinghua Zheng , Xiaojun Chang , Minnan Luo

Despite the prevalence of voting systems in the real world there is no consensus among researchers of how people vote strategically, even in simple voting settings. This paper addresses this gap by comparing different approaches that have…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

Using theoretical and numerical results, we document the accuracy of commonly applied variational Bayes methods across a range of state space models. The results demonstrate that, in terms of accuracy on fixed parameters, there is a clear…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-25 David T. Frazier , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin

In district-based elections, electors cast votes in their respective districts. In each district, the party with maximum votes wins the corresponding seat in the governing body. The election result is based on the number of seats won by…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Adway Mitra
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